Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) PESTLE Analysis

RPT Realty (RPT): PESTLE Analysis [Nov-2025 Updated]

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Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) PESTLE Analysis

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You need to know how the former RPT Realty portfolio, now part of Kimco Realty's $22 billion enterprise, stacks up against the 2025 macro-environment. The takeaway is clear: political moves like the planned 100% bonus depreciation and economic tailwinds driving a 20% or greater mark-to-market leasing spread are strong upsides. Still, you must weigh these against physical climate risks in coastal markets and the complex legal compliance of integrating a $2 billion acquisition. We break down the Political, Economic, Sociological, Technological, Legal, and Environmental (PESTLE) factors defining the defintely actionable risks and opportunities right now.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Political factors

Permanent restoration of 100% bonus depreciation for qualified property after January 2025.

The political landscape for real estate investment trusts (REITs) shifted dramatically with the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) in July 2025. This legislation permanently restored the 100% bonus depreciation for qualified property, a critical change that directly impacts RPT Realty's (RPT) near-term capital expenditure planning and cash flow.

This move eliminates the phasedown schedule that was in place, which would have reduced the deduction to 40% for assets placed in service during 2025. This permanent restoration provides certainty, encouraging RPT and its parent company, Kimco Realty Corporation, to accelerate capital improvements, especially for qualified improvement property (QIP) like interior upgrades to the retail centers.

Here's the quick math: For a $10 million QIP investment placed in service after January 19, 2025, the full $10 million can be immediately expensed, significantly reducing taxable income and boosting immediate cash flow. This is a defintely a tailwind for value-add strategies.

Planned increase in the Taxable REIT Subsidiary (TRS) limit from 20% to 25% after December 2025.

Another key political development from the OBBBA is the increase in the Taxable REIT Subsidiary (TRS) asset limit. Effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2025, the permissible value of TRS securities a REIT may hold will increase from 20% to 25% of the REIT's total assets.

This change gives RPT's operations under Kimco greater structural flexibility to engage in non-REIT qualifying activities, such as providing property management services to third parties or holding certain service-intensive assets. The higher 25% limit is a clear opportunity to grow ancillary income streams and pursue more complex, service-heavy mixed-use developments without risking the loss of REIT status.

The ability to hold a larger percentage of total assets in a TRS is particularly valuable as RPT focuses on complex redevelopment projects where service-intensive components (like fitness centers or entertainment venues) are common.

Tax Provision Pre-OBBBA 2025 Rate Post-OBBBA 2025 Rate/Limit Effective Date
Bonus Depreciation Rate (Qualified Property) 40% (Scheduled Phase-down) 100% (Permanently Restored) Acquired after Jan 19, 2025
Taxable REIT Subsidiary (TRS) Asset Limit 20% of Total Assets 25% of Total Assets Taxable years after Dec 31, 2025

Local zoning and permitting risks for redevelopment of mixed-use assets like Mary Brickell Village.

The densification strategy for RPT's trophy asset, Mary Brickell Village in Miami, is heavily dependent on local political and regulatory approvals. The original zoning allows for an immense development potential of up to 4.1 million square feet and 80 stories of mixed-use space.

The City of Miami's recent approval of the Transit Station Neighborhood Development (TSND) plan, which encourages higher density and taller buildings near transit hubs, is a positive political backdrop. However, this new framework replaces old zoning with a complex, tiered system for developers who want to double density, often requiring significant public benefits or workforce housing commitments (e.g., reserving 25% of units for households earning 60% to 80% of the Area Median Income).

This creates a trade-off: higher potential density, but also increased permitting complexity and negotiation risk with the city. The political risk is not outright denial, but rather the time and cost associated with navigating the new, complex local entitlements (zoning approvals) to unlock the full vertical value of the 5.2-acre site.

Geopolitical trade policies indirectly affect supply chains for retail tenants, impacting their stability.

While RPT is a domestic real estate owner, its financial stability is indirectly tied to the health of its retail tenants, whose margins are being squeezed by global political instability and trade policies. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China relationship and conflicts in the Middle East, translate directly into higher costs and supply chain volatility for apparel, electronics, and general merchandise retailers.

Trade wars and tariffs force retailers to absorb costs or diversify sourcing, which can impact their profitability and, consequently, their ability to pay rent. For example, the Red Sea crisis caused container vessel volumes through the Suez Canal to decrease by an estimated 75% in 2024 compared to 2023, extending lead times and increasing shipping costs.

This pressure on tenant margins is a significant political risk because it increases the probability of tenant bankruptcies or requests for rent relief across RPT's portfolio of open-air shopping centers. The political actions taken overseas have a clear, negative economic ripple effect that lands squarely on the retail sector.

  • Higher tariffs increase inventory costs for tenants.
  • Geopolitical conflicts extend shipping lead times by over 40% for some Asia-to-US East Coast routes.
  • Tenant stability is reduced by rising inflation and lower consumer confidence driven by global uncertainty.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic factors

Continued US economic expansion in 2025 supports higher occupancy and rental income.

You need to know that the economic backdrop for the former RPT Realty portfolio, now part of Kimco Realty, is surprisingly solid in 2025, despite the noise of interest rate debates. The US economy showed resilience in 2024, and the real estate and business activities sector is projected to grow by 4.1% in nominal terms this year. That continued, albeit cautious, expansion directly supports the open-air retail model.

This economic strength translates to high occupancy. As of late 2024, the combined Kimco portfolio-which now includes RPT's assets-maintained a pro-rata portfolio occupancy of 96.3%. For the most critical spaces, the pro-rata anchor occupancy was even higher at 98.2%. High occupancy gives you pricing power, plain and simple.

Historically low retail vacancy rates drive higher asking rents across the portfolio.

The supply-demand imbalance in quality retail space is a massive tailwind for the portfolio. The national retail vacancy rate remains near historic lows, ticking in at just 4.2% in the first quarter of 2025. This scarcity is a direct result of minimal new construction over the last decade, plus high financing costs that continue to challenge new development economics.

Because quality space is hard to come by, asking rents are rising. Nationally, asking rents grew roughly 1.9% year-over-year as of mid-2025. The average asking rent hit $25.56 per square foot NNN (triple-net) in Q1 2025. This is a strong environment for a landlord with well-located properties, which RPT's assets defintely are, especially the grocery-anchored centers.

The combined entity expects initial cost savings synergies of approximately $34 million.

The economics of the Kimco Realty acquisition of RPT Realty are already delivering tangible financial benefits. The combined entity projected initial cost savings synergies of approximately $34 million annually. This is a direct, measurable boost to the bottom line (Funds From Operations, or FFO) that comes from eliminating redundant corporate functions and consolidating operations.

Here's the quick math on the near-term realization:

  • Initial Synergies Target: $34 million
  • Expected Realization in 2024: Approximately 85%
  • Remaining Realization for 2025: Approximately 15% (or about $5.1 million)

You should expect the full run-rate of $34 million in savings to be reflected in the 2025 fiscal year results, as the majority was realized in 2024 and the final portion flows through this year.

Capital market volatility still affects the cost of debt for future property redevelopments.

While the operating fundamentals are strong, the capital markets side is still a headache. The risen cost of capital is arguably the biggest headwind for commercial real estate in 2025. Elevated and volatile 10-Year Treasury yields, coupled with economic uncertainty, keep the cost of debt high.

This volatility is a key risk for the combined company's future redevelopment plans, which are crucial for unlocking the full value of the RPT portfolio. Plus, the broader CRE market faces a significant refinancing hurdle: nearly $570 billion in debt maturities are expected to come due in 2025. This pressure keeps lenders cautious and interest rates for new debt elevated, impacting the return profile for any new property redevelopments.

The portfolio has a mark-to-market leasing spread of 20% or greater, signaling embedded rent growth.

The most compelling financial opportunity embedded in the RPT portfolio is the massive spread between current in-place rents and market rents (mark-to-market leasing spread). At the time of the acquisition, the RPT portfolio had a mark-to-market spread of 20% or greater. This means that as existing leases expire and are renewed, or as vacant space is leased, the new rental rate will be at least 20% higher than the old rate.

This embedded growth is already being realized, with Kimco reporting pro-rata cash rent spreads of 35.4% on comparable new leases signed in late 2024. Furthermore, the pipeline of signed but not yet open (SNO) leases is expected to generate $9.3 million in Net Operating Income (NOI) growth, driven by a 330-basis point spread between the SNO rent and the prior in-place rent.

This is a clear, predictable source of future income growth, which is exactly what you want to see in a real estate investment trust (REIT).

Economic Indicator 2025 Data / Projection Impact on RPT Portfolio (within Kimco)
US Real Estate & Business Activities GVA Growth (Nominal) Expected 4.1% Supports tenant revenue growth and ability to pay higher rents.
National Retail Vacancy Rate (Q1 2025) 4.2% (Near historic lows) Drives landlord pricing power and rent growth.
Initial Cost Savings Synergies (Annual) Approximately $34 million Direct, immediate boost to FFO and corporate efficiency.
RPT Portfolio Mark-to-Market Leasing Spread 20% or greater Signals significant embedded rent growth as leases roll over.
CRE Debt Maturities (2025) Nearly $570 billion Contributes to higher cost of capital and volatility for redevelopments.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors

Nearly 90% of the acquired portfolio is grocery-anchored, aligning with essential-retail consumer trends.

The core social factor supporting the RPT Realty portfolio, now integrated into Kimco Realty, is the enduring consumer need for essential retail. The acquired assets that align with Kimco's strategy are nearly 90% grocery-anchored, based on pro-rata annual base rent. This high concentration in necessity-based goods and services provides a significant buffer against e-commerce competition, as grocery trips are frequent and non-discretionary. Honestly, people still need milk and bread, so the foot traffic is reliable.

This focus on grocery anchors, such as Ahold Delhaize brands (Giant, Stop & Shop, Food Lion, Hannaford), translates directly into a more stable revenue profile. The consistent foot traffic from supermarkets also benefits the smaller, co-located retailers, helping to maintain a high occupancy rate. For example, Kimco ended 2024 with a pro-rata portfolio occupancy of 96.3%, with anchor occupancy at 98.2%, showing the strength of this model.

Shift toward mixed-use centers, like the Miami asset, to meet demand for integrated living and shopping.

Consumers are increasingly demanding convenience and a seamless blend of living, working, and shopping-the mixed-use model. The RPT acquisition accelerated Kimco's push into this area, notably with the Mary Brickell Village property in Miami.

This Miami asset, which RPT bought for $216 million in late 2022, is a trophy property earmarked for significant mixed-use redevelopment, including a residential component. Kimco's strategic goal is to generate 15% of its Net Operating Income (NOI) from mixed-use properties by the end of 2025. This isn't just a vision; the company has already surpassed its 2025 goal of entitling 12,000 residential units a full year ahead of schedule, underscoring the tangible commitment to this social trend.

Demographic migration to Sun Belt and Coastal markets, where the acquired assets are concentrated.

The demographic shift is one of the most powerful tailwinds for the combined portfolio. The RPT assets are heavily concentrated in Sun Belt and Coastal markets, which benefit from strong net migration trends. Approximately 70% of the RPT portfolio aligns with Kimco's key strategic markets.

This strategy is about following the money and the people. New retail construction projects in 2025, which are expected to grow 17% to around $24 billion, are largely focused on areas with fast-growing populations like Dallas, Texas; Atlanta, Georgia; Phoenix, Arizona; and Nashville, Tennessee. The combined entity is positioned to capture the spending power of these new residents.

Strategic Market Alignment Key Social/Demographic Driver (2025) Impact on Portfolio
RPT Portfolio Alignment Concentration in Sun Belt/Coastal Markets ~70% of RPT assets align with Kimco's high-growth target markets.
Mixed-Use NOI Target Demand for Integrated Living/Shopping Goal to generate 15% of NOI from mixed-use properties by 2025.
Retail Construction Growth Population Migration to Fast-Growing Cities Retail construction expected to grow 17% in 2025, focused on Sun Belt cities.

Increased consumer focus on experiential retail and local curation over traditional enclosed malls.

Consumers are trading transactional shopping for experiences. In 2025, the focus for brick-and-mortar retail is on creating environments where shoppers want to linger, not rush. This is why the open-air, grocery-anchored format-the 'bread-and-butter' of the combined company-is a darling of investors.

The trend is moving toward 'community-focused retail spaces', where curation and local relevance are key. For instance, in-store shopping is still preferred by 58% of Baby Boomers, and over 2 in 5 Gen Z shoppers prefer it to online, demonstrating the continued value of the physical experience across generations. The strategy is to turn a shopping center into a curated destination, not just a collection of stores, which is defintely what the mixed-use redevelopments are aiming for.

  • Focus on hands-on experiences, not just transactions.
  • Tailor store locations to reflect local culture and history.
  • Incorporate interactive elements to encourage lingering.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors

Use of advanced data analytics to optimize tenant mix and predict consumer foot traffic patterns

The integration of the RPT Realty portfolio into Kimco Realty's platform immediately amplified the use of advanced data analytics, moving beyond simple demographics. Kimco utilizes proprietary systems, coupled with third-party data like Placer.ai insights, to analyze consumer foot traffic and trade area performance for every vacant space.

This data-driven approach is key to optimizing the tenant mix, especially in the former RPT centers. The successful application of this technology is evidenced by the rapid improvement in the acquired assets: the RPT portfolio's occupancy levels increased by 120 basis points in the year following the acquisition, with anchor occupancy rising 140 basis points and small shop occupancy up 50 basis points. That's a rapid, measurable impact on value. We are defintely seeing a shift from gut-feel leasing to data-backed placement.

Metric (Post-Acquisition Integration) Change in RPT Portfolio Occupancy (2024) Source of Data-Driven Insight
Overall Occupancy Increase 120 basis points Trade Area Analysis, Consumer Demographics
Anchor Occupancy Increase 140 basis points Co-Tenancy Optimization, Foot Traffic Patterns
Small Shop Occupancy Increase 50 basis points Local Demand Mapping, Necessity-Based Clustering

E-commerce pressure is mitigated by the grocery-anchored and necessity-based tenant base

The core technological defense against e-commerce pressure for the combined portfolio is its asset class: necessity retail. Nearly 90% of the RPT properties acquired were already anchored by supermarkets, which inherently drives repeat, non-discretionary foot traffic that e-commerce cannot easily replicate.

By Q2 2025, the combined company expanded its Annual Base Rent (ABR) contribution from grocery-anchored shopping centers to a new record level of 86%. This high percentage acts as a technological buffer, as the physical store remains the most efficient last-mile fulfillment center for perishable goods. The technology here is less about a new app and more about the strategic, data-backed selection of a resilient asset base.

Digital leasing and property management platforms streamline operations for the combined portfolio

The immediate application of Kimco's digital platform to the 56 acquired RPT centers streamlined a massive operational undertaking. The goal was to cut the time between a prospect's initial inquiry and a signed lease, a key efficiency metric.

The company's dynamic vacancy webpages, which provide real-time, space-specific data, are a prime example. In their first year of operation, this automated system generated 2,343 leads and directly resulted in 10 confirmed deals, delivering an astounding 6,566% return on investment based on the first year's rent from those leases. That's efficiency you can bank on. The integration of RPT into this platform was a primary driver of the initial cost savings synergies, estimated at $34 million, with the majority realized in 2024, setting up a leaner 2025 operation.

Smart building technology adoption for energy efficiency and reduced operating costs

The technological adoption of smart building systems is driven by Kimco's broader ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) commitments, which now apply to the former RPT properties. This is about cutting operating expenses and meeting long-term sustainability goals.

The company is committed to a 30% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions from its 2018 baseline by 2030, with a net-zero goal by 2050. This commitment necessitates the rollout of smart technology across the newly combined portfolio, focusing on:

  • Energy efficiency projects at 129 properties, resulting in an estimated total GHG savings of 7,500 MTCO2e.
  • Sustainable water and wastewater management projects at 46 properties, achieving an estimated average water efficiency gain of more than 35%.
  • Incorporating green lease provisions into 90% of new leases, ensuring tenants participate in the efficiency drive.

These initiatives, powered by IoT (Internet of Things) sensors and centralized Building Management Systems (BMS), directly reduce operating costs, which is a major factor in Same Property Net Operating Income (NOI) growth for the combined entity in 2025.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors

Compliance with complex REIT tax laws to maintain tax-advantaged status for the $22 billion enterprise value.

The core legal challenge for the combined Kimco Realty and former RPT Realty portfolio is maintaining its Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) status, which is the foundation of its tax-advantaged structure. This status requires the combined entity, with a pro forma total enterprise value of approximately $22 billion, to meet stringent legal tests annually, including deriving at least 95% of its gross income from real estate-related sources and distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends. Honestly, this is a continuous, high-stakes legal exercise.

The complexity is amplified by the use of an Umbrella Partnership REIT (UPREIT) structure, which involves managing the tax implications for the former RPT unitholders and the transfer of properties into the Operating Partnership (OP). For instance, the tax treatment of RPT Realty's preferred dividends in 2024 was classified as 100% Return of Capital, a detail that requires meticulous legal and accounting work to ensure compliance and investor clarity. The legal team must defintely stay ahead of any legislative changes to the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) that could impact the REIT qualification tests.

Risk of local rent control or tenant-favoring regulations in high-density urban markets.

While the portfolio is focused on commercial retail, the risk of local, tenant-favoring regulations is real, especially since the combined company is concentrated in high-barrier-to-entry coastal markets and rapidly expanding Sun Belt cities. These are the areas where local governments are most likely to introduce new laws to control commercial rents or impose stricter tenant protections, even for small shop leases.

The risk is less about traditional residential rent control and more about commercial regulations that could limit rent escalations, mandate costly capital improvements, or restrict the company's ability to re-tenant properties. The portfolio's strength is its high occupancy, with pro-rata small shop occupancy hitting a record 92.5% as of Q3 2025, but this concentration in desirable, politically active areas means regulatory scrutiny is high. You need to map the legislative risk to your rent roll.

Key regulatory risks in high-growth markets include:

  • Mandatory commercial lease arbitration or mediation.
  • Limits on common area maintenance (CAM) pass-throughs to tenants.
  • Increased local real estate taxes, a cost that rose by $6.6 million in Q1 2025 over the prior year for the combined entity.

Environmental regulations (like EPA standards) impact property redevelopment and compliance costs.

Environmental regulations, including federal Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) standards and state-level mandates, are a growing legal and financial factor, particularly as Kimco Realty executes its value-add redevelopment strategy on former RPT properties. This includes managing risks from potential contamination (like brownfields sites) and ensuring compliance with new energy and climate-related building codes.

The legal team's role is to manage the liability associated with these older properties, especially during the redevelopment phase. This isn't a minor expense; for the full 2025 fiscal year, the company projects its total Redevelopment spending will be between $90 million and $110 million, a significant portion of which is legally mandated compliance and due diligence. Plus, the company has a stated goal to partner with tenants to quantify and reduce Scope 3 emissions, a legal/ESG goal set for 2025, which will eventually translate into new lease language and capital costs.

Merger integration requires careful management of existing RPT lease agreements and legal structures.

The acquisition of RPT Realty by Kimco Realty, which closed in early 2024, shifted the legal focus in 2025 from transaction completion to operational integration. While the major merger charges of $25.2 million were incurred in 2024 and did not repeat in 2025, the legal work for lease integration is ongoing.

The primary legal task is harmonizing the 13.3 million square feet of gross leasable area acquired from RPT into Kimco's standard legal and operational framework. This involves reviewing and potentially amending thousands of RPT's existing lease agreements, especially to capitalize on embedded growth. The success of this legal integration is directly tied to a key financial opportunity: the $71 million in future annual base rent from signed leases not yet commenced, which represents a 360 basis point leased-to-economic occupancy spread that needs legal clearance before rent starts.

Legal/Compliance Metric (2025) Amount/Value Legal Implication
Pro Forma Total Enterprise Value $22 billion Scale of REIT tax compliance risk.
Projected Redevelopment Spending (Full-Year) $90 million to $110 million Capital required for environmental and building code compliance on redeveloped assets.
Future Annual Base Rent from Signed Leases (RPT Portfolio) $71 million Requires legal clearance/commencement of existing RPT leases to realize revenue.
Q1 2025 Real Estate Tax Increase (YoY) $6.6 million Direct cost impact of local regulatory/tax policies in key markets.

RPT Realty (RPT) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors

Kimco's ESG leadership creates pressure to meet aggressive sustainability targets for the RPT assets.

The integration of RPT Realty assets into Kimco Realty Corporation's portfolio immediately raises the bar for environmental performance. Kimco is a recognized ESG leader, and the former RPT properties must now accelerate their sustainability efforts to align with the new parent company's aggressive, near-term 2025 goals.

This isn't just a compliance exercise; it's about attracting capital. Kimco has committed to investing $500 million in eligible Green Bond projects by 2030, with $356.5 million already deployed as of August 2022. The RPT portfolio needs to quickly identify and execute projects-like LED lighting retrofits or smart irrigation-to qualify for this capital and contribute to the combined entity's targets.

You can't afford to be a laggard in the combined portfolio.

Environmental Metric Former RPT Progress (2022 Baseline) Kimco Combined Target (2025 Fiscal Year) Actionable Gap for RPT Assets
Landlord-Controlled Electricity Reduction 19% reduction (vs. 2018 base) N/A (Kimco focuses on GHG reduction) Must accelerate reduction to meet Kimco's Scope 1 & 2 GHG reduction goal of 30% by 2030.
Common Area Water Efficiency Saved nearly 25% (vs. 2019 base) Improve efficiency by 20% (vs. 2020 base) Maintain and standardize efficiency across all RPT assets to contribute to the 20% goal.
Waste Diversion Rate (Landlord-Controlled) 24% diverted from landfills (vs. 2018 base) Achieve 50% diversion (corporate offices) Implement Kimco's integrated waste management program across RPT properties to close the 26-point gap.
Scope 3 GHG Emissions Goal N/A Establish a reduction goal by 2025 Start partnering with RPT tenants immediately to quantify and report their emissions data.

Physical climate risks (e.g., hurricane exposure in Florida/Coastal markets) require higher insurance and mitigation spending.

The geographic concentration of RPT's assets, particularly in high-growth Sun Belt and coastal markets like Florida, directly translates into a higher financial risk from extreme weather. This is a material cost you have to budget for in 2025. The increased frequency and severity of hurricanes, for example, is a major driver of rising property operating expenses and insurance premiums for the combined portfolio.

We see this risk in the 2025 financials. Kimco reported that the RPT acquisition was a factor in the Q4 2024 increase of $14.6 million in operating and maintenance expenses, and this trend continues. In Q1 2025, the combined entity saw $3.8 million in additional operating and maintenance expenses compared to the prior year, a cost line where insurance and climate-related repairs sit. For properties in markets like Miami, Florida, the insurance burden alone is significant, with premiums reaching a premium-to-market value ratio of 3.7% in 2025 for comparable assets. Plus, a typical hurricane deductible can be 5% of dwelling coverage, meaning a potential $20,000 out-of-pocket expense on a $400,000 property before insurance kicks in.

This is a cash flow issue, defintely.

Focus on green building certifications and waste diversion to attract ESG-focused capital.

To attract the growing pool of ESG-mandated capital-investors who prioritize sustainability-the RPT assets must quickly earn green building certifications (like LEED or ENERGY STAR) and show measurable waste reduction. The former RPT portfolio already achieved the Gold level award as a Green Lease Leader, which is a great foundation, but the physical assets need to catch up to the corporate policy.

Kimco is actively integrating RPT properties into its existing, integrated waste management program. This is a critical step to move the former RPT portfolio beyond its 2022 waste diversion rate of 24% and closer to the new corporate target. The goal is simple: verifiable data on energy, water, and waste performance is a prerequisite for a lower cost of capital through Green Bonds and better valuation from institutional investors.

  • Action: Prioritize RPT properties in hurricane-exposed zones for resiliency upgrades and higher-tier insurance coverage.
  • Action: Immediately audit RPT assets for quick-win projects like LED installation to close the former 25% electricity reduction goal gap.
  • Action: Use the $356.5 million in Green Bond deployment to fund RPT's energy and water efficiency projects.

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