PBF Energy Inc. (PBF): ANSOFF MATRIX [Dec-2025 Updated]

You're looking past the daily grind of refining margins and want to see exactly where PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) is placing its chips for real growth through late-2025. Honestly, the plan is clear: it's about squeezing out that targeted $230 million in annualized cost savings while simultaneously scaling renewable diesel production to 16,000-18,000 bpd and pushing refined products into new international spots like Mexico and South America. We've mapped out their entire playbook-from maximizing crude slate efficiency to exploring green hydrogen pilots via their Eni partnership-so you can see the precise, concrete actions they are taking across all four Ansoff quadrants right now.

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Penetration

You're looking at how PBF Energy Inc. is pushing harder in its existing markets-that's the core of Market Penetration. It's all about maximizing current operations and efficiency right now, especially after the Martinez incident.

The Refining Business Improvement (RBI) program is central to this. PBF Energy Inc. is on track to meet its goal to implement greater than $230 million of annualized run-rate savings by the end of 2025. This initiative has already seen over 500 cost-saving ideas generated, with over $125,000,000 of run-rate savings implemented as of the second quarter of 2025. The full run-rate target for RBI is set to reach greater than $350 million by the end of 2026.

Restoring the Martinez Refinery capacity is a major penetration play for the West Coast supply. The 157,000 barrel-per-day facility is currently operating under limited capacity following the February 2025 fire. Stage 1 partial operations, involving the crude unit, began in early Q2 2025 with throughput expected between 85,000 to 105,000 barrels per day. The plan is to have the remaining units restart, bringing the refinery to full operational status by year-end 2025.

To capture maximum market share with current assets, PBF Energy Inc. is focused on throughput. The initial 2025 guidance for total refinery throughput was set between 920,000 to 980,000 bpd. For the fourth quarter of 2025, the expected total throughput range is 860,000 to 910,000 bpd across the system.

Optimizing the crude slate leverages the inherent complexity of the assets. PBF Energy Inc. operates six domestic oil refineries with a weighted-average Nelson Complexity Index of 12.7 based on current operating conditions. For example, the Chalmette Refinery has a Nelson Complexity Index of 12.7.

The use of PBFX logistics assets directly supports cost control for refined products movement. PBF Energy Inc. owns approximately 54% of PBF Logistics LP (PBFX). PBFX owns, leases, operates, develops, and acquires assets including terminals, pipelines, and storage facilities.

Here's a look at the expected throughput guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025:

The operational status of the Martinez Refinery during limited operations is detailed below:

• Nameplate capacity: 157,000 bpd or 156,400 bpd.
• Limited operations throughput range: 85,000 to 105,000 bpd.
• Products from limited operations: Gasoline, jet fuel, and intermediates.
• Deductible and retentions for the fire: $30 million.

Finance: review the Q4 2025 throughput actuals against the 860,000 bpd low-end guidance by next Tuesday.

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Development

You're looking at how PBF Energy Inc. can push its existing refined products into new geographic markets. This is about taking what you already make and finding new customers outside your current core sales territories.

Here's a snapshot of the scale of PBF Energy Inc.'s operations as of late 2025, which provides the base for any market development effort. Remember, the TTM revenue ending September 30, 2025, was reported at $29.54B, with the third quarter itself bringing in $7.65B in Sales Revenues.

Regarding expanding sales of unbranded transportation fuels into Mexico, the overall energy trade between the US and Mexico was an impressive $78B in energy goods last year. While this number covers all energy goods, it shows the scale of the market you'd be tapping into using your Gulf Coast infrastructure.

For targeting Canadian markets with products from the Toledo refinery, which is in the Mid-Continent region, you should note that in Q3 2024, PBF Energy Inc. processed 20,000 b/d of Canadian crude. The Toledo refinery processes a slate of light, sweet crudes from Canada. The California refineries, Torrance and Martinez, have a combined capacity to run up to 50,000 b/d of heavy crude from western Canada.

When looking at increasing waterborne exports of jet fuel and diesel to South America, the data points to existing activity, not necessarily planned expansion volumes. You should know that the Paulsboro, New Jersey, and Delaware City refineries have been cited for processing crude oil sourced from the Amazon River Basin in South America.

To establish new long-term supply contracts with major international trading houses for bulk sales, PBF Energy Inc. already has significant existing agreements for crude supply, which shows capability in this area. You have a crude supply agreement with Saudi Aramco for up to approximately 100,000 bpd processed at the Paulsboro refinery. Additionally, there are crude supply agreements with Shell Trading (US) Company for up to approximately 65,000 bpd through 2026. On the product side, the West Coast system has offtake agreements with Shell Oil Products with varying terms up to 15 years.

The Market Development strategy relies on utilizing existing asset capabilities for new sales channels. Here are the key refinery capacities that feed these potential markets:

• Total combined throughput capacity is about 1,000,000 bpd.
• The East Coast system produces aviation jet fuel.
• The Toledo refinery has a capacity of about 180,000 bpd.
• The company has an extensive distribution network using pipelines, barges, tankers, truck, and rail.

Finance: draft a sensitivity analysis on the impact of a 10% increase in export volumes to Mexico on Q4 2025 EBITDA by next Tuesday.

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) - Ansoff Matrix: Product Development

You're looking at PBF Energy Inc.'s next-generation product push, which is all about maximizing the value from existing assets and meeting evolving low-carbon mandates. This isn't just about running the pumps; it's about engineering higher-value outputs from complex infrastructure.

Scale up renewable diesel production at St. Bernard Renewables (SBR) to the 16,000-18,000 bpd Q4 2025 guidance.

• PBF Energy Inc. expects St. Bernard Renewables (SBR) renewable diesel production to average approximately 16,000 to 18,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the fourth quarter of 2025.
• This follows a third quarter 2025 production of approximately 15,400 bpd.
• The SBR facility, co-located at the Chalmette refinery, has a stated capacity of up to 20,000 bpd of renewable diesel.
• The facility's nameplate annual capacity is 320 MMgy (million gallons per year).
• For comparison, Q4 2024 production averaged 17,000 bpd, while Q1 2025 production was guided to be 10,000 to 12,000 bpd due to a catalyst change.

Develop and market Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) to West Coast airlines to meet California LCFS mandates.

• The California Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) is designed to decrease the carbon intensity of the transportation fuel pool by 30% by 2030 and by 90% by 2045.
• PBF Energy Inc. is evaluating a conversion project to produce Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
• The SBR facility has secured a provisional Low Carbon Fuel Standard application approval from the California Air Resources Board (CARB), which results in improved project economics for the California market.
• Modeling suggests a Sustainable Aviation Fuel with 50% to 100% greenhouse gas (GHG) savings relative to fossil jet fuel could receive a tax credit between $1.25 and $1.75 per gallon under the Inflation Reduction Act structure.

Introduce new, specialized petrochemical feedstocks from complex refineries like Martinez (Complexity 16.1).

You know the Martinez refinery is a key asset because of its complexity rating, which allows it to handle tougher crude slates. Here's a quick look at how it stacks up against the rest of the PBF Energy Inc. system:

The Martinez refinery has storage facilities with approximately 8.8 million barrels of shell capacity. Following the fire on February 1, 2025, total throughput during limited operations is expected in the range of 85,000 to 105,000 bpd, with a restart of remaining units planned by year-end 2025. PBF Energy Inc.'s consolidated Nelson Complexity is 12.8 following the acquisition.

Invest in carbon capture readiness at key refineries to produce lower-carbon traditional fuels.

• PBF Energy Inc.'s Delaware City Refinery recovers carbon dioxide byproduct with a third-party partner, eliminating millions of pounds of $\text{CO}_2$ from its environmental footprint.
• The company is exploring clean hydrogen production, with a partnership in the MACH2 hub, which was selected by the Department of Energy to receive up to $750 million to advance development.

Increase production of Group I lubricant base oils at the Paulsboro refinery for industrial customers.

The Paulsboro refinery is the designated manufacturer for Group I base oils or lubricants within the East Coast Refining System. The Lube Oil Processing Unit at Paulsboro has a nameplate capacity of 12,000 barrels per stream day. The refinery has a total storage capacity of approximately 7.5 million barrels. Even after a 2020 reconfiguration to balance the East Coast system, Paulsboro was slated to continue producing lubricants and asphalt.

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) - Ansoff Matrix: Diversification

You're looking at how PBF Energy Inc. is moving beyond its core refining business, which is a classic diversification play-new products or new markets, or both. The company is actively building out its low-carbon fuels platform, which is a key part of this strategy.

The partnership with Eni Sustainable Mobility Spa, a 50-50 joint venture in St. Bernard Renewables LLC (SBR), is central to this. SBR, co-located at the Chalmette Refinery, has a stated production capacity of $\mathbf{306}$ million gallons per year of renewable diesel (HVO Diesel). Production at SBR averaged $\mathbf{15,400}$ barrels per day (bpd) in the third quarter of 2025, with expectations to expand to $\mathbf{16,000}$ to $\mathbf{18,000}$ bpd in the fourth quarter of 2025. Eni's involvement, as a global leader, provides the necessary platform for distribution into European low-carbon markets, aligning with Eni's goal to reach over $\mathbf{3}$ million tons/year of capacity by 2025.

For green hydrogen, PBF Energy is exploring pilots adjacent to its Delaware City refinery. This refinery is one of the most complex on the East Coast, boasting a Nelson complexity rating of $\mathbf{13.6}$. PBF is a partner in the MACH2 (Mid-Atlantic Clean Hydrogen Hub) consortium, which the Department of Energy selected to receive up to $\mathbf{\$750}$ million to advance clean hydrogen production and distribution. This exploration is part of PBF Energy Inc.'s consideration of investments in clean hydrogen production and distribution facilities at that site.

To convert refining capacity to specialty chemicals for non-fuel use, PBF Energy Inc. is looking at new joint ventures, though specific financial commitments for a new venture were not detailed in the latest reports. However, existing assets already produce petrochemicals; for example, the Toledo refinery produces high-value petrochemicals including nonene, xylene, tetramer and toluene. The company is also focused on internal efficiency to fund growth; the Refinery Business Improvement (RBI) initiative is targeting over $\mathbf{\$230}$ million in annualized run-rate cost savings by the end of 2025, with a goal to exceed $\mathbf{\$350}$ million by the end of 2026.

Regarding acquiring or partnering with a US-based carbon offset developer, PBF Energy Inc.'s forward-looking statements mention the ability to make acquisitions or investments, including in renewable diesel production, as part of its diversification strategy. Similarly, the company is considering investments in sustainable electricity, which covers the pursuit of non-refining energy assets like solar or wind farms. The company has also been rationalizing assets, selling two non-core refined product terminal facilities in Philadelphia, PA and Knoxville, TN for $\mathbf{\$175}$ million in cash, which closed in the third quarter of 2025.

Here are the key figures related to PBF Energy Inc.'s strategic moves and financial context for 2025:

The company reported $\mathbf{\$285.9}$ million in income from operations for the third quarter of 2025. At the end of Q3 2025, PBF Energy Inc. had approximately $\mathbf{\$482}$ million in cash on hand.

• PBF Energy Inc. is pursuing strategic diversification opportunities.
• The company is focused on operational efficiency, targeting over $\mathbf{\$230}$ million in run-rate cost savings by the end of 2025.
• PBF Energy Inc. sold two non-core terminal facilities for $\mathbf{\$175.4}$ million in Q3 2025.
• The Delaware City refinery has a throughput capacity of $\mathbf{180,000}$ bpd.

Finance: review Q4 2025 SBR production guidance against actual output by February 2026.