Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Bundle
You're looking at Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) and trying to figure out if the recent upswing in natural gas prices is a temporary lift or a sign of a sustainable turnaround. Honestly, the third quarter of 2025 was defintely a proof point, with higher realized gas prices helping drive natural gas and oil sales to $335.0 million and generating operating cash flow of $190.4 million for the quarter. The key to their long-term health, though, is the strategic deleveraging, which is why the agreement to divest the Shelby Trough assets for $430 million in cash is so crucial; this capital is earmarked to retire long-term debt, a necessary step since year-to-date operating cash flow sits at a solid $639.0 million. The company is aggressively building out its Western Haynesville position-where new wells are hitting initial production rates of 32 MMcf per day-but the market consensus is still a Hold with an average price target near $19.72, so we need to look past the headline numbers to see if that massive acreage position is truly worth the current leverage risk.
Revenue Analysis
Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK)'s revenue is seeing a strong rebound in 2025, primarily fueled by natural gas sales and a favorable pricing environment, despite some strategic asset sales. Your focus should be on the company's core natural gas production, which dominates the top line and drives the overall growth story.
CRK is fundamentally a pure-play natural gas producer, with operations concentrated in the Haynesville Shale in North Louisiana and East Texas. For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, the company reported total natural gas and oil sales of $1.08 billion, which included realized hedging losses (money lost on contracts designed to lock in prices) of $22.7 million. This means the core business is working, but financial engineering (hedging) is currently a slight drag on the sales line.
The year-over-year growth is defintely a bright spot. The trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue ending September 30, 2025, hit $1.80 billion, marking a robust +38.73% increase over the previous TTM period. That's a sharp reversal from the prior year's decline. Looking just at the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, total reported revenue of $449.85 million was up +47.8% year-over-year, largely driven by improved natural gas prices.
When you break down the segments, the picture is clear: Comstock Resources, Inc. is a natural gas company. In Q3 2025, natural gas sales were $307.91 million, representing a +21.9% year-over-year increase in that segment. Oil sales, by comparison, only contributed $0.68 million and actually saw a -30.2% year-over-year decline. Here's the quick math: natural gas is the only segment that moves the needle.
- Natural gas drives 99%+ of commodity sales.
- Oil sales are virtually immaterial to the top line.
- Pricing power is the primary revenue catalyst.
A major strategic shift impacting future revenue is the company's effort to divest (sell off) non-core assets to focus capital on the high-potential Western Haynesville area. In Q3 2025, Comstock Resources, Inc. agreed to sell its Shelby Trough assets for $430 million in cash and closed the sale of Cotton Valley assets for $15.2 million. While these are one-time cash events, they signal a deliberate move toward a leaner, more concentrated revenue stream from the core Haynesville region. You can dive deeper into who is taking these positions and why in Exploring Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
To see the quarter-to-quarter volatility inherent in the energy sector, check the 2025 sales trend:
| Quarter | Natural Gas and Oil Sales (Millions) | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $405.0 | Higher realized gas price ($3.52/Mcf after hedging) |
| Q2 2025 | $344.0 | +24% YoY increase, despite lower production |
| Q3 2025 | $335.0 | Higher gas prices ($2.99/Mcf after hedging) |
What this estimate hides is the significant impact of hedging, which can create large unrealized gains or losses that skew net income, even if the underlying operational sales are strong. For example, Q3 2025 sales included $26.4 million in realized hedging gains, which is cash in hand. But for the nine months, the realized losses were $22.7 million, so you must watch the hedging program closely.
Profitability Metrics
You want to know if Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is making money and how efficiently. The short answer is yes, they are profitable, but you need to look past the headline net income number to see the true operational picture. Their core operational efficiency is strong, but the net profit is highly volatile due to non-cash accounting for hedging.
For the third quarter of 2025, Comstock Resources reported total natural gas and oil sales of $335.0 million, including realized hedging gains. This drove a GAAP net income of $118.1 million. However, that GAAP figure included a large, non-cash unrealized gain on hedging contracts of $116.4 million, which is why the adjusted net income-the number that shows the true cash-based operational profit-was a more modest $27.9 million.
Here's the quick math on core profitability for Q3 2025, using the total revenue of $449.85 million (which includes gas service revenue):
- Net Profit Margin (GAAP): $\approx \mathbf{26.25\%}$
- Net Profit Margin (Adjusted): $\approx \mathbf{6.2\%}$
- Operating Margin (Hedged): $\mathbf{74\%}$ (This is the EBITDAX margin, the standard for E&P companies)
That 74% operating margin is the key figure. It tells you that for every dollar of sales, 74 cents are left after paying for field-level operating costs, before you account for interest, taxes, depreciation, and exploration expense (EBITDAX). This high margin is a defintely a sign of superior cost management.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
Comstock Resources' operational efficiency is a genuine competitive edge, largely thanks to its focus on the low-cost Haynesville shale play. They consistently boast one of the industry's lowest production cost structures.
In Q3 2025, the all-in production cost per thousand cubic feet equivalent (Mcfe) was just $0.77. This low cost per unit is what underpins their high operating margin. For context, this $0.77/Mcfe breaks down into: $0.36 for gathering and transportation, $0.26 for lease operating costs, $0.10 for production and other taxes, and $0.05 for cash general and administrative expenses.
The company's focus on cost control has kept their operating margin high, but the trend in adjusted net income shows a near-term cooling off:
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Net Income | $53.8 million | $40.0 million | $27.9 million |
| Hedging Operating Margin | 76% | 74% | 74% |
While the operating margin has remained robust and stable at 74% through the second half of 2025, the adjusted net income has declined. This suggests that while their field-level operations are efficient, other factors like increasing drilling and completion costs-which rose 24% in the Western Haynesville area in Q3-are squeezing the bottom line. You can learn more about the company's strategic focus in the Haynesville area by reviewing their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK).
Comparison with Industry Averages
In the independent Exploration and Production (E&P) sector, profitability is notoriously volatile, swinging wildly with commodity prices. This makes a fixed industry average a poor comparison tool.
However, Comstock Resources' hedged operating margin of 74% is exceptionally strong. E&P companies often see their net profit margins fluctuate from low single digits to over 30% during commodity price peaks, as was seen in late 2021. The fact that CRK maintains a mid-70s operating margin, even with production costs slightly increasing (from $0.77/Mcfe in Q3 to an average of $0.80/Mcfe for the first nine months of 2025), shows they are positioned at the high end of the industry for operational efficiency. Their low-cost structure provides a significant buffer against the price volatility that is currently challenging the sector, which is facing tighter margins due to slowing production growth and rising costs.
Your next step should be to compare this operating margin to a basket of pure-play natural gas producers, not the whole E&P sector, to confirm their cost advantage is truly industry-leading.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You need to understand how Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is funding its operations, and the quick takeaway is that the company leans heavily on debt, which is common in the capital-intensive oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, but its leverage is high even for its peers. As of the third quarter of 2025, the company's Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio stood at approximately 1.36.
This ratio means that for every dollar of equity-the capital shareholders own-Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) has taken on $1.36 in debt. Here's the quick math: total debt was about $3.206 billion, composed of $51 million in short-term debt and $3.155 billion in long-term debt, against total stockholders' equity of approximately $2.360 billion. This capital structure is a clear signal of aggressive financing, which can magnify returns but also increases financial risk.
To be fair, the E&P industry requires massive upfront investment for drilling and development, so a D/E ratio above 1.0 isn't a death knell. Still, the industry average for E&P companies was closer to 0.50 as of early 2025. Comstock Resources, Inc.'s ratio of 1.36 is defintely on the high side, suggesting a greater reliance on borrowed capital than many competitors. It's a classic trade-off: higher leverage can boost Return on Equity (ROE) but also makes the company more vulnerable to natural gas price volatility or rising interest rates.
The company is actively working to manage this debt load. In a key move, Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) agreed to sell its Shelby Trough assets for $430.0 million, with the explicit intent to use those proceeds to reduce long-term debt, a transaction expected to close in December 2025. This is a clear, actionable strategy to rebalance the capital mix away from debt. In terms of credit access, the bank group reaffirmed the $2.0 billion borrowing base under its $1.5 billion revolving credit facility in April 2025, which provides a solid liquidity backstop. The company's unsecured debt holds a 'B+' issuer credit rating from S&P Global, which, while not investment grade, reflects a stable outlook based on their development of the Western Haynesville play.
The balance between debt and equity funding is currently tilted toward debt, but the strategy is now shifting toward debt reduction through asset sales. This divestiture is a key near-term risk reducer. For more context on the company's long-term vision that drives this capital allocation, you should review their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK).
- Total Debt (Q3 2025): $3.206 billion.
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 1.36, well above the E&P peer average.
- Debt Reduction: $430.0 million asset sale planned for December 2025.
Here is a summary of the key financial leverage metrics for Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK):
| Metric | Value (Q3 2025) | Context / Industry Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Long-Term Debt | $3.155 Billion | Primary component of total debt. |
| Short-Term Debt | $51 Million | Minimal portion of total debt. |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | $2.360 Billion | Shareholder capital base. |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 1.36 | E&P Industry Average: approx. 0.50. |
Liquidity and Solvency
You're looking at Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) and wondering if they have the cash to cover their immediate bills, and honestly, the short-term liquidity picture is tight. The company's liquidity ratios are a defintely a flashing yellow light, but you have to look past the ratios to their powerful operating cash flow and strategic asset sales to get the full picture.
The core issue is a classic one for growth-focused exploration and production (E&P) companies: they are spending heavily to grow production. This shows up immediately in their liquidity metrics, which measure the ability to pay short-term obligations (current liabilities) with short-term assets (current assets).
Current and Quick Ratios
As of the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending November 2025, Comstock Resources, Inc.'s liquidity positions are well below the typical 1.0 benchmark. This means their current assets don't cover their current liabilities, which is a liquidity concern you can't ignore.
- Current Ratio (Current Assets/Current Liabilities): 0.41
- Quick Ratio (Cash + Receivables/Current Liabilities): 0.31
Here's the quick math: for every dollar of short-term debt, Comstock Resources, Inc. has only 41 cents of current assets to cover it. The Quick Ratio, which excludes less-liquid assets like inventory, is even lower at 31 cents. This low ratio suggests that if a sudden need for cash arose, the company would have to rely on external financing or asset sales, not just its balance sheet.
Working Capital Trends and Analysis
The low ratios translate directly into a negative working capital position. Working capital is simply current assets minus current liabilities, and a negative number means the company owes more in the short term than it owns in readily available resources. For Comstock Resources, Inc., the TTM working capital is a negative $380.96 million.
What this estimate hides is the nature of their business. E&P companies often run with low liquidity because they finance long-term asset development (drilling wells) with short-term debt or by continuously rolling over commercial paper. Still, this negative figure makes the company vulnerable to market shocks, especially if natural gas prices fall or credit markets tighten.
Cash Flow Statements Overview
The cash flow statement is where the company's real strength lies. Comstock Resources, Inc. has generated significant cash from its core operations, which is what ultimately funds its growth and service its massive debt load.
For the first nine months of 2025, the company generated $639.0 million in operating cash flow (excluding changes in working capital). This strong operational performance is critical, but the investing activities are where the cash is burned.
The TTM data shows a massive capital expenditure (CapEx) of -$1.26 billion, which is the primary driver of their negative free cash flow (Operating Cash Flow minus CapEx) of -$321.32 million. They are spending heavily to develop the Haynesville shale. The financing cash flow is currently focused on deleveraging, which is a clear strength.
The key cash flow trends are summarized below (TTM data as of November 2025):
| Cash Flow Category | TTM Amount (Millions USD) | Trend/Action |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $942.46 | Strong, consistent cash generation from core business. |
| Investing Cash Flow (CapEx) | -$1,263.78 (Implied from FCF) | Aggressive capital spending for growth, leading to negative Free Cash Flow. |
| Financing Cash Flow (Strategic) | +$445.0 (Asset Sales) | Strategic asset sales to reduce debt. |
Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths
The main concern is the structural mismatch between current assets and current liabilities, reflected in the low ratios. The strength is the company's ability to generate cash and its clear strategy to improve the balance sheet.
The planned sale of the Shelby Trough assets for $430 million in cash, plus the $15 million from other non-strategic divestitures, is a major financing move intended to reduce their long-term debt of $3.20 billion. This action directly addresses solvency (long-term debt) but also indirectly helps liquidity by strengthening the overall financial foundation.
If you want to dive deeper into the full valuation picture, you should read the full post: Breaking Down Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your next step should be to monitor the closure of that Shelby Trough deal; Finance: confirm the debt pay-down schedule by month-end.
Valuation Analysis
You want to know if Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is a buy, a hold, or a sell right now, and the short answer is that the market sees it as a Hold, but one with significant downside risk based on its current price. The core issue is a premium valuation-you're paying for future growth that isn't fully reflected in today's earnings.
The stock has had a phenomenal run, increasing by over 89.12% in the last 12 months, trading between a 52-week low of $13.20 and a high of $31.17. This kind of sharp price appreciation often pushes valuation multiples into the stratosphere, and that's exactly what we see with Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK).
Is Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Overvalued or Undervalued?
A quick look at the core valuation metrics suggests Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is trading at a premium compared to its immediate past performance, but the forward-looking metrics tell a story of expected earnings growth. Here's the quick math on the key multiples as of November 2025:
- Trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E): At approximately 107.59, this is extremely high, reflecting low trailing earnings over the last twelve months (TTM).
- Forward P/E: This drops sharply to about 27.76, signaling that analysts expect a massive earnings rebound in the 2025 fiscal year.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): The ratio stands at around 2.376, which is a reasonable but not cheap multiple for an energy company.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): The TTM ratio is approximately 10.73. This is the cleanest metric for an exploration and production (E&P) company like this one, as it strips out capital structure and non-cash charges; honestly, 10.73x is a bit rich for a company in a volatile commodity sector, especially compared to historical averages.
What this estimate hides is the risk inherent in natural gas pricing. The high forward P/E of 27.76 is defintely banking on commodity prices holding up and production efficiencies continuing to improve. If natural gas prices dip, that earnings rebound evaporates quickly.
Dividend Policy and Analyst Consensus
Don't look to Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) for income; the company currently has a 0% dividend yield, as it does not pay a cash dividend. This is typical for E&P companies that prioritize capital reinvestment into drilling and infrastructure-especially in a high-growth area like the Haynesville Shale-over shareholder payouts.
The Wall Street consensus is a clear 'Hold.' Out of the analysts covering the stock, the average recommendation is Hold, with a mix of ratings: 20% Strong Buy, 10% Buy, 40% Hold, 10% Sell, and 20% Strong Sell. The average 12-month price target is approximately $19.72, which suggests a significant downside from the current trading price. This disconnect between the stock price (around $25.00) and the average target ($19.72) is your near-term risk. You are trading above the collective wisdom of the street.
If you want to understand which institutional players are driving the current price action and why they are willing to pay this premium, you should be Exploring Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
| Valuation Metric (FY 2025) | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 107.59x | Premium valuation based on past earnings. |
| Forward P/E | 27.76x | Anticipates significant earnings growth. |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 2.376x | Fairly valued relative to book assets. |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 10.73x | High for a volatile E&P sector. |
| Analyst Average Target | $19.72 | Implies downside from current price. |
Your action here is simple: if you own it, hold and watch for any signs of a miss on the Q4 2025 earnings guidance. If you don't own it, wait for a pull-back closer to the $19.72 analyst consensus price target before starting a position.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) because of its strong position in the Haynesville Shale, but you need to see the full risk picture before making a move. The direct takeaway is this: while the company is executing a clear strategy to deleverage, its high concentration in natural gas and significant debt load remain the two biggest near-term risks to monitor.
Honestly, the biggest financial risk right now is the balance sheet. Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) ended Q3 2025 with total debt of $3,169 million and a leverage ratio of three times. That's high, even for an exploration and production (E&P) company with a strong asset base. The company is spending heavily on its future, with drilling and completion development spending hitting $785 million for the first nine months of 2025. Heavy capital investment is needed for ongoing drilling and infrastructure, and that's a constant pressure point on free cash flow.
Here's the quick math on the mitigation strategy, which is all about asset sales and hedging:
- Debt Reduction: The planned divestiture of non-strategic Shelby Trough assets for $430 million in cash is critical for improving the balance sheet. The deal must close on time.
- Liquidity Buffer: Management reports having over $900 million in liquidity, which should grow once the Shelby Trough sale is finalized.
- Price Protection: They are using a comprehensive hedging strategy for 2025 and 2026, which helped them realize a gas price of $2.99/Mcf in Q3 2025, higher than the average unhedged price of $2.75.
The operational risks center on concentration and execution. Over 80% of Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK)'s current output is concentrated in the Haynesville, which is a fantastic resource but leaves the company highly exposed to regional issues. Any local disruption or stricter emission rules could quickly pressure margins. Plus, while the Western Haynesville is the future, optimizing drilling efficiencies there is still a challenge because it's in the early stages of development. Production volumes also dipped year-over-year, with Q3 2025 production at 111.8 Bcf.
Still, Comstock is tackling this with a clear focus on efficiency and expansion. They are maintaining industry-leading drilling and completion costs in the Legacy Haynesville area, averaging just $1,229 per lateral foot in Q3 2025. They are also building out midstream assets and even exploring power generation partnerships near the Western Haynesville to capitalize on the growing demand from data centers and LNG exports. That's a smart long-term play against the concentration risk. If you want to dig deeper into the company's financials, you can check out the full post: Breaking Down Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) and wondering where the real money is going to be made next year, and honestly, the answer is simple: it's all about the rock and the rig. The core takeaway is that Comstock is leaning heavily into its dominant natural gas position in the Haynesville Shale, targeting massive efficiency gains and new, high-growth markets like data centers to drive a projected earnings surge.
Wall Street is forecasting a strong financial turnaround for the 2025 fiscal year. Analysts expect full-year revenue to hit around $1.867 billion, and more impressively, they project a massive annual earnings growth of approximately 74.6%. That kind of growth is defintely a head-turner, especially against the backdrop of a volatile natural gas market. Here's the quick math: revenue is projected to rise by about 9.8% per year, but the real jump comes from margin expansion, not just top-line sales.
The primary engine for this growth is the strategic focus on the Western Haynesville asset. Comstock is concentrating its capital expenditure, planning a total drilling and completion cost of between $1.0 billion and $1.1 billion for the full year 2025. This investment is highly targeted, with plans to drill 19 wells and turn 13 to sales in the Western Haynesville area alone. This area is key because of its superior economics and excellent access to liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facilities on the Gulf Coast.
This growth isn't just about drilling more; it's about drilling smarter. The company's product innovation is centered on operational efficiency, specifically through advanced drilling methods like the 'horseshoe' well design.
- Horseshoe Wells: Convert four sectional laterals into two 2-mile laterals.
- Cost Savings: Reduces drilling costs by roughly 35%, from $1,240 to $800 per lateral foot.
- Margin Impact: These efficiency gains are expected to push profit margins from a negative position to a projected 29.4% by 2028.
Beyond the wellhead, Comstock is actively expanding its market reach through strategic partnerships. A notable initiative is the collaboration with NextEra Energy to explore developing power generation infrastructure near the Western Haynesville. This is a clear move to position the company to supply natural gas directly to the rapidly growing demand from data center customers in the region. It's a smart play to capture a slice of the electricity generation market, which needs reliable, high-volume fuel. The company's competitive advantage here is its consistently maintained position as having the industry's lowest producing cost structure, which means they can weather natural gas price volatility better than most peers.
If you want to dive deeper into the nuts and bolts of the balance sheet, you can check out the full analysis in Breaking Down Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. But for now, here is a snapshot of the 2025 analyst consensus:
| Metric | 2025 Fiscal Year Estimate |
|---|---|
| Full-Year Revenue | $1.867 billion |
| Full-Year EPS | $0.47 per share |
| Annual Earnings Growth | 74.6% |
| Production Guidance (Full-Year) | 1,225 - 1,325 MMcfe/d |
The next step for you is to monitor the Q4 2025 results, specifically looking for updates on the Western Haynesville drilling program and any concrete announcements about the NextEra partnership. The execution on those two fronts will defintely dictate whether the stock price justifies the premium valuation the market is currently assigning it.

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