Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Bundle
You're looking at Rollins, Inc. (ROL) and trying to square its premium valuation with its growth trajectory, a classic dilemma for a quality compounder. Honestly, the company just delivered a defintely strong Q3 2025, with revenues hitting $1 billion, marking a solid 12.0% increase over the prior year, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) jumping 20.7% to $0.35, handily beating the consensus estimate. That kind of double-digit growth, plus a 30.2% surge in operating cash flow to $191 million, shows exceptional operational execution. But still, the stock trades at a lofty Price-to-Earnings (P/E) multiple around 54.1x, which is more than double the industry average of 22.2x, so the market is pricing in perfection. The near-term opportunity lies in management's push for meaningful incremental margin expansion-targeting 25-30% in the second half of the fiscal year-while risks center on sustaining that growth rate, especially given the residential organic growth slowed to 5.7% last quarter. Here's the quick math: the stock is a Moderate Buy with an average price target of $63.42, but you need to know exactly where that growth is coming from to justify the price.
Revenue Analysis
You're looking at Rollins, Inc. (ROL) because you want to know if their growth engine is still firing, and the answer is a clear yes. The company's revenue for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, hit a solid $3.68 Billion, marking an 11.17% increase year-over-year. This is defintely a strong, double-digit growth trajectory that has been consistent for years, not a one-off spike.
This growth isn't just a simple top-line number, though. It's a balanced mix of organic growth-meaning from existing operations and customers-and strategic acquisitions. For instance, in Q2 2025, the total revenue growth of 12.1% was split between 7.3% organic growth and 4.8% from M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activities. This tells you they are successfully raising prices and winning new business while also bolting on smaller, profitable firms.
Segment Contribution and Growth Drivers
The real strength of Rollins, Inc. is that its revenue comes from a few core, recession-resistant services, and they are all growing. The primary revenue streams are Residential, Commercial, and Termite/Ancillary services. What's critical for an investor is that over 75% of their total revenue is recurring, which provides a predictable, annuity-like cash flow. That's a huge stability factor.
Here's the quick math on how the major service lines performed in Q1 2025, which gives us a clear picture of what's driving the overall 9.9% revenue increase for the quarter:
- Termite and Ancillary Services: Highest growth at 13.2% (with 11.1% organic growth).
- Commercial Services: Grew by 10.2% (with 7.4% organic growth).
- Residential Services: Grew by 8.2% (with 5.7% organic growth).
The high organic growth in the Termite segment is a key indicator of strong demand for higher-ticket, specialized services. Also, while the company is primarily US-focused, its foreign operations still contribute about 7% of total revenues, though a stronger US dollar did slightly reduce foreign revenues by 40 basis points in Q1 2025.
Historical Trend and Near-Term Outlook
Looking at the trend, Rollins, Inc. has consistently delivered double-digit annual revenue growth for the past few years, moving from $3.07 Billion in 2023 to $3.39 Billion in 2024, and now to the TTM figure of $3.68 Billion in 2025. This sustained momentum is what you want to see. The company's outlook for the remainder of 2025 anticipates continued strong organic revenue growth in the 7-8% range, plus an additional 2-3% from acquisitions. They are targeting an incremental adjusted EBITDA margin approaching 30% in 2025, which means they expect revenue growth to translate efficiently into profit.
To be fair, the reliance on acquisitions means integration risk is always present, but their track record suggests they handle it well. For a deeper dive into the institutional money backing this trend, you should check out Exploring Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Here is a snapshot of the recent quarterly performance:
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | TTM (Sep 30, 2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $823 million | $999.5 million | $3.68 Billion |
| Year-over-Year Growth | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.17% |
| Organic Revenue Growth | 7.4% | 7.3% | N/A |
Profitability Metrics
You want to know if Rollins, Inc. (ROL) is still the profit engine it's historically been, especially with all the talk of margin compression this year. The short answer is yes, absolutely-Rollins's profitability ratios in 2025 remain elite, though they are absorbing a near-term hit from strategic investments. The company's margins still significantly outperform the typical pest control industry average.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, Rollins, Inc.'s Gross Profit hit $1.945 billion, demonstrating the sheer scale of the business and its ability to manage the direct costs of service. Looking at the third quarter of 2025, which is the freshest data we have, the profitability picture is clear and strong:
- Gross Profit Margin: 54.4%
- Operating Profit Margin: 21.9%
- Net Profit Margin: 15.9%
Here's the quick math: Q3 2025 revenue was approximately $1.026 billion, and the resulting Net Income was $163.527 million. That 15.9% net margin is what's left for shareholders after all expenses, interest, and taxes are paid. It's defintely a solid return.
When you look at the operational efficiency, Rollins, Inc. is a clear leader. The gross margin, which is revenue minus the cost of services (labor, chemicals, etc.), was 54.4% in Q3 2025. This compares to the average pest control business, which typically runs a gross margin of 40% to 45%. This gap shows Rollins, Inc.'s superior pricing power and scale efficiencies in its core service delivery.
The trend in 2025 has been a story of short-term pain for long-term gain. In the first half of the year, margins saw a slight dip-Q2 2025 GAAP Operating Margin was 19.8%, down 60 basis points year-over-year. This margin compression was a direct result of management's strategic choice to invest heavily in labor, technology, and selling/marketing initiatives to drive future organic growth. The good news is that these investments appear to be paying off, as the Q3 2025 Operating Margin rebounded to 21.9%, signaling the anticipated margin improvement in the back half of the year.
To be fair, the industry average net profit margin for U.S. pest control companies is often cited in the 10% to 20% range. However, Rollins, Inc. consistently operates at the high end of that range, and its Q3 2025 net margin of 15.9% is a strong indicator of its financial health, especially for a company of its size. For a deeper look at who is buying into this resilient model, you should check out Exploring Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Here is a quick snapshot of how Rollins, Inc.'s recent profitability stacks up against the industry benchmarks:
| Metric | Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Q3 2025 | Industry Average (2025) | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 54.4% | 40% to 45% | Significantly higher, indicating superior cost of service management. |
| Operating Profit Margin | 21.9% | 20% to 45% (varies by size) | Strong, reflecting efficient operations post-investment phase. |
| Net Profit Margin | 15.9% | 10% to 20% | At the high end for a large, publicly traded company. |
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You want to know exactly how Rollins, Inc. (ROL) is funding its growth, and the short answer is: mostly through its own equity, not debt. The company maintains a very conservative, low-leverage balance sheet, which is a hallmark of a mature, capital-light service business.
As of September 30, 2025, Rollins, Inc.'s financial structure shows a clear preference for equity funding. This low debt profile gives the company significant financial flexibility, which is a critical advantage for weathering economic shifts or pursuing large, opportunistic acquisitions.
Current Debt and Equity Snapshot
The company's debt levels are modest, especially when viewed against its equity base. The most recent quarterly filing shows a total debt structure that is heavily weighted toward long-term obligations, which is a sign of stable, planned financing, not reliance on short-term credit.
- Total Long-Term Debt (Net, Q3 2025): $485.659 million.
- Total Short-Term Debt (Q3 2025): $0, as the commercial paper program had no outstanding borrowings.
- Total Stockholders' Equity (Q3 2025): $1,532.048 million.
Here's the quick math on leverage: the company's net debt-to-EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) ratio, a key measure of how quickly a company can pay off its debt, stood at a mere 0.8x as of September 30, 2025. That is defintely a low-risk figure.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: A Low-Risk Profile
The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is the clearest signal of this financial conservatism. Rollins, Inc.'s D/E ratio as of September 30, 2025, was approximately 0.32. This means that for every dollar of shareholder equity, the company has only about 32 cents of debt.
To put that 0.32 in context, a D/E ratio below 1.0 is generally considered healthy, indicating that assets are funded more by equity than by borrowing. For a capital-light service industry like pest control, this low ratio is expected, but Rollins, Inc. is operating at a particularly low level of leverage. For comparison, many healthy, non-financial service sectors often have average D/E ratios closer to 0.70 or higher.
| Metric | Value (as of Q3 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Long-Term Debt (Net) | $485.659 Million | Stable, planned financing structure. |
| Short-Term Debt | $0 | No reliance on immediate, high-turnover financing. |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.32 | Very low leverage; assets are primarily equity-funded. |
| Net Debt-to-EBITDA | 0.8x | Debt is easily covered by operating cash flow. |
Recent Financing Activity and Capital Allocation
The company's most significant recent debt activity was the pricing of $500 million of 5.25% Senior Notes due 2035 in February 2025. This move was a strategic refinancing effort, with the proceeds primarily earmarked to repay indebtedness under its senior credit facility. This isn't taking on new debt for a massive expansion; it's swapping one form of debt for another with a long-term, fixed rate.
The balance between debt and equity is managed through a clear capital allocation strategy. The low debt load allows Rollins, Inc. to use its cash flow for growth and shareholder returns without the pressure of heavy interest payments. The net proceeds from the 2025 notes, after refinancing, are slated for general corporate purposes, including dividends, share repurchases, and acquisitions. This shows a company that uses debt strategically and sparingly to optimize its capital structure and fuel its growth-by-acquisition model, which you can read more about in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Rollins, Inc. (ROL).
Liquidity and Solvency
You need to know if Rollins, Inc. (ROL) can cover its near-term bills, and the simple answer is: yes, but not with just its most liquid assets. The company runs with a structural liquidity profile that looks tight on paper but is underpinned by exceptionally strong, recurring cash flow.
The standard liquidity measures, the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio), tell a clear story of short-term asset constraint. As of the third quarter of 2025, Rollins, Inc.'s Current Ratio stood at 0.77, and its Quick Ratio was 0.57. A ratio below 1.0 means that current assets (cash, receivables, inventory) are less than current liabilities (payables, short-term debt). This is defintely below the 1.0 benchmark investors usually look for.
Here's the quick math on working capital: at the end of Q3 2025, Total Current Assets were approximately $550,710 thousand, but Total Current Liabilities were higher at $712,844 thousand. This results in a negative working capital of roughly $(162,134) thousand. This trend is typical for a subscription-based service company-they collect cash quickly from customers but have high accrued liabilities like compensation and operating leases.
- Current Ratio: 0.77 (Q3 2025)
- Quick Ratio: 0.57 (Q3 2025)
- Working Capital: $(162,134) thousand (Negative)
Still, you can't look at Rollins, Inc.'s liquidity without immediately checking the cash flow statement. This is where the real strength is. For the third quarter of 2025 alone, the company generated a robust Operating Cash Flow (OCF) of $191 million, representing a strong 30.2% increase over the prior year's quarter. That recurring, high-margin revenue base from pest control services acts as a constant, reliable cash spigot, making the low ratios less of a concern than they would be for a manufacturer.
The cash flow trends show a clear focus on growth and shareholder returns. In Q3 2025, the company's cash was deployed across all three activities:
| Cash Flow Category (Q3 2025) | Amount (in Millions) | Key Action |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | $191 | Core business generation |
| Investing Activities (Use) | $44 | $35M for acquisitions, $9M for CapEx |
| Financing Activities (Use) | $80 | Paid dividends |
The company is using its strong operating cash to fund its M&A strategy-investing $35 million in acquisitions in Q3 2025-and to reward shareholders with $80 million in dividends. This is a financially healthy cycle: generate cash internally, acquire smaller players, and pay a dividend. What this estimate hides is that the company relies on its credit facilities to bridge the gap between its current assets and liabilities, but management is confident its access to debt financing and future OCF will be sufficient for the foreseeable future. For a deeper dive into the valuation, you can read the full post: Breaking Down Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Valuation Analysis
Rollins, Inc. (ROL) is a premium-priced stock, and honestly, the valuation multiples suggest it is trading at a significant premium to both its industry peers and the broader market. The direct takeaway is that while the stock is technically overvalued based on traditional metrics, its sticky subscription-based revenue and strong growth prospects justify a 'Hold' rating for most investors, though analysts lean toward a 'Buy.'
Is Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Overvalued or Undervalued?
You're looking at a company with a strong economic moat (competitive advantage), so you should expect a high valuation-but the current figures are defintely steep. As of November 2025, Rollins, Inc.'s valuation ratios are far above what you'd consider a bargain. Here's the quick math on the key multiples, which reflect the market's willingness to pay for Rollins, Inc.'s consistent, recession-resistant growth:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E): The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio sits at approximately 54.10. This is exceptionally high, especially when compared to the S&P 500's long-term average, suggesting investors are pricing in substantial future earnings growth.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): The P/B ratio is around 18.22. This multiple highlights that the market values the company at over 18 times its net asset value, confirming the valuation is driven by intangible assets like brand and service contracts, not just physical property.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): At roughly 33.83, this ratio shows the total company value (Enterprise Value) is more than 33 times its operating cash flow proxy (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization). This multiple is a clear indicator of a rich valuation.
Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment
The stock price trends over the last 12 months show why the valuation is so high: the market is rewarding performance. Rollins, Inc. delivered a total return of 16.8% over the past year through November 2025. The 52-week trading range saw the stock climb from a low of $45.34 to a high of $60.35. The closing price as of November 20, 2025, was approximately $59.63. That's a solid run.
The dividend story is also compelling for long-term holders. The stock offers a modest dividend yield of about 1.12%. But the payout ratio, which is the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends, is around 63.62% (TTM). This shows a commitment to returning capital, but also that there is not a huge amount of room for massive dividend increases without significant earnings growth. You can learn more about who is driving this price action by Exploring Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Analyst Consensus and Forward View
The Street's sentiment is generally positive, which helps sustain this high valuation. The average analyst price target for Rollins, Inc. is $62.80, suggesting a modest upside from the current price. The consensus rating is a 'Buy.' What this estimate hides is the inherent risk of multiple compression (when a high valuation ratio falls back toward the average) if growth slows even slightly. The forward P/E ratio, based on 2025 earnings estimates, drops to a more palatable 46.38, but still signals a premium growth stock.
| Valuation Metric (TTM/Current) | Value (November 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 54.10 | Significant premium to market and peers. |
| P/B Ratio | 18.22 | Value driven by intangible assets and brand equity. |
| EV/EBITDA | 33.83 | Rich valuation based on operating cash flow. |
| Dividend Yield | 1.12% | Modest yield, typical for a growth-focused company. |
| Payout Ratio | 63.62% | Solid commitment to dividend payments. |
The high valuation is a bet on the continuation of their steady, acquisition-fueled growth strategy. If that engine sputters, the stock could see a sharp correction. Still, the company's business model is incredibly resilient.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Rollins, Inc. (ROL) and seeing solid growth-Q3 2025 revenue hit $1 billion, a 12.0% increase year-over-year, which is defintely strong. But as a seasoned analyst, I focus on the cracks in the foundation, not just the facade. The company's financial health, while robust, faces three near-term risks that demand your attention: operational cost creep, integration complexity from aggressive M&A, and external macroeconomic headwinds.
The biggest internal challenge is margin compression (a drop in the profit percentage on sales). While Rollins is a cash-generating machine, its operating costs are rising. In Q1 2025, higher employee compensation, up 9.6% year-over-year, and a surge in selling and marketing expenses, up 18.5%, squeezed profitability. This caused the operating margin to dip to 17.3% in Q1 2025. They're fighting this with a company-wide modernization initiative, and it's working: by Q3 2025, the operating margin had rebounded to 21.9%. That's a fast turnaround, but it means they have to keep cutting fat to hit the management's target of a 24.0% average EBITDA margin for the 2025-2027 fiscal years.
The company's growth strategy-buying up smaller pest control firms-is a double-edged sword. Rollins made 12 acquisitions in the first half of 2025, including the strategic purchase of Saela Pest Control. This aggressive inorganic growth is meant to supplement their strong 7-8% organic growth target. The risk here is integration: folding that many new companies into the Orkin brand's operational systems without disrupting service or losing key talent is hard. Just look at the capital allocated: they invested $27 million in acquisitions in Q1 2025 and another $35 million in Q3 2025. That's a lot of upfront spending that could delay the margin expansion you're hoping for.
You also can't ignore the external pressures. Macroeconomic factors are a constant threat, and for a global operator like Rollins, currency fluctuation is real. For example, the stronger U.S. dollar reduced Q1 2025 revenue by 40 basis points. Also, the environmental regulatory landscape is getting tougher. The company is currently managing an investigation by California authorities regarding waste handling. While the company doesn't expect a material financial impact, a regulatory misstep can hit the brand reputation fast. They're a pest control company; compliance is non-negotiable.
Here's a quick snapshot of the key risk areas and what Rollins is doing about them:
| Risk Area | 2025 Financial Impact/Data Point | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Operational Cost Creep | Q1 2025 Employee Compensation up 9.6% YoY. | Modernization initiative; CFO compensation tied to margin improvement; cost control in logistics. |
| Acquisition Integration | 12 acquisitions in H1 2025; $35 million invested in Q3 2025 M&A. | Targeted M&A strategy for 3-4% inorganic growth; strong balance sheet (0.9x leverage ratio) for financial flexibility. |
| Macro/External | Q1 2025 revenue reduced by 40 basis points due to currency headwinds. | Geographic diversity across 12 global regions; recurring revenue model (75% of sales) provides recession resilience. |
The company's financial flexibility is its biggest buffer against these risks. With a low leverage ratio of 0.9x and a strong free cash flow conversion, they have the capital to absorb integration costs and ride out economic volatility. If you want to dive deeper into the ownership structure behind these decisions, check out Exploring Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for a clear map of where Rollins, Inc. (ROL) goes from here, and the answer is simple: continued, deliberate expansion driven by a dual strategy of organic growth and strategic acquisitions. The company's long-term growth algorithm targets a combined annual sales growth of 9-11%, which is a defintely achievable target given the current momentum.
The core of this growth is their ability to consistently pull in new business (organic growth) while consolidating the highly fragmented pest control industry through smart M&A (mergers and acquisitions). Here's the quick math: management is guiding for 7-8% organic growth, plus another 3-4% from acquisitions. That steady, recurring revenue-which is about 75% of their total top line-is what makes this business model so reliable, even when the economy slows down.
Key Growth Drivers: M&A, Tech, and Market Expansion
Rollins, Inc. isn't just relying on industry tailwinds like climate change and increased pet ownership; they are actively investing in two major areas to accelerate growth. First, their acquisition strategy is precise. In 2025, they spent approximately $226 million on acquiring businesses like Saela Pest Control. That one deal alone is expected to add $45-$50 million in full-year revenue and expand the company's reach across the Pacific Northwest, Mountain West, and Midwestern United States.
Second, the company is undergoing a significant modernization effort, which is a fancy way of saying they are using technology to get more efficient. This includes rolling out the AI-powered Branch Operating Support System (BOSS) and other digital tools to boost technician productivity and improve customer retention. These initiatives are expected to lift incremental earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margins to 25-30% in the second half of the 2025 fiscal year.
Strategic growth is a non-negotiable part of the plan.
- Acquire regional leaders to increase route density.
- Use technology to drive operational efficiency.
- Expand service lines, especially termite and ancillary services.
Future Revenue and Earnings Estimates (FY 2025)
The financial projections for the full 2025 fiscal year reflect confidence in this strategy. For example, Q3 2025 revenue hit $1.03 billion, up 12% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.35. Analysts are projecting the full-year 2025 EPS to reach $1.15, which would be a solid increase from the prior year.
To give you a clearer picture of what the market is expecting, here are the consensus projections for the full 2025 fiscal year:
| Metric | 2025 Full-Year Projection | Implied Growth Driver |
|---|---|---|
| Projected EPS | $1.15 | Operational efficiency, pricing power |
| Forecasted Revenue Growth | 8.1% - 11% | Organic growth, M&A (Saela) |
| Target Organic Growth Rate | 7-8% | Pricing, service frequency, route density |
Competitive Advantages and Financial Flexibility
Rollins, Inc. holds a few distinct competitive advantages that position it well. The most obvious is its brand power, with Orkin contributing about 50% of total sales. But also, their balance sheet is strong-they maintain a low leverage ratio of 0.9x, giving them significant financial flexibility to fund future acquisitions without overextending. This disciplined capital allocation is a key reason they can continue to compound cash flow. For a deeper dive into the company's underlying principles, you can check out the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Rollins, Inc. (ROL).
What this estimate hides, though, is the potential for margin pressure from rising insurance and claims costs, which is a common challenge in the services sector. Still, their focus on technology and pricing should help offset those headwinds. The ability to consistently generate robust free cash flow, representing approximately 74% of EBITDA year-to-date, underscores their ability to execute.

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