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Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK): PESTLE Analysis [Nov-2025 Updated] |
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You're tracking Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) and know the game changed with the July 2025 merger into FB Financial Corporation. Honestly, analyzing SSBK now means analyzing the post-merger entity's exposure to the dynamic Southeast market. The political tailwinds from eased regional bank regulation and the strong economic forecast-like the expected mid-to-high teens earnings-per-share growth for 2025-make the deal look smart, but you still have to map the integration risks, especially the high-stakes systems conversion planned for Q3. Let's break down the six macro-forces-Political, Economic, Sociological, Technological, Legal, and Environmental-that will defintely drive the combined bank's performance and risk profile over the next 18 months.
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Political factors
Merger with FB Financial Corporation received swift regulatory approval in June 2025.
The political environment for bank mergers has become more permissive, a critical factor for Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK)'s recent transaction. The company, which was the parent of Southern States Bank, and FB Financial Corporation jointly announced on June 12, 2025, that they had received all necessary regulatory approvals to complete their proposed merger. This 'swift regulatory approval' was a strong signal of the new administration's more relaxed stance on regional bank consolidation, enabling the transaction to close on July 1, 2025. This speed is a clear political tailwind.
The merger creates a larger entity with consolidated assets of over $16 billion, significantly expanding the footprint across the Southeast. For perspective, as of March 31, 2025, Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) itself reported total assets of $2.9 billion, loans of $2.3 billion, and deposits of $2.4 billion. The implied transaction value was approximately $381 million. This successful, rapid regulatory clearance defintely sets a precedent for future strategic M&A activity in the regional banking space.
Easing of the overall US regional bank regulatory environment expected in 2025.
We are seeing a noticeable shift toward deregulation in Washington, which directly impacts regional banks like the newly combined Southern States/FB Financial entity. The general consensus among analysts is that 2025 will bring an easing of the regulatory environment, driven by a new presidential administration focused on reducing compliance burdens. This is a huge opportunity to lower operating costs.
Specific actions are already materializing. For instance, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) announced steps in November 2025 to ease regulatory challenges for community banks. This includes ending the Money Laundering Risk System data collection, a significant compliance burden that previously fell exclusively on smaller institutions. Potential revisions to the Dodd-Frank Act, which could ease capital and stress testing requirements, are also on the table, giving the bank greater flexibility in its capital allocation strategy.
Uncertainty remains regarding new US policy implementation and potential tariffs.
While the regulatory environment for banks is easing, broader US trade policy introduces a significant, indirect political risk. The new administration's focus on tariffs has created economic uncertainty that can affect the bank's commercial lending portfolio. On April 2, 2025, the administration announced comprehensive import tariffs, including a general tariff of 10% on all imports.
The average effective announced tariffs based on 2024 imports was running at approximately 17% as of November 2025, with projections that the effective rate could approach 18-20%. This uncertainty is already slowing down lending activity and increasing credit risk, particularly for export-oriented companies in the Southeast manufacturing and logistics sectors. Here's the quick math: higher tariffs can squeeze a client's margins, making it harder for them to service their commercial loans, which then increases the bank's non-performing asset risk.
| Policy Factor | Status (November 2025) | Direct Impact on Bank Operations |
|---|---|---|
| Merger Regulatory Approval (SSBK/FBK) | Received (June 2025) | Enables transaction closure, consolidating assets over $16 billion. |
| US Bank Regulatory Environment | Easing expected (Deregulatory focus) | Potential reduction in compliance costs; greater capital flexibility. |
| US Tariff Policy (Average Effective Rate) | High Uncertainty (Approaching 18-20%) | Increased credit risk for commercial loan clients, potential slowdown in loan demand. |
| Community Banking Focus (CRA) | High Political/Regulatory Priority | Requires sustained investment and lending commitments in the Southeast footprint. |
Focus on community banking commitment is a political necessity in the Southeast footprint.
Operating as a large regional bank in the politically sensitive Southeast requires a visible, unwavering commitment to community banking (Community Reinvestment Act or CRA compliance). The merger partners acknowledged this, stating their shared 'deep commitment to community banking.' This isn't just a mission statement; it's a political necessity to maintain a good standing with local and federal regulators and the public.
The combined entity operates across Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, and North Georgia, with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) having contributed 15 full-service branches in Alabama and Georgia. This local presence means the bank must demonstrate its commitment through concrete actions, such as small business lending and affordable housing finance. For context, a regional competitor, SouthState Bank, recently announced an $8.3 billion, five-year plan (2025-2029) to support underserved communities in its similar Southeast footprint. This sets a high bar for political and social responsibility that the combined Southern States/FB Financial Corporation must meet to avoid regulatory scrutiny and maintain local political support.
- Maintain high CRA ratings to secure political goodwill.
- Prioritize small business and mortgage lending in local markets.
- Commit capital to community development projects in Alabama and Georgia.
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic factors
You're looking for a clear map of Southern States Bancshares' economic landscape in 2025, and the takeaway is simple: strong margin expansion and robust loan growth are driving profitability, but a high concentration in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the one clear, near-term credit risk to watch.
Strong regional bank outlook with expected mid-to-high teens earnings-per-share growth in 2025.
The regional bank environment is showing a clear path to earnings growth in 2025, largely driven by lower funding costs. For Southern States Bancshares, the consensus analyst forecast for full-year 2025 earnings-per-share (EPS) growth is strong, with a high estimate reaching 17.7%. This is a mid-to-high teens growth rate, which definitely positions the company well against peers.
The first quarter of 2025 already delivered a diluted EPS of $1.03, supported by a 20% year-over-year revenue increase. That's a solid start, but keep in mind this outlook is partially predicated on the successful completion of the merger with FB Financial Corporation, which is expected to close in Q3 2025 [cite: 8 in step 2].
Net Interest Margin improved to 3.75% in Q1 2025, aided by lower deposit costs.
The bank's core profitability metric, the Net Interest Margin (NIM)-the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits-expanded to 3.75% in the first quarter of 2025. This is a critical point. The improvement was largely a function of active balance sheet management, specifically a reduction in the cost of interest-bearing deposits.
Here's the quick math on the NIM drivers:
- NIM increased 9 basis points sequentially from Q4 2024.
- The increase was primarily due to cost savings from calling and repaying higher-cost brokered deposits.
- This deposit strategy helped offset a slight decline in net interest income to $24.9 million in Q1 2025.
Lower funding costs are a powerful tailwind for regional banks this year.
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) exposure, particularly office space, remains a near-term credit risk.
The most significant concentration risk lies in the Commercial Real Estate portfolio. As of December 31, 2024, CRE loans represented a high 60.4% of total gross loans. To be fair, the bank's overall credit quality remains excellent, with nonperforming loans at just 0.32% of gross loans as of March 31, 2025. Still, the concentration is high.
The regulatory concentration ratio for CRE loans to total risk-based capital was 284.6% at the end of 2024, which is below the 300% regulatory guidance but still an area of focus. We saw the risk materialize slightly in Q1 2025, when a net increase in nonperforming loans was primarily attributed to one significant commercial real estate loan being placed on nonaccrual status. While the bank's allowance for credit losses is strong at 1.28% of total loans, the CRE market, especially the office sector nationally, remains stressed. This is a portfolio that needs defintely active management.
Total assets reached $2.9 billion and loans hit $2.3 billion as of March 31, 2025.
The bank's balance sheet shows continued growth, driven by both organic expansion and the acquisition of Century Bank in 2024. Total assets stood at $2.9 billion as of March 31, 2025 [cite: 8 in step 2]. Total loans, net of unearned income, grew to $2.3 billion [cite: 3, 8 in step 2], reflecting a strong annualized growth rate of 6.1% in Q1 2025 [cite: 1 in step 2].
This loan growth is a positive economic indicator for the bank's local markets in Alabama and Georgia. The table below summarizes the core balance sheet metrics for Q1 2025:
| Metric | Value (as of March 31, 2025) | Source |
| Total Assets | $2.9 billion | [cite: 13 in step 1] |
| Total Loans, Net | $2.3 billion | [cite: 13 in step 1] |
| Total Deposits | $2.4 billion | [cite: 2 in step 1] |
| Net Interest Margin (Q1 2025) | 3.75% | [cite: 1 in step 1] |
| Nonperforming Loans to Gross Loans | 0.32% | [cite: 5 in step 1] |
Next Step: Finance: Monitor the CRE nonaccrual loan trend and stress-test the office-sector portfolio for a 10% valuation drop by the end of Q3 2025.
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors
Deep commitment to community banking in Alabama and Georgia is a core value proposition.
You know that a bank's value in the Southeast isn't just about its balance sheet; it's about local trust. Southern States Bancshares (SSBK) built its franchise on this community-focused model, operating 15 branches across Alabama and Georgia, plus two loan production offices in the Atlanta metropolitan area, as of mid-2025. This deep local presence is a crucial social asset, especially now that the merger with FB Financial Corporation (FirstBank) has closed on July 1, 2025.
The combined entity, with consolidated assets exceeding $16 billion, must defintely maintain the perception of local decision-making. Losing that community bank feel could erode the deposit base, which for SSBK stood at $2.4 billion as of March 31, 2025. It's a tightrope walk: capture the scale benefits of a larger regional bank without sacrificing the personalized service that keeps local customers loyal.
Demographic shifts in the Southeast drive demand for consumer and real estate financing.
The Southeast is a primary growth corridor, and the demographic tailwinds in SSBK's core markets translate directly into loan demand. Georgia's estimated population reached approximately 11.1 million in 2025, maintaining a steady growth rate of about 1.19%. This influx of residents and businesses creates a continuous need for both consumer and commercial real estate (CRE) financing.
Look at the real estate market data from Q1/Q2 2025, and the opportunity is clear:
- Alabama's median home sales price increased by 6.7% year-over-year in May 2025.
- The sold dollar volume in Alabama reached $1.70 billion in May 2025, a 26.9% year-over-year increase.
- Atlanta, a key market for SSBK, is projected to see annual rent growth of 1.9% by year-end 2025, signaling sustained housing demand.
Here's the quick math: more people and rising real estate values mean a larger pool for the $2.3 billion in loans SSBK contributed to the merger. The bank is positioned to capitalize on this regional resilience, which is why the merger was so strategic.
Post-merger, integrating two distinct corporate cultures poses a key operational challenge.
The rhetoric from both FB Financial Corporation and SSBK management is that the cultures are 'well-aligned,' sharing a focus on community and customer experience. But honestly, any time you combine two organizations, you're merging two different ways of doing business, two different internal languages. This is a significant social factor risk.
The challenge isn't just philosophical; it's structural. Key SSBK employees and producers were offered meaningful roles, and one SSBK Director was appointed to the FB Financial Corporation board. This is a good start for cultural integration, but the real test is in the trenches-how do the loan officers, tellers, and back-office staff from Anniston, Alabama, gel with their new colleagues from Nashville, Tennessee?
Talent retention risk rises during systems conversion in the third quarter of 2025.
The most acute social risk is tied directly to the operational timeline. The core banking systems conversion is slated for the third quarter of 2025, following the July 1st merger close. This period of change-new systems, new reporting lines, new benefits packages-is when employee churn spikes.
For the broader US labor market, the average voluntary turnover rate for 2024-2025 is around 13.0%. The Finance and Insurance sector sees a monthly turnover rate of approximately 2.2%, a number that can easily tick up during a major integration like this. Losing experienced bankers during a systems conversion means both customer service disruption and a loss of institutional knowledge, potentially offsetting merger synergies.
The combined bank must execute flawlessly on its promise to offer competitive compensation and benefits to retain its best talent. The focus should be on the non-sales professional roles, which typically have a US voluntary turnover rate of 9.1%, as these are the people who manage the complex systems conversion.
| Social Factor Risk/Opportunity | 2025 Data Point (SSBK/Region) | Strategic Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Community Banking Footprint | SSBK operates 15 branches in AL/GA. | Must preserve local autonomy to protect the $2.4 billion deposit base. |
| Demographic Growth (GA) | Georgia population est. at 11.1 million with 1.19% growth rate. | Sustained demand for real estate and consumer loans, fueling growth in the $2.3 billion loan portfolio. |
| Real Estate Demand (AL) | AL median sales price up 6.7% YOY in May 2025. | Strong underlying credit quality and volume for mortgage/CRE lending. |
| Post-Merger Cultural Integration | Merger closed July 1, 2025. | Risk of friction between two distinct community-focused cultures; requires transparent communication. |
| Talent Retention Risk | Systems conversion expected in Q3 2025. | Increased risk of voluntary turnover, which averages 13.0% in the US overall. |
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors
Digital banking adoption is a major opportunity for the combined entity to enhance client experience.
You're now part of a larger, more capable regional bank, and that scale is your biggest technological opportunity. Southern States Bancshares, Inc.'s merger with FB Financial Corporation, which was completed on June 30, 2025, immediately expanded the footprint to 93 locations across the Southeast. This expanded base means a larger pool of customers who need a seamless digital experience.
The core challenge is not just offering a mobile app, but achieving true digital banking adoption (DBA). This means moving transactions out of the branch and onto digital channels, which is critical for reducing long-term operational costs. The opportunity is to integrate the best digital features from both legacy platforms-like advanced online commercial banking tools-and roll them out to the entire customer base, especially in high-growth metropolitan areas like Atlanta, Birmingham, and Huntsville.
The merger creates a larger platform to invest in AI and digitization, improving the efficiency ratio of 46.42%.
Honestly, the primary financial driver for this merger is the chance to get your efficiency ratio (a measure of cost to revenue) down. Southern States Bancshares' core efficiency ratio was already a respectable 46.42% in Q1 2025, but the combined entity, with total assets of $16 billion, now has the scale to make meaningful, high-impact investments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digitization that smaller banks cannot justify.
Here's the quick math: A larger asset base allows for a more efficient spread of high-cost technology investments. Banks globally are focusing AI on operational efficiency first, and this is where the combined entity will see the fastest return. We're talking about automation of back-office processes and using generative AI to handle routine customer inquiries, which can significantly lower the cost-per-transaction. For context, leading financial institutions are collectively investing over $35 billion in AI into their core operations in 2025.
The focus areas for this investment should be clear:
- Automate loan origination and underwriting for commercial clients.
- Deploy AI-powered chatbots for tier-one customer service inquiries.
- Use machine learning for enhanced fraud detection and risk management.
Competition from financial technology (fintech) disruptors intensifies in the consumer segment.
The fintech (financial technology) threat is real and it's not going away, particularly in the consumer and small business segments where Southern States Bancshares and FB Financial Corporation operate. Fintech firms, which are growing three times faster than incumbent banks, excel at customer-centric, low-cost digital products like payments and mobile lending.
They don't have the legacy costs of a branch network, so they can offer services cheaper and faster. The competitive pressure is most acute in:
- Payments: Peer-to-peer apps and digital wallets.
- Consumer Lending: Fast, online-only personal loans.
- Account Aggregation: Tools that bypass the bank's own user interface.
To be fair, traditional banks still hold a competitive advantage in regulatory compliance and established customer trust. But if the combined bank's digital experience is clunky post-merger, customers will defintely look elsewhere. The combined bank must accelerate its digital transformation to counter this, or risk losing the most digitally-savvy customers.
Systems conversion is a critical, high-risk operational event anticipated in Q3 2025.
The most immediate and high-stakes technological event is the core systems conversion, which is expected to occur in the third quarter of 2025. This is when all of Southern States Bancshares' customer data, accounts, and operational systems are migrated onto FB Financial Corporation's core processing platform. It's a massive undertaking. What this estimate hides is the potential for significant disruption.
A poorly executed conversion can lead to service outages, incorrect account balances, and a spike in customer service calls, which directly impacts customer retention and reputation. If onboarding takes 14+ days, churn risk rises. The goal is a seamless transition, but the reality is that these events are complex. The combined bank needs to dedicate maximum resources to testing and client communication to mitigate this risk.
Here is a snapshot of the scale of the combined entity's technology integration challenge:
| Metric | Southern States (Q1 2025) | FB Financial (Q1 2025) | Combined Entity (Post-Merger) |
| Total Assets | $2.9 billion | $13.1 billion | $16.0 billion |
| Total Branches | 15 (in AL and GA) | 77 (across TN, AL, KY, GA) | 93 locations |
| Core Systems Conversion Target | N/A | N/A | Q3 2025 |
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors
The merger transaction closed on July 1, 2025, converting SSBK shares to FB Financial Corporation shares.
The legal landscape for the former Southern States Bancshares, Inc. has fundamentally shifted following the merger with FB Financial Corporation, which closed on July 1, 2025. This transaction was a clean conversion: Southern States shareholders received 0.800 shares of FB Financial common stock for each of their Southern States shares. This move immediately propelled the combined entity into a higher tier of regulatory oversight, as its total assets reached approximately $16.23 billion as of September 30, 2025. This scale increase means the bank is now subject to more stringent, complex regulatory requirements, including those imposed by the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and state banking departments, simply due to its size.
Compliance costs for larger, post-merger institution will defintely increase.
You need to be a realist about the cost of scale; compliance is not a fixed-cost game. The integration itself generated significant, immediate expenses. FB Financial Corporation reported $16.1 million in merger and integration costs in the third quarter of 2025 alone, which peaked during the systems conversion over Labor Day weekend. Here's the quick math on the annual operating compliance burden for a bank of this size:
Based on industry benchmarks, a bank with assets in the $1 billion to $10 billion range typically allocates 2.9% of its non-interest expenses to compliance. Using FB Financial Corporation's Core Noninterest Expense of $93.5 million for Q3 2025, the annualized core expense is about $374.0 million. This translates to an estimated $10.85 million in annual compliance operating costs. This figure is the new baseline, and it will only rise as the regulatory environment tightens.
Increased regulatory scrutiny on data security necessitates higher compliance investment.
The scrutiny on data security is relentless, and it's driving up IT and compliance budgets across the board. The SEC's rule demanding disclosure of major breaches in just four business days is a clear signal: regulators are not tolerating slow response times. For the combined bank, cybersecurity is not just an IT problem; it's a legal and disclosure risk. We see that 88% of bank executives are planning to increase their IT and tech spend by at least 10% in 2025 to enhance security measures, and 86% cite cybersecurity as their biggest area of budget increases. You simply have to follow that trend to stay compliant.
Risk of data breaches and subsequent lawsuits is a constant, high-cost threat.
The cost of a security failure is staggering, making compliance an essential risk-mitigation tool. The financial sector remains the top target for cybercriminals. The average cost of a data breach for the financial sector is an eye-watering $6.08 million per incident in 2025. For a US organization, the average cost of a breach across all sectors hit a record high of $10.22 million in 2025, largely due to escalating regulatory fines and post-breach legal costs. This is a clear and present danger that mandates continuous investment in security controls.
The core legal risks are now centered on three key areas:
- Data Privacy: Navigating state-level privacy laws (like CCPA) for a multi-state footprint.
- Cyber Resilience: Meeting the new, tighter SEC and interagency standards for incident response.
- Anti-Money Laundering (AML): Integrating two separate AML/Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) programs into one, which is a common post-merger failure point.
| Metric | Value (2025 Fiscal Year Data) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Merger & Integration Costs (Q3 2025 Peak) | $16.1 million | Immediate, non-recurring expense for legal and system integration. |
| Estimated Annual Compliance Operating Cost | $10.85 million (2.9% of annualized Core Noninterest Expense) | New, higher baseline for ongoing legal and regulatory operations. |
| Average Data Breach Cost (Financial Sector) | $6.08 million per incident | Quantifies the high-cost threat of a single compliance failure. |
| Compliance Failure Cost Amplifier | Adds average of +$173,692 to breach cost | Direct financial penalty for inadequate controls. |
Southern States Bancshares, Inc. (SSBK) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors
Growing investor and public pressure for sustainable finance and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) reporting.
The pressure on regional banks like Southern States Bancshares, Inc. to disclose and manage Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risks has moved from a niche concern to a core expectation in 2025. Investors are no longer satisfied with general sustainability narratives; they demand transparent, financially relevant disclosures that adhere to frameworks like the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB). This is defintely an operational necessity to stay in the game.
In the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) sector, which forms a significant portion of a regional bank's loan portfolio, the shift is particularly pronounced. Data shows that 70% of CRE investors now actively use ESG criteria in their decision-making, a notable increase from 56% in 2021. This means that properties without a clear path to energy efficiency or climate resilience will face a higher cost of capital, directly impacting the credit quality of Southern States Bancshares, Inc.'s commercial borrowers.
The sheer scale of capital flowing into this area is a clear market signal. Global assets in investment products designed to address ESG concerns are projected to expand to more than $53 trillion by the end of 2025. While Southern States Bancshares, Inc. may not yet issue a standalone ESG report, the market is forcing its hand: failure to track and disclose climate-related risks will lead to exclusion from a massive and growing pool of capital.
Climate-related risks, like severe weather in the Southeast, can impact loan collateral and insurance costs.
Operating exclusively in the Southeast (Alabama and Georgia) exposes Southern States Bancshares, Inc.'s loan portfolio to increasing physical risks from severe weather, which directly erodes the value of collateral and increases borrower default risk. The financial impact of these events in 2024 and early 2025 is stark, forcing a reassessment of property valuations and insurance requirements across the region. Here's the quick math on recent losses in the bank's core market:
- A single derecho event in Alabama in 2024 caused $1.6 billion in costs.
- An outbreak of over 79 tornadoes in Georgia in 2024 resulted in $2.4 billion in damages.
- Major hurricanes in 2024, including Helene, caused an estimated $10 billion to $20 billion in costs in Georgia and between $500 million and $1 billion in Alabama.
These mounting losses are translating into higher operating costs for borrowers. For example, some homeowners in the Southeast saw their insurance premiums jump by 27% in 2025 alone. This rise in non-mortgage housing expenses increases the probability of default on a residential mortgage, and for commercial properties, it directly impacts net operating income (NOI), a key metric for Commercial Real Estate loan underwriting.
| Climate Risk Metric | US Southeast Impact (2024/2025) | Implication for SSBK's Loan Portfolio |
|---|---|---|
| Severe Convective Storm Losses (YTD May 2025, US Insurers) | Exceeded $20 billion | Higher loss-given-default risk on collateral and potential for a spike in non-performing assets. |
| Insurance Premium Hikes (2025) | Up to 27% increase reported in the region | Increased debt-to-income and debt-service-coverage ratios for borrowers, raising credit risk. |
| Hurricane/Cyclone Costs (Georgia, 2024) | $10 billion to $20 billion | Concentration risk in coastal and flood-prone commercial and residential real estate. |
Developing green lending products is an emerging opportunity in the commercial real estate sector.
The market for green financing is a clear opportunity for Southern States Bancshares, Inc. to differentiate itself and mitigate the climate risks inherent in its geographic footprint. Green lending products, which offer preferential terms for energy-efficient or sustainable properties, are becoming a standard offering for regional banks looking to build ESG-compliant portfolios.
The most immediate opportunity is in financing energy efficiency retrofits (upgrades to existing buildings) rather than just new construction. Retrofits offer a faster path to a positive Return on Investment (ROI) for property owners due to lower upfront capital and immediate operational savings from reduced utility bills. This focus aligns well with a community bank model, allowing Southern States Bancshares, Inc. to offer specific, lower-risk products to its existing commercial clients in Alabama and Georgia.
By offering sustainability-linked CRE loans, the bank can secure better collateral quality and lower default risk, as energy-efficient buildings tend to have stronger cash flows and hold their value better. This is a win-win: it helps the bank manage climate risk while tapping into the massive, growing market for sustainable finance. The next step is for the Chief Risk Officer, Greg Smith, to draft a policy linking Commercial Real Estate loan terms to verified energy performance data by the end of the year.
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