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PAR Technology Corporation (PAR): PESTLE Analysis [Nov-2025 Updated] |
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You're looking for a clear, actionable breakdown of the forces shaping PAR Technology Corporation's (PAR) future, and that's defintely what a PESTLE analysis provides. As a seasoned analyst, I see a company successfully pivoting to high-margin software, but still navigating global supply chain headaches and a volatile restaurant economy. Here is the six-block view, grounded in late 2025 fiscal data.
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Political factors
Geopolitical events and trade disputes create supply chain uncertainty.
You're seeing global trade policy become a core risk factor again, and for a hardware-involved company like PAR Technology Corporation, that translates directly into cost volatility. The ongoing U.S.-China trade and commerce war, combined with broader geopolitical instability in regions like the Middle East, is causing significant disruption.
PAR sources its hardware components and products internationally, specifically mentioning suppliers in South Korea, China, and Taiwan. This deep integration means the company is directly exposed to hostilities and trade restrictions, leading to anticipated supply chain challenges and commodity cost volatility in 2025.
Honestly, policy volatility is the biggest barrier right now. It makes long-term procurement planning defintely difficult.
New US government tariffs, implemented in Q2 2025, pressure hardware margins.
The new U.S. government tariffs, which were implemented as a series of significant levies starting in the second quarter of 2025, immediately pressured PAR's hardware profitability. This is a direct hit to the bottom line, even as the company focuses on its higher-margin subscription services.
Here's the quick math on the impact seen in the third quarter of 2025:
| Metric | Q3 2025 Result | Q3 2024 Result | Change/Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hardware Gross Margin | 17.8% | 25.5% | Directly hit by U.S. tariffs |
| Management Outlook | Expects return to mid-20% range | N/A | Anticipated as pricing actions flow through |
The broader U.S. policy, which included a minimum 10% universal baseline tariff on all imports and a combined rate of up to 145% on Chinese imports at its peak, forced PAR to implement pricing actions to mitigate the cost increases. The margin compression is a near-term headwind, but the expectation is that the mid-20% margin range will normalize as those price increases take effect.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (July 2025) reinstated immediate expensing of R&D costs.
The signing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, was a win for domestic innovation, restoring the option to immediately deduct domestic Research and Development (R&D) expenditures.
For PAR, a company heavily invested in its cloud-based platform and new initiatives like PAR AI, this is a positive tax development. The new Code Section 174A applies to tax years beginning after December 31, 2024, allowing immediate expensing instead of the five-year amortization previously required. This is a significant cash flow benefit.
What this estimate hides is the timing. While the law is effective for the 2025 tax year, PAR's Q3 2025 report noted the enacted legislation did not have a material impact on their effective tax rate for the first nine months of the year, though it did decrease taxes payable. The full financial benefit will be realized in the 2025 year-end tax filing and as they evaluate the impact on fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
- 2024 R&D Expense: $67.3 million (indicative of the scale of investment)
- New Law: Allows immediate deduction of domestic R&D costs.
- Action: Accelerates tax savings and improves cash flow.
Divestiture of the Government segment in mid-2024 simplifies regulatory focus to commercial tech.
The divestiture of the Government operating segment in mid-2024 was a crucial political and strategic move. By selling PAR Government Systems Corporation (PGSC) and Rome Research Corporation (RRC) in June and July 2024, PAR effectively exited a highly regulated, non-core business.
The total transaction value for the divestiture was $102 million. This capital was then available to be reinvested into the core restaurant technology business, which is the company's primary strategic focus. The move simplifies the regulatory environment by eliminating the complex compliance requirements associated with U.S. government contracting, allowing management to concentrate solely on the commercial technology sector.
The regulatory simplification is a huge operational win.
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic factors
You're looking at PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) and trying to map the economic landscape, and the picture is a classic split: strong subscription growth is battling a volatile macro environment. The core takeaway is that while macroeconomic headwinds are slowing down the deployment of new deals, the same pressures-high labor costs and inflation-are simultaneously creating a massive, long-term demand for PAR's efficiency-driving software solutions.
Macroeconomic volatility is causing customers to delay contracted deal rollouts
The current macroeconomic volatility, driven by high interest rates and persistent inflation, is causing a near-term drag on PAR's revenue recognition. Honestly, your customers-the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) chains-are feeling the pinch, so they are pumping the brakes on major capital expenditures.
This caution is manifesting in slower Point of Sale (POS) rollouts and delays in signing large, multi-year deals. For example, a multimillion-dollar backlog of Task rollouts, originally slated for fiscal Q2 2025, has been deferred into 2026. This doesn't mean the deals are lost, but it does push the revenue recognition cycle out.
Still, the need for technology upgrades is not going away. Legacy systems simply can't handle the new Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven tools needed for modern efficiency, so the revenue will defintely come, just a little slower.
Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA was a positive $5.8 million, showing profit leverage from growth
Despite the rollout delays, PAR is demonstrating significant operating leverage. The company's focus on high-margin subscription services is translating directly into improved profitability on an adjusted basis. This is a crucial metric for a growth company like PAR, showing they can scale efficiently.
Here's the quick math: Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (Adjusted EBITDA) for Q3 2025 was a positive $5.8 million, a substantial jump from the $2.4 million reported in Q3 2024. This 142% year-over-year increase shows the underlying business model is sound and is starting to convert top-line growth into bottom-line results.
Full-year 2025 EPS is forecasted at $0.11, indicating expected profitability this year
Analysts are forecasting that PAR will achieve non-GAAP profitability for the full fiscal year 2025. This is a major milestone for a company that has been in a high-growth, investment phase. The consensus Earnings Per Share (EPS) forecast for the full-year 2025 is projected at $0.11. What this estimate hides is the continued investment in new products, like PAR AI, which will keep GAAP net income negative but positions the company for future market share gains.
High inflation and rising labor costs (up 6% in 2024) drive demand for PAR's efficiency software
This is the biggest economic tailwind for PAR. The restaurant industry is grappling with severe labor inflation. In 2024, restaurants nationwide saw a 6% increase in labor costs, which is double the average U.S. labor cost increase of 3% for the same period. This high cost structure is forcing restaurant operators to invest in automation and efficiency tools just to maintain their thin 3-5% profit margins.
PAR's solutions, which include self-service kiosks, mobile ordering, and AI-powered scheduling, directly address this pain point. It's a simple equation: rising labor costs make PAR's software a necessity, not a luxury.
- Labor costs in 2024 rose 6% for restaurants.
- This increase is nearly double the average U.S. labor cost rise.
- The cost pressure drives adoption of digital tools to reduce reliance on staff.
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) hit $298.4 million in Q3 2025, a strong subscription base
The company's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)-the predictable revenue from subscriptions-is the bedrock of its valuation and financial stability. ARR reached $298.4 million at the end of Q3 2025, an impressive 22% increase year-over-year. This strong, sticky subscription base provides a buffer against the volatility in hardware sales and delayed rollouts, ensuring a reliable stream of high-margin revenue.
| Financial Metric | Q3 2025 Value | Year-over-Year Change | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) | $298.4 million | +22% | Strong, predictable subscription base. |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $5.8 million | +142% (from $2.4M in Q3 '24) | Demonstrates clear operating leverage. |
| Subscription Service Revenue | $75.0 million | +25% | Fueling margin expansion and growth. |
| Full-Year 2025 EPS Forecast (Non-GAAP) | $0.11 | Expected to turn positive | Anticipated first year of non-GAAP profitability. |
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors
Consumer shift to digital ordering and delivery is a massive tailwind for PAR's platforms.
You can't ignore the fact that dining habits have fundamentally changed; the digital transaction is now the default. This massive shift to off-premises dining-takeout and delivery-is a core tailwind for PAR Technology Corporation's unified commerce platform. In the US, the online food delivery market is projected to reach $429.90 billion in 2025, representing a 21.7% growth from 2024. Honestly, if you're not optimized for digital, you're missing the market.
The sheer volume of transactions moving off-premise means restaurants need sophisticated, integrated systems like PAR Technology Corporation's to manage the complexity. A recent industry study noted that 75% of restaurant traffic now involves takeout, which highlights why the company's digital ordering and Point-of-Sale (POS) solutions are no longer a luxury, but essential infrastructure. This trend is driven by younger generations, with Millennials and Gen Z relying on food delivery regularly.
Here's a quick look at the market growth that directly supports PAR Technology Corporation's digital solutions:
| Metric | 2024 Value (USD) | 2025 Projected Value (USD) | Year-over-Year Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Online Food Delivery Market Revenue | $156.75 billion | $173.57 billion | 10.7% CAGR |
| United States Online Food Delivery Market Revenue | $353.3 billion | $429.90 billion | 21.7% Growth |
Loyalty program adoption is critical, with Punchh-driven programs boosting repeat sales over 30% in 2024.
The stickiness of a customer relationship is everything when transaction volume is high but margins are tight. The Punchh platform, a key part of PAR Technology Corporation's Engagement Cloud, directly addresses this by building customer lifetime value. Loyalty programs are proving to be a powerful differentiator in a competitive landscape, with Gen Z accounting for nearly 25% of total loyalty signups-the largest year-over-year increase of any generation.
The impact of a well-executed loyalty program is clear in the numbers. While overall industry sales growth was modest, loyalty programs drove significantly higher sales growth for restaurant segments in 2023:
- Casual Dining: Loyalty drove 20% sales growth versus 4.7% industry average.
- Fast Casual: Loyalty drove 18% sales growth versus 11.2% industry average.
- Quick Service: Loyalty drove 10% sales growth versus 7.9% industry average.
This success is why PAR Technology Corporation's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which includes Punchh subscriptions, grew to $298.4 million in Q3 2025, a 22% total growth year-over-year. The platform's ability to deliver personalized experiences is what keeps customers coming back, which is defintely a core value proposition.
Restaurant labor shortages increase the necessity for automation solutions like kiosks.
The persistent labor shortage and rising wage costs are forcing operators to invest in technology to maintain profitability. This is a structural necessity that makes automation solutions like PAR Technology Corporation's kiosks and new PAR AI platform a must-have. In the first quarter of 2025, the restaurant industry saw a net loss of over 25,000 jobs, the lowest quarterly performance since late 2020.
The cost pressure is real, so operators are looking for efficiency. A survey showed that 92% of operators experienced rising labor costs in the last 12 months, and 89% expect this trend to continue over the next 12 months. This is why 47% of operators are anticipating that technology and automation will become more common to address these staffing gaps. The global restaurant service robot market, a proxy for automation investment, is projected to grow at a 17% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) through 2030, showing where the capital is flowing. PAR Technology Corporation is positioned well here, having launched PAR AI in Q3 2025 to embed real-time intelligence directly into its product suite.
Changes in consumer confidence directly impact restaurant discretionary spending.
To be fair, the macro environment is a headwind. While PAR Technology Corporation's solutions help capture a larger share of a customer's wallet, overall spending power is cautious. Changes in consumer confidence directly affect discretionary spending (food away from home). Disposable personal income, a key driver of restaurant sales, is projected to increase at an inflation-adjusted rate of only 1.4% in 2025, down from a 2.7% gain in 2024.
Fitch Ratings expects only a low single-digit increase in food-away-from-home spending in 2025, with customer traffic expected to remain flat or decline slightly. This means every transaction matters more. The industry response to this cautious consumer is to focus on value, with 47% of operators planning to introduce new discounts, deals, or value promotions. This pressure to deliver value and drive repeat visits makes sophisticated tools like Punchh for targeted promotions and PAR POS for operational efficiency even more critical for a restaurant's survival and, by extension, for PAR Technology Corporation's continued success.
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors
Launched PAR AI in Q3 2025, embedding real-time intelligence into the product suite
You need to know that PAR Technology Corporation is defintely leaning into the Artificial Intelligence (AI) race, which is a necessary move in the restaurant tech space. They launched PAR AI in Q3 2025. This isn't a bolted-on feature; it's a new intelligence layer embedded directly into their core product suite, which means it delivers real-time intelligence without requiring customers to use extra apps or go through new training.
The first tangible product from this initiative is Coach AI, an intelligent assistant designed for critical roles like corporate leaders and managers. This tool pulls live data from Point-of-Sale (POS), inventory, and labor scheduling, giving instant answers and clear visualizations through natural language questions. This frees up manager time-honestly, that's what every restaurant operator is craving-so they can focus on staff training and guest engagement.
R&D investment was $67.3 million in 2024, demonstrating commitment to innovation
The commitment to innovation is clear in the numbers. For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, PAR Technology Corporation's Research and Development (R&D) expenses totaled $67.3 million. This figure shows a significant, sustained investment in their technology platform, which is critical for a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) company. Here's the quick math on how that R&D spend has accelerated:
| Fiscal Year Ended December 31 | R&D Expenses (in millions) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | $67.3 million |
| 2023 | $58.4 million |
| 2022 | $48.6 million |
What this investment hides is the pressure to keep pace. The company also leverages AI internally to assist in code generation, which helps drive efficiency in their development process.
Competition is intense, especially from companies rapidly adopting AI and aggressive pricing models
The market for restaurant technology is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. Your competitors aren't sitting still; they're using aggressive AI adoption and pricing to gain market share. Key rivals like Toast and NCR Voyix are pushing hard.
For example, Toast launched its own AI agent, ToastIQ, in 2025, which is focused on optimizing operations from menu suggestions to staff scheduling. Their own survey data from 2025 shows that 86% of restaurant operators are comfortable using AI, so the demand for these tools is real. Meanwhile, NCR Voyix is actively shifting to a software-centric model and integrates AI into its Aloha Cloud POS for things like predictive analytics and demand forecasting. They are explicitly focused on meeting the aggressive pricing demands being set by competitors in the market.
The fight is over who can offer the most value for the lowest total cost of ownership.
Focus on a unified, cloud-based platform (Operator and Engagement Clouds) drives cross-selling
PAR Technology Corporation's core technological advantage is its unified, cloud-based platform, which they call the 'Better Together' multi-product strategy. This architecture eliminates data silos, connecting front-of-house (FOH) and back-of-house (BOH) operations, loyalty, and payments into one system. It's a smart way to increase your Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) with existing customers.
The platform is structured into two main product lines:
- Operator Cloud: Includes PAR POS, PAR Pay, and PAR OPS (Data Central and Delaget). This is the operational side.
- Engagement Cloud: Includes Punchh Loyalty, PAR Ordering, and Plexure. This is the customer-facing side.
This structure is working: in Q1 2025, cloud solutions accounted for 65.9% of total revenue. The cross-selling momentum is strong, with Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for both segments seeing massive growth, driven by multi-product deals.
Here's the growth story from Q1 2025:
- Operator Cloud ARR rose 49% to $117.2 million.
- Engagement Cloud ARR surged 54% to $164.9 million.
You want to sell more to the customers you already have; this unified platform makes that process seamless.
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors
Increased scrutiny on data privacy and security, as the company handles vast amounts of customer data.
You are right to focus on data privacy; for a company like PAR Technology Corporation, which powers the transaction layer for major restaurant brands, this is a top-tier legal risk. The company's cloud-based solutions process an enormous volume of sensitive information, including customer engagement data and payment details, across its two main segments: Operator Cloud and Engagement Cloud. To put the scale into perspective, the company's 2025 QSR Operational Index Report analyzed data from over 30,000 Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) locations, which collectively generated 4.5 billion transactions and $67 billion in sales in 2024 alone.
This massive data footprint means constant exposure to regulatory changes like the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and various US state laws like the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Any failure to protect this data from security breaches or cyberattacks represents a direct 'legal, reputation, and financial risk'. PAR's strategy is to focus on 'stewardship to responsibly manage our data privacy protocols and systems to securely protect data in a very complex, global environment'.
Exposure to intellectual property infringement claims is a constant risk in the tech industry.
In the competitive foodservice technology sector, intellectual property (IP) is a core asset and a constant legal battleground. PAR Technology Corporation maintains a defensive and offensive IP strategy, relying on a combination of US and foreign patents, registered trademarks, and copyrights to protect its software and product innovations.
The risk of infringement claims, or the need to defend its own IP, is a continuous operational cost. This risk is amplified by the company's rapid growth through acquisitions, such as the March 2024 acquisition of Stuzo, LLC and the July 2024 acquisition of TASK Group Holdings Limited. Integrating new technology stacks always introduces potential IP liability. The company's financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, noted an adjustment for 'Litigation expense' which reflected the release of a loss contingency and settlement expenses for legal matters. This shows that managing and settling legal disputes is a defintely recurring part of the business model.
Compliance with global regulations is complex due to operations in over 110 countries.
The sheer global scale of PAR Technology Corporation's operations-serving customers in more than 110 countries-creates a complex web of compliance requirements that goes far beyond data privacy. This global footprint subjects the company to a myriad of local laws covering everything from labor practices and consumer protection to import/export regulations and tariffs.
Managing legal risk across this many jurisdictions is a significant operational challenge. Any change in a country's trade policy, like new tariffs or import/export regulations, can directly impact the cost of their hardware and the profitability of their software subscriptions.
| Global Legal Compliance Factor | Impact on PAR Technology Corporation (2025 Outlook) | Actionable Risk/Opportunity |
|---|---|---|
| Jurisdictional Complexity | Operations in >110 countries require adherence to diverse local laws (e.g., tax, labor, consumer protection). | Risk: Increased legal and administrative costs; potential for non-compliance fines in new markets. |
| Trade & Tariffs | Exposure to changes in import/export regulations and trade disputes, especially for hardware components. | Action: Diversify supply chain and manufacturing to mitigate tariff impacts. |
| Data Localization Laws | Need to comply with country-specific data storage and processing requirements (e.g., Russia, China, EU). | Opportunity: Invest in localized cloud infrastructure to offer compliance as a competitive advantage. |
| Anti-Corruption Laws | Strict adherence to the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) and similar global anti-bribery laws across all international sales. | Risk: High scrutiny on third-party agents and distributors in high-risk jurisdictions. |
Adoption of a new Code of Conduct in December 2024 formalized ethical standards.
A significant legal and governance development was the adoption of the PAR Technology Corporation Code of Conduct in December 2024, which replaced the previous Code of Business Conduct and Ethics Policy. This new Code formalizes the company's commitment to 'honest, ethical, and compliant business conduct' and is a critical document for mitigating internal legal risks.
The Code's reach is broad, applying not just to employees, but also to officers, directors, agents, and business partners. This extended scope is essential for a company that relies heavily on a global network of partners and suppliers. They also maintain a separate PAR Supplier Code of Conduct to ensure their supply chain meets ethical and compliance expectations, including addressing risks like modern slavery, a requirement under the Australia Modern Slavery Act.
The Code reinforces several key legal compliance areas:
- Financial Integrity: Mandates timely, open, and full disclosure to the finance team and external auditors.
- Intellectual Property Protection: Requires cooperation in protecting against improper disclosure, theft, or misuse of proprietary assets.
- Whistleblower Policy: The Code is coupled with a Whistleblower Policy, allowing confidential and anonymous submission of concerns regarding questionable accounting or auditing matters.
This is a clear signal to the market that the company is strengthening its internal control environment, which is paramount following a year of significant M&A activity.
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors
You need to see the Environmental (E) factor for PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) as a nascent but critical risk and opportunity area, especially given their mix of cloud software and physical Point-of-Sale (POS) hardware. The company is in the early stages of formalizing its environmental stewardship, which is a common position for a growing tech firm with a hardware component.
The core takeaway is that PAR Technology Corporation's primary environmental impact mitigation comes from its software solutions, which drive customer efficiencies, while its own operational footprint and supply chain management are still building out their reporting frameworks. This is a classic 'Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) vs. Hardware' split for ESG focus.
ESG reporting follows SASB standards for Software and IT Services/Hardware
PAR Technology Corporation has adopted the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) framework for its ESG reporting, specifically aligning with the disclosure topics for the Software and Information Technology (IT) Services and Hardware industries. This move provides investors with a clear, industry-specific lens for evaluating environmental performance, focusing on material risks like data security and e-waste, not just energy use.
The company's initial ESG data, however, largely reflects the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021 (FY2021), with only qualitative updates provided for subsequent periods. To be fair, establishing a baseline for a global operation takes time. Still, the market expects more recent, quantifiable metrics by late 2025.
Here's a quick look at the material SASB topics for PAR Technology Corporation, and where their current focus lies:
- Energy Management: Focus on minimizing the operational footprint through energy-efficient practices.
- E-Waste Management: Active e-waste recycling for technology cables, boards, and batteries in their own operations.
- Supply Chain Sustainability: Requires suppliers to meet expectations for environmental responsibility and conducts an annual survey to avoid conflict minerals.
Striving to minimize the environmental impact of its operational footprint
The company is actively working to reduce its own footprint, particularly in its hardware supply chain and logistics. For instance, they are decreasing waste by using reusable boxes for shipping hardware products. They used approximately 4,000 reusable boxes in FY2022 and plan to continue expanding this program. This is a concrete step in tackling packaging waste, a key issue for hardware providers.
The challenge is scaling these efforts globally and providing updated 2025 metrics. What this estimate hides is the total volume of e-waste generated by their POS hardware, which is a significant risk given the global e-waste crisis, which is the fastest-growing segment of the U.S. waste stream.
Integrating climate change risks/opportunities into business strategies is just starting
PAR Technology Corporation is at the foundational stage of incorporating climate change risks (like severe weather events impacting supply chains or data centers) into its strategic planning. They are 'just starting to identify ecological and economic risks and opportunities' to integrate them into their business strategies at their Headquarters and across operations. This is a necessary risk-management step, especially as regulatory pressure increases.
The company acknowledges it may be subject to climate-related regulations and reporting requirements in the near term. This exposure is a financial risk, but also an opportunity to differentiate their cloud-based solutions as inherently lower-carbon alternatives to legacy, on-premise systems.
Software automation helps customers reduce manual and environmental overhead
The most tangible environmental opportunity for PAR Technology Corporation lies in its core software solutions, which incorporate automation to reduce manual and environmental overhead for their Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) and retail customers.
The shift to digital ordering channels, powered by PAR's solutions, directly reduces the need for paper-based processes, which is a clear environmental benefit. For example, the 2025 QSR Operational Index Report showed that Kiosk as a channel was up 27% year-over-year, and mobile ordering was up 21% year-over-year in 2024. This massive shift to digital transactions means less reliance on printed receipts, menus, and internal paperwork, reducing both paper waste and the energy needed for printing and disposal.
Here's the quick math on the customer side:
| Environmental Impact Driver | PAR Technology Solution | Near-Term Environmental Benefit |
|---|---|---|
| Paper Consumption (Receipts/Menus) | Kiosk & Mobile Ordering (up 27% and 21% YoY) | Direct reduction in paper waste and associated carbon footprint. |
| Hardware Lifecycle/E-Waste | Cloud-based software (PAR POS™ Enterprise) | Extends the useful life of existing hardware by shifting processing to the cloud, delaying replacement cycles. |
| Energy Use (Back-Office) | PAR OPS™ (Automation) | Streamlines operations, potentially reducing the need for manual, energy-intensive tasks and paper storage. |
The next step for you is to monitor the release of the full 2025 Sustainability Report, which should contain the hard numbers on their own carbon footprint and e-waste volume. Finance: Track for new SEC filings or press releases containing updated environmental performance metrics by the end of Q4 2025.
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