Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Bundle
You're looking at Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) and trying to figure out if the identity verification platform is finally translating its airport ubiquity into sustainable financial power, and honestly, the Q3 2025 numbers give us a lot to work with. The company just reported a solid quarter, with Revenue hitting $229.2 million, a strong 15.5% jump year-over-year, which shows the core travel business is defintely still expanding. This growth is backed by the Active CLEAR+ Member count climbing to 7.7 million, up 7.5% from the prior year, so people are still signing up for the frictionless experience. The real story here, though, is the cash flow-management raised their Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow guidance to at least $320 million, a massive vote of confidence, even after taking a one-time hit of roughly $229 million for an annual credit card partner payment in the quarter. That's a huge number, and it tells you they're generating serious cash despite large, lumpy outflows, plus their Net Income landed at a healthy $45.1 million.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know if Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) can keep its growth engine running, and the data says yes, but the quality of that growth is what matters. The core takeaway is that the subscription model is holding up, with Q3 2025 revenue hitting $229.2 million, a solid 15.5% jump year-over-year, which beat analyst estimates.
The company's revenue stream is defintely anchored in a high-visibility, recurring model, which is what we like to see. The bulk of the revenue comes from the annual membership fees for the secure identity platform (the CLEAR+ product), which is essentially a subscription business. This model gives them predictable cash flow, which is a major plus for valuation.
Here's the quick math on the near-term run rate: the trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue ending September 30, 2025, stood at $866.30 million, reflecting a strong 17.83% growth rate over the prior TTM period. That's a good clip, but it's crucial to watch the rate of member acquisition and usage, as that's the lifeblood of this model.
The revenue breakdown shows a company successfully diversifying its identity verification platform beyond just airport security:
- CLEAR+ Memberships: The primary driver, fueled by a Q3 2025 active member base of 7.7 million, up 7.5% from the year before.
- CLEAR1 (Enterprise): A growing segment focused on enterprise customers, which is seeing a record number of new customer signings, expanding the identity platform into new verticals.
- New Services: Revenue from new offerings like the CLEAR Concierge service, now available at 23 airports, and the rollout of eGates at 10 airports, which provides a new layer of premium and infrastructure-based revenue.
What this estimate hides is the significant cash flow impact from a key partnership. The annual payment to a major credit card partner, which was approximately $229 million in Q3 2025, is tied to the bookings (Total Bookings were $260.1 million in Q3 2025, up 14.3%). This payment is a massive cost of revenue, but it's also the engine for member acquisition, especially with the American Express Platinum Card partnership.
In terms of forward-looking opportunity, the company is guiding for Q4 2025 revenue between $234 million and $237 million, signaling continued, albeit slightly moderating, growth at a 14.2% year-over-year midpoint. Also, the expansion of CLEAR+ to international travelers from over 40 countries and the accelerated eGate rollout (targeting 30 airports by year-end) are clear actions to sustain future revenue growth. You can review their long-term strategy here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU).
To summarize the recent performance:
| Metric | Q3 2025 Value | Year-over-Year Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly Revenue | $229.2 million | 15.5% |
| Total Bookings | $260.1 million | 14.3% |
| Active CLEAR+ Members | 7.7 million | 7.5% |
| TTM Revenue (as of 9/30/25) | $866.30 million | 17.83% |
The next step is to drill down into the cost structure and margins to see how much of that healthy revenue growth actually flows to the bottom line.
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) because you want to know if their growth is profitable, and the short answer is yes, but with a nuance: they are generating strong gross profits but are slightly below the industry average on net income, which is a common trade-off for high-growth tech-enabled services.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 2025, Clear Secure, Inc. reported a gross profit of $550.88 million on revenue of $866.30 million, translating to a TTM Gross Profit Margin of approximately 63.59%. This is a fantastic margin that shows their core service model-selling secure identity subscriptions-is highly efficient. The cost of goods sold (COGS) is low relative to the revenue they bring in. This TTM gross margin of 63.59% is actually slightly ahead of the industry average of 62.52% for similar software and internet services companies, which is a great sign of operational strength.
- Core subscription model drives high gross margins.
- Operating margins show investment in growth.
- Net profit is solid, but slightly trails peers.
Margin Trends and Operational Efficiency
When you move down the income statement, you see where the company is spending to secure its future. For the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025), Clear Secure, Inc. posted an Operating Income of $52.6 million on $229.2 million in revenue, resulting in an Operating Income Margin of 23.0%. This is a strong margin, but it does sit a bit below the TTM industry average of 21.68% for operating margin. This difference is where you see their investment in expansion-new airport locations, technology development, and a growing sales force. To be fair, they are managing costs well; in Q1 2025, for instance, General and Administrative (G&A) expense as a percentage of revenue was down a significant 360 basis points year-over-year. That's defintely a clear sign of improving operational efficiency (OpEx) as the business scales.
The bottom line, or Net Profit Margin, for Q3 2025 was 19.7%, driven by Net Income of $45.1 million. The TTM Net Profit Margin is even better at 20.97%, reflecting a full year of profitable operations. This TTM figure is a substantial jump from the prior year's margin of 10.9%, showing a clear and positive trend toward greater profitability as the company matures. What this estimate hides, however, is that while it's a massive improvement, the TTM industry net profit margin average is around 22.97%, so there's still room to close that gap.
Here's the quick math on the key profitability metrics for the TTM period ending September 2025:
| Profitability Metric | Amount (TTM Sep 2025) | Margin (TTM Sep 2025) | Industry Average (TTM) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit | $550.88 million | 63.59% | 62.52% |
| Operating Income | $166.75 million | 19.25% | 21.68% |
| Net Income | $181.69 million | 20.97% | 22.97% |
The company's reaffirmed guidance for Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow of at least $320 million indicates management's confidence in turning those strong margins into real, deployable cash. This free cash flow is what ultimately funds their expansion, dividends, and other capital allocation decisions. For a deeper dive into the company's full financial picture, check out the full analysis: Breaking Down Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)'s balance sheet to understand how they finance their growth, and the immediate takeaway is this: the company is aggressively equity-funded and carries a very light debt load. This is a deliberate, low-leverage strategy that minimizes financial risk but can also limit the capital available for massive, immediate expansion.
As of the third quarter of 2025, Clear Secure's total interest-bearing debt stood at approximately $0.11 Billion USD. This debt is dwarfed by the company's total stockholders' equity, which was reported at $166.001 Million. That's a fundamentally conservative capital structure. They are not using much borrowed money to run the business.
Debt-to-Equity: Low Leverage, High Flexibility
The clearest measure of this low-risk approach is the Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio. This ratio tells you how much debt a company is using to finance its assets relative to the value of its shareholders' equity (the money invested by owners). Here's the quick math for the third quarter of 2025:
- Total Debt: $110 Million
- Total Equity: $166.001 Million
- D/E Ratio: $\approx$ 0.66
A ratio of 0.66 means that for every dollar of equity, Clear Secure is utilizing only about 66 cents of debt. This is defintely a strong position. When you compare this to the broader 'Security & Alarm Services' industry average, which is around 0.73, Clear Secure is slightly less leveraged than its peers.
What this estimate hides is the nature of the company's liabilities. The largest liability on the balance sheet is actually not traditional debt, but deferred revenue, which hit nearly $469.793 Million in Q3 2025. This is the cash they've already collected from members for future service-a liability, yes, but a very high-quality, non-interest-bearing one that signals strong customer commitment and a stable funding source. This is a great liability to have.
The company's financing strategy is heavily skewed toward equity and operational funding (like deferred revenue) over traditional debt, which is common for high-growth technology and service companies that prioritize flexibility. They have not had any significant recent debt issuances or major refinancing activity, which is consistent with maintaining this lean profile. The focus remains on organic growth and the capital generated from their core business model, as detailed in their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU).
| Metric (Q3 2025) | Amount (in Millions USD) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Total Interest-Bearing Debt | $\approx$ $110 | Very low debt exposure. |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | $166.001 | Primary source of capital funding. |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | $\approx$ 0.66 | Low financial leverage, conservative risk profile. |
| Deferred Revenue | $469.793 | Major non-debt liability, indicating strong customer prepayment. |
The low D/E ratio means Clear Secure has ample capacity to take on debt if a major strategic acquisition or capital expenditure opportunity arises, but for now, they are letting customer prepayments and equity finance the growth.
Liquidity and Solvency
You're looking at Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) and want to know if they can cover their near-term bills, which is the core of liquidity analysis. The quick takeaway is that while their traditional liquidity ratios look tight, their subscription-based business model and strong Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance for 2025 tell a much more reassuring story.
The most recent quarter's (MRQ) figures show a Current Ratio of just 0.93 and a Quick Ratio of 0.84. These ratios-which measure current assets against current liabilities-sit below the typical 1.0 benchmark, implying a negative working capital position. Honestly, for a company like Clear Secure, Inc., this isn't defintely a red flag, but a feature of their business model.
The Working Capital Trend: Unearned Revenue is Key
The low current and quick ratios are largely driven by a significant liability on the balance sheet: unearned revenue (money collected for services not yet rendered). This is cash in the bank, but it's technically a liability until the service is delivered.
- The Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) change in Unearned Revenue was approximately $50.91 million as of mid-2025, showing a consistent cash inflow from new and renewed memberships.
- Total Bookings for Q3 2025 hit $260.1 million, which is the engine that fuels this unearned revenue liability.
- This liability structure means the company operates with a negative working capital, but it's a stable, predictable liability backed by future service obligations, not a looming debt payment.
Cash Flow Statement Overview: The Annual Payment Impact
Analyzing the cash flow statement is crucial because it shows the actual movement of money, cutting through the accounting noise of the balance sheet. Clear Secure, Inc.'s operational cash flow figures for Q3 2025 look concerning at first glance, but the context changes everything.
Here's the quick math on the Q3 2025 operating cash flow:
| Cash Flow Metric | Q3 2025 Value (Millions USD) | Context/Note |
|---|---|---|
| Net Cash Used in Operating Activities | $(47.3) million | Negative due to a large, one-time payment. |
| Annual Credit Card Partner Payment | ~$229 million | This single payment is the primary cause of the Q3 negative operating cash flow. |
| Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow (FCF) Guidance | At least $320 million | The company's core cash generation strength, excluding one-time capital expenditures. |
The $(47.3) million in net cash used in operating activities for Q3 2025 is an outlier, directly caused by the approximately $229 million annual payment to a credit card partner. This is a predictable, non-recurring-per-quarter expense. The real strength is visible in the full-year outlook: Clear Secure, Inc. increased its Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow guidance to at least $320 million, showing robust cash generation from its core business.
Liquidity Strengths and Actions
The company's investing cash flow is generally positive or manageable, and financing cash flow includes shareholder returns, with approximately $16.7 million returned in Q3 2025 via dividends and distributions. They're confident enough to return capital and state they have sufficient cash and equivalents to meet working capital needs for at least the next 12 months.
If you want to delve deeper into the full financial picture, you can check out the full post at Breaking Down Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your next step should be to model the impact of that annual credit card payment on a quarterly basis to normalize the operating cash flow trend and get a clearer picture of their true quarter-to-quarter liquidity.
Valuation Analysis
Is Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) overvalued or undervalued? The short answer is that the market sees it as a high-growth, subscription-based technology stock, which means its valuation multiples are elevated, but its strong growth in 2025 suggests the premium is somewhat warranted. The stock is currently trading around the $36.45 mark as of late November 2025, which is near the high end of its recent range.
When you look at the core valuation metrics, you see a clear growth-stock profile. The Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio sits at about 19.21, which is a significant drop from its historical average, but still represents a solid multiple for a company with a net margin of 21.17%. To be fair, a P/E under 20 is often seen as reasonable for a tech company growing its revenue by over 15% year-over-year, as Clear Secure did in Q3 2025.
Here's the quick math on the key multiples:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E): Approximately 19.21. This suggests investors are paying a fair price for each dollar of earnings, especially given the company's growth.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): A high 24.06. This is a big number, and it tells you that the market values Clear Secure's brand, technology, and subscriber base (intangible assets) far more than its physical assets on the balance sheet.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): Around 24.61. This multiple is a better measure for comparing capital-intensive companies, and at this level, it signals a premium valuation compared to broader market averages.
The stock's price trend over the last 12 months shows strong momentum, which defintely supports the current valuation. The stock price increased by over 37% in 2025 alone, climbing from a 52-week low of $21.67 to a high of $39.00. That kind of upward trajectory often means the market is pricing in future performance, not just current earnings.
Dividend and Analyst Consensus
Clear Secure does pay a dividend, but it's not a major part of the investment thesis. The TTM dividend yield is about 2.27%, with an annual dividend of $0.77 per share. The good news is the dividend is well-covered, with a payout ratio from earnings at about 47.56%, meaning there is plenty of room for continued investment in the business and potential dividend growth later.
What this estimate hides is the mixed view from Wall Street analysts, which is why you see the stock trading below the average target. The consensus rating is generally a 'Hold' or 'Moderate Buy.'
| Analyst Rating Breakdown | Count (Approx.) | Average 12-Month Target |
|---|---|---|
| Buy/Strong Buy | 4 to 5 | $38.50 to $39.33 |
| Hold | 2 to 3 | |
| Sell | 1 |
The average 12-month price target is around $39.33, suggesting a modest upside of about 9.89% from the current price. The takeaway is that the stock is not cheap, but it's priced for continued execution on its growth strategy, especially as it expands its member base to 7.7 million and launches new features like eGates in more airports. If you want to dive deeper into the operational levers driving these numbers, you can check out the full post on Breaking Down Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) and seeing strong Q3 2025 revenue of $229.2 million, but the real analyst work is mapping the risks that could derail that growth. The biggest near-term concern is a financial one, even with the company reaffirming its Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance of at least $320 million.
The company's Q3 2025 report showed negative FCF of $53.5 million, and net cash used in operating activities of $47.3 million. Here's the quick math: this negative cash flow is not a systemic problem right now; it was almost entirely driven by a single, large annual payment to their credit card partner, which was approximately $229 million. Still, that kind of cash swing means you need defintely tight cash management to fund their ambitious expansion plans, like rolling out eGates to a planned 30 airports by year-end.
The core business model faces a constant dual-threat from competition and member retention, which is an operational risk. Active CLEAR+ Members grew to 7.7 million in Q3 2025, a solid 7.5% year-over-year increase. But, the Annual CLEAR+ Gross Dollar Retention rate dropped sequentially by 40 basis points to 86.9%. That slight dip suggests that previous price increases are starting to make some members walk, or maybe they're just not using the service enough to justify the cost. You need to keep an eye on that retention number.
- Competition: The market is highly competitive, and the company must constantly innovate to maintain its perceived value over government-run programs or new tech entrants.
- Technology Adoption: Public confidence in biometrics and identity platforms is crucial, and any high-profile data breach-even at a competitor-could impact enrollment.
- Execution Risk: Recent leadership transitions create a short-term execution risk, which could impact the delivery of Q4 revenue guidance of $234 million to $237 million.
External and Regulatory Headwinds
The biggest external risk for Clear Secure, Inc. is regulatory change, specifically with the Transportation Security Administration (TSA). The company operates in a public-private partnership (PPP) framework, so its operating agreements are subject to governmental inquiries and regulatory disputes.
For example, if the TSA decides to rapidly accelerate its own biometric or expedited screening technology (NextGen platform), the core value proposition of Clear Secure, Inc.'s service could be eroded. That's a major risk because the company's entire airport footprint relies on its ability to integrate with and enhance the existing security checkpoint process. The company is mitigating this by expanding its platform to other areas like its CLEAR1 enterprise identity platform, plus expanding CLEAR+ to over 40 international country passport holders.
| Risk Category | Q3 2025 Financial/Operational Data | Mitigation/Action |
|---|---|---|
| Financial/Liquidity | Negative Free Cash Flow of $53.5 million (due to ~$229 million annual credit card partner payment). | Full Year 2025 FCF guidance increased to at least $320 million. |
| Operational/Retention | Gross Dollar Retention dropped sequentially to 86.9%. | Expansion of services (e.g., CLEAR Concierge at 23 airports) to increase member value. |
| Strategic/Market | Highly competitive market, reliance on government-certified platform. | Platform diversification (CLEAR1 enterprise growth) and international expansion to over 40 countries. |
For a deeper dive into who is betting on this growth story, you should read Exploring Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for a clear path to growth, and for Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU), that path is paved with biometric identity expansion beyond the airport security lane. The company's strategy is a classic land-and-expand model, moving from its core travel business-which continues to perform-into the much larger digital identity market, what they call the secure identity platform.
The numbers for the 2025 fiscal year confirm this momentum. Analysts project Clear Secure, Inc.'s full-year 2025 revenue to reach approximately $884.6 million, with full-year Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimated at $1.053. This growth is fueled by a steady increase in members, with Active CLEAR+ Members hitting 7.7 million in the third quarter of 2025, a 7.5% year-over-year increase.
- Membership growth drives everything.
Key Growth Drivers and Product Innovation
The primary growth drivers are centered on product innovation that makes the identity verification process more seamless and expands the use case for their platform. The company is actively rolling out its 'Lane of the Future' concept, which is a suite of products designed to reduce friction for members. This includes new EnVe (enrollment verification Pods) and the deployment of eGates across its airport network.
Product innovations are also targeting regulatory compliance and convenience. The launch of CLEAR ID as a REAL ID solution for U.S. travelers is a significant market opportunity, addressing a compliance need for millions of Americans. Furthermore, the ePassport product allows members to digitize their passports via the CLEAR app in under two minutes, simplifying international travel enrollment.
Here's the quick math: The company's Q4 2025 revenue guidance of $234 million to $237 million represents a 14.2% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, suggesting the growth engine is still running strong as the year closes.
Market Expansion and Strategic Partnerships
The biggest near-term opportunity for Clear Secure, Inc. is its aggressive market expansion outside of domestic airport security. This involves both geographic and vertical growth. The company has already launched international identity verification services in markets like the UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, a clear signal of its global ambitions.
On the vertical front, the CLEAR1 enterprise business is gaining traction, signing a record number of new enterprise customers in Q3 2025. This diversification is crucial. For example, the strategic partnership with Wellstar Health System to modernize patient check-in using CLEAR1's digital platform shows a tangible move into the healthcare sector. They also formed a partnership with DocuSign. This is how the company moves from a travel perk to a fundamental piece of digital infrastructure. You can read more about their core philosophy here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU).
Competitive Advantages and Financial Strength
Clear Secure, Inc.'s competitive edge lies in its first-mover advantage and the network effect of its established airport footprint, which now includes 60 CLEAR+ airports. This scale is difficult for competitors to replicate quickly. The company also maintains a strong financial position, which provides a buffer against market volatility and funds its expansion. It is a debt-free business with a history of robust profitability.
The operational efficiency is defintely a key advantage. For the third quarter of 2025, the Adjusted EBITDA margin was a healthy 30.6%, demonstrating its ability to scale profitably. Furthermore, the company has increased its Full Year 2025 Free Cash Flow guidance to at least $320 million, up from the prior guidance of $310 million, which gives them significant capital for R&D and potential strategic acquisitions.
| Metric | Q3 2025 Actual | Full Year 2025 Projection | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $229.2 million | ~$884.6 million (Analyst Estimate) | CLEAR+ Membership & Enterprise Growth |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 30.6% | Expansion Reaffirmed | Operational Efficiency & Scale |
| Active CLEAR+ Members | 7.7 million (7.5% YoY) | N/A | Network Expansion & New Products |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A | At least $320 million (Guidance) | Subscription Model & Capital Discipline |

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