Exploring Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Exploring Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

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You're looking at Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) and wondering why the stock chart feels like a tug-of-war between growth investors and valuation realists, and honestly, you're right to be curious about who's driving the action. The story here is that 93% of the company is owned by institutions-that's a serious conviction level from the big money, including heavyweights like BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc.. The question isn't if the smart money is in, but why they're piling in, especially when the company is guiding for full-year 2025 Total Revenues between $350 million and $385 million.

In the third quarter of 2025 alone, Goosehead Insurance reported total revenue growth of 16% to $90.4 million, which is a defintely strong signal of their franchise model's momentum, plus they repurchased $58.7 million in shares to signal confidence. But what's the core thesis that made Durable Capital Partners Lp increase its stake by over 126% in the last reporting period? Is it the projected $4.38 billion to $4.65 billion in Total Written Premiums for 2025, or something deeper about their tech-driven distribution model? Let's unpack the investor roster and see what they're betting on.

Who Invests in Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) and Why?

The investor profile for Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) is overwhelmingly institutional, meaning the stock is primarily held by large funds and asset managers betting on its aggressive, technology-driven growth model. You're looking at a classic growth stock, where the motivation is capital appreciation from market expansion, not passive income like dividends.

This heavy institutional backing, which accounts for nearly 93% of the shares outstanding, signals a belief in the long-term strategic vision, especially the company's push to disrupt the personal lines insurance market. The retail investor base, while present, is a small piece of the puzzle, so major price movements are defintely driven by these large-scale players.

The Institutional Dominance and Key Players

When you look at the shareholder base, it's clear Goosehead Insurance, Inc is a favorite among the giants of the asset management world. These institutions aren't just dipping their toes in; they are building core positions, which points to a high-conviction, long-term view of the company's business model.

For example, as of the third quarter of 2025, firms like BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc. were among the largest holders, owning 14.4% and 10.4% of the common stock, respectively. This table shows the breakdown, which is typical for a high-growth, mid-cap company that has proven its model but is still scaling rapidly.

Investor Type % of Shares Outstanding (2025) Shares Held (Approx.)
Institutions 93% 27,528,081
Hedge Funds 4.91% 1,454,490
Individual Insiders 2.09% 619,971

Here's the quick math: almost every nine out of ten Goosehead Insurance, Inc shares are held by a professional money manager. That's a strong vote of confidence.

Growth, Not Income: The Core Motivation

The primary attraction to Goosehead Insurance, Inc is its aggressive growth trajectory, not its cash return. The company does not pay a regular dividend, so it's not a stock for income-focused portfolios. Investors are buying into the future earnings potential, which is why the forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is high-around 61.2x, far above the US insurance industry average of 14.3x.

This premium valuation is tied directly to the 2025 financial guidance. Management is projecting full-year 2025 Total Revenues between $350 million and $385 million, representing up to 22% organic growth, and Total Written Premiums between $4.38 billion and $4.65 billion. Investors are motivated by this top-line expansion and the expected annual earnings growth of 34.66%.

  • Buy for high growth: Revenue and premium expansion are the main drivers.
  • Skip for dividends: The company retains capital for reinvestment.
  • Focus on technology: Digital platform investment is key to scaling.

The 'Digital Agent' and Long-Term Strategy

The typical strategy for a Goosehead Insurance, Inc investor is long-term holding, centered on the company's unique franchise model and its significant investment in technology. They are growth investors who see the potential for operating leverage (where revenue grows faster than costs) as the 'digital agent' platform scales.

Management has invested $10.9 million in the digital agent platform so far in 2025, aiming for a future with 40% plus total written premium growth within the next five years. This focus on a tech-enabled, high-margin future is the central thesis for institutional buyers. This strategy is also why you see the company use share buybacks as a capital return tool, repurchasing $58.7 million of shares in Q3 2025 to reduce the share count and boost per-share metrics.

Some investors also see a value opportunity, noting that the stock is trading well below some analyst fair value estimates of $98.10, suggesting a potential turnaround story if the growth narrative accelerates. If you want to dig deeper into the company's underlying financial stability that supports this growth thesis, you should check out Breaking Down Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your next step should be to model how that digital agent investment impacts their long-term free cash flow.

Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD)

If you're looking at Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD), the first thing to grasp is that this is an institutionally-driven stock. Institutional investors-the big mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers-hold a massive stake, and their trading activity is what largely dictates the stock's near-term volatility and long-term strategic direction.

As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, a substantial 27,536,812 shares of Goosehead Insurance, Inc were held by institutions, representing a total market value of approximately $1.896 billion. That's a huge concentration, so you need to pay close attention to who is buying and selling. The total number of institutional holders currently stands at 316.

Top Institutional Investors and Their Stakes

The list of top holders reads like a who's who of global asset management, which lends a certain credibility to the stock's long-term narrative. These are not small players making speculative bets; they are firms with deep research capabilities and long time horizons. Honestly, their presence is a strong vote of confidence in the company's franchise model and digital strategy.

Here's a quick look at the largest institutional owners of Goosehead Insurance, Inc Class A Common Stock as of September 30, 2025:

Owner Name Shares Held (as of 9/30/2025) Change in Shares (Q3 2025)
Blackrock, Inc. 3,562,952 -13,351
Vanguard Group Inc. 2,588,742 -36,876
Wasatch Advisors LP 2,216,183 -59,186
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc 2,126,300 -196,787
Capital World Investors 1,688,000 0

Notice that while these are the largest holders, some of them, like Blackrock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc., made minor trims to their positions in the third quarter of 2025. This is often just portfolio rebalancing, not a fundamental shift in view.

Recent Shifts: Who's Buying and Why?

The most telling data isn't just who holds the most, but who is actively increasing or decreasing their stake. In the third quarter of 2025, we saw a mixed signal: 118 institutional holders increased their positions, adding a total of 3,396,001 shares, but 155 institutions decreased their holdings, selling 2,848,084 shares. The net buying pressure was positive, but the number of sellers slightly outweighed the buyers.

The clear bullish conviction came from a few key players. Durable Capital Partners LP, for instance, significantly increased its stake by adding 861,374 shares in Q3 2025. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. also showed strong conviction, increasing its position by 371,801 shares in the same quarter. In the prior quarter, Q2 2025, Balyasny Asset Management L.P. had already grown its position by a massive 118.7%. These are high-conviction moves by sophisticated funds, signaling a belief that the stock is undervalued given its growth trajectory.

  • Durable Capital Partners LP: Added 861,374 shares, a major Q3 2025 vote of confidence.
  • Balyasny Asset Management L.P.: Increased Q3 2025 stake by 371,801 shares.
  • Wasatch Advisors LP: Grew its Q2 2025 position by 12.6%.

The Institutional Impact on Strategy and Stock Price

Institutional ownership plays a direct role in Goosehead Insurance, Inc's stock price and strategy. High institutional ownership often means lower daily trading volatility because these investors tend to hold for the long haul. But, when they do trade, the impact is significant. They can create a floor under the stock price, especially when they are net buyers, as they were with a net share increase in Q3 2025.

Strategically, the company's actions reflect a focus on institutional shareholder value. For example, in the third quarter of 2025, Goosehead Insurance, Inc repurchased $58.7 million worth of shares at an average price of $85.58. This move reduces the share count, which can boost future earnings per share (EPS), a metric institutional investors obsess over. For the full year 2025, the company is projecting total revenues between $350 million and $385 million, and written premiums between $4.38 billion and 4.65 billion. These are the core numbers the institutions are modeling for their buy/sell decisions.

The institutional investment narrative is built on the company's ability to execute its expansion through its franchise agent network and digital platforms. If you want to understand the long-term thesis, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD). The institutional money is defintely betting on that continued, high-efficiency growth.

Here's the quick math: The company's Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA was $29.7 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. That's the kind of margin expansion that keeps the big money interested, even if the net income of $12.7 million was only slightly up from the prior year. The risk, still, is that any slowdown in agent network growth or a major technological disruption could cause a swift institutional sell-off. Keep your eye on the agent count and client retention.

Key Investors and Their Impact on Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD)

The investor profile for Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) is a fascinating mix, primarily defined by an unusually high level of founder and insider ownership, which gives the company a clear, long-term strategic direction. This massive insider stake, coupled with a strong conviction from major institutional money managers, signals a belief in the firm's high-growth, technology-driven franchise model, even with its premium valuation.

If you're looking at Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD), you're essentially betting alongside the founders, Mark Evan Jones and Robyn Mary Elizabeth Jones, who hold a substantial portion of the company's equity, giving them defintely controlling interest. Their combined individual holdings alone represent a significant capital concentration, ensuring that management's interests are tightly aligned with long-term shareholder value creation.

The Dual-Class Ownership Structure and Founder Control

The most critical factor in Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD)'s ownership is the founder-led control, which is often facilitated by a dual-class share structure. This arrangement means the founders and family trusts hold shares with superior voting rights, effectively insulating the company from activist investors and short-term market pressures. This allows them to focus on their long-term growth strategy, which includes expanding the corporate agent headcount-up 14% to 523 in Q3 2025-and investing in their digital platforms.

Here's the quick math: The largest individual shareholder, Mark Evan Jones, holds approximately 11.19 million shares, valued at roughly $772.53 million. His spouse, Robyn Mary Elizabeth Jones, holds about 11.14 million shares, valued at roughly $769.08 million. This level of insider ownership-around 76.59% overall-means any major strategic shift, like a sale or a change in capital allocation, must have the founders' approval. It's a double-edged sword: great for stability, but less open to outside pressure for immediate returns.

Institutional Giants Providing Stability

Despite the high insider concentration, the institutional ownership is also substantial, showing that large, sophisticated funds want exposure to Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD)'s growth story. These institutions provide a liquid and stable base for the publicly traded Class A shares. The presence of firms like BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. is less about activism and more about passive, long-term conviction in the business model's scalability.

These massive asset managers are not looking to change the company's direction; they are simply allocating capital to a high-growth name. For instance, BlackRock, Inc. is a top institutional holder, owning approximately 3.56 million shares, valued at around $245.95 million, while Vanguard Group Inc. holds about 2.59 million shares, valued at approximately $178.70 million. This institutional presence lends credibility and a floor to the stock price. You can read more about the company's origins and business model here: Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

Top Institutional Holdings in Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) (Approximate Q3 2025 Data)
Institution Approximate Shares Held (millions) Approximate Value (millions) Investor Influence Type
BlackRock, Inc. 3.56 $245.95 Passive/Index-Driven
Vanguard Group Inc. 2.59 $178.70 Passive/Index-Driven
Wasatch Advisors LP 2.28 $240.07 Active Management
Durable Capital Partners LP ~0.69 $71.83 Active Management/Growth Focus

Recent Capital Moves: Buybacks and Insider Trading

The most telling recent activity is the combination of corporate share repurchases and targeted insider transactions. This shows management is actively managing capital and believing the stock is undervalued at certain points. The company's own actions are a form of investor influence-they are directly reducing the share count and boosting Earnings Per Share (EPS) potential.

  • Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) repurchased 685,000 shares in Q3 2025.
  • The total value of this Q3 2025 buyback was $58.7 million at an average price of $85.58 per share.
  • CFO Mark E. Jr. Jones purchased 873 shares in October 2025 for $64,986.12, a small but notable display of confidence.
  • Durable Capital Partners LP established a new stake in Q2 2025 valued at $71.83 million, a clear vote for the growth trajectory.
  • A founder-related trust, Mark & Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014, sold 60,715 shares in August 2025 for $5.26 million, which is common for diversification or tax planning but still worth tracking.

What this estimate hides is the true impact of the buyback on the market's perception. The $58.7 million returned to shareholders in Q3 2025, alongside a 16% year-over-year increase in total revenues to $90.4 million, suggests a management team confident enough in its cash flow to both invest in the business and return capital. This action, more than any fund manager's word, is the clearest signal of an optimistic near-term outlook.

Market Impact and Investor Sentiment

The investor sentiment toward Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) is best described as cautiously optimistic, leaning toward a Moderate Buy consensus from Wall Street analysts, but still tempered by mixed recent financial results and significant insider selling. Institutional investors, the real heavyweights, own a staggering 93% of the company's stock, which shows strong belief in the long-term, scalable franchise model. You can dive deeper into the company's foundation here: Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

The average analyst price target sits around $92.44 to $95.64 as of late 2025, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 35.21% from the recent trading price of $68.37. That's a decent return if the company executes its growth plan. Still, the range is wide-from a low of $43.00 to a high of $140.00-which tells you there's a real debate about valuation and future growth velocity. It's not a clear-cut story, honestly.

The Dual Signals of Insider and Institutional Moves

You're seeing a classic tug-of-war between insiders and institutions. On one hand, institutional confidence is high, with firms like BlackRock and Vanguard Group holding massive positions. As of June 2025, BlackRock, Inc. was the top institutional holder with approximately 3.6 million shares valued at around $377 million, and The Vanguard Group, Inc. held about 2.6 million shares. That's a huge vote of confidence from the world's largest asset managers.

But then you look at the insider activity, and the picture gets complicated. While CFO Mark E. Jr. Jones purchased 873 shares for $64,986.12 in October 2025, a major shareholder, & Robyn Jones Descendants Mark, executed a series of substantial sales in August 2025, selling off shares worth millions. This kind of selling by founding family or major shareholders can spook the market, even if it's for diversification or tax planning. It just raises an eyebrow.

  • BlackRock: 3.6M shares held (Jun 2025).
  • Vanguard Group: 2.6M shares held (Jun 2025).
  • CFO Mark E. Jr. Jones: Bought 873 shares (Oct 2025).
  • Major Shareholder Selling: Over $15 million in insider sales (last 90 days of Q3 2025).

Recent Market Reactions to Ownership Shifts

The market has been quick to react to both positive and negative news in 2025. For example, the stock fell 4.63% in after-hours trading following the Q1 2025 earnings release. Why? Because the company missed revenue expectations, reporting $75.6 million against a forecast of $78.89 million, even though it beat on EPS. Investors are focused on the top-line growth, not just beating a low earnings bar.

However, the company's completion of a share repurchase program, buying back 691,000 shares for $59.19 million, provided a recent positive catalyst, signaling management's belief that the stock is undervalued. This move reduces the share count, which can support future earnings per share (EPS). Here's the quick math: fewer shares outstanding means each share gets a bigger slice of the net income pie, all else being equal. This is a clear, actionable move by management to boost shareholder value, defintely something you want to see.

Key Investor/Analyst Metric 2025 Fiscal Year Data (Approx.) Sentiment Implication
Institutional Ownership Approximately 93% Strong long-term conviction
Analyst Consensus Rating Hold / Moderate Buy Cautious optimism on valuation
Average Price Target $92.44 to $95.64 Significant upside potential
Q3 2025 Revenue Expectation $93.39 million (up 19.7% YoY) Growth story is intact

Analyst Perspectives on Key Investor Impact

Analysts generally view the high institutional ownership as a stabilizing factor. When firms like BlackRock and Vanguard Group hold large stakes, it suggests deep due diligence and a belief in the long-term operating leverage of Goosehead Insurance, Inc's franchise model. The core of the bull case is the rapid adoption of the company's proprietary AI and digital platforms, which is expected to drive lower servicing costs and expand net margins over time. This is the operating leverage story that the big funds are buying into.

The risk, as highlighted by some analysts, is a deceleration in core revenue growth, as seen in the reduction of some 2026 core revenue forecasts. For instance, one analyst reduced their 2026 core revenue forecast following a slowdown in premium per policy growth in Q3 2025. What this estimate hides, though, is the potential for new agent productivity to offset the slowdown in premium per policy. Your next step should be to look closely at the new agent cohort data to see if the growth engine is still firing on all cylinders. Action: Review the latest investor presentation for new agent productivity metrics and retention rates by end of the month.

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