ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) Bundle
You're looking at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) and trying to map the commercial promise of ANKTIVA against the biotech's burn rate, and honestly, the Q3 2025 numbers tell a classic growth story with a clear financing headwind. The good news is the commercial traction is real: total product revenue for the first nine months of 2025 hit $74.7 million, a massive 434% surge over the same period last year, driven by ANKTIVA unit sales that grew nearly 6X year-to-date compared to all of 2024. But that kind of growth costs money, so while the net loss of $67.3 million for the quarter was an improvement year-over-year, it still means the company is burning cash, even with a strong Q3 ending cash position of $257.8 million in cash and marketable securities. We need to break down how long that cash lasts, especially with R&D spending at $51.2 million in Q3 and an analyst consensus price target of $10.75 suggesting a potential 416.83% upside if they can navigate the regulatory and commercial scale-up risks.
Revenue Analysis
You're looking at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) at a pivot point, and the revenue story for the 2025 fiscal year is defintely one of transformation. The direct takeaway is this: the company is moving from a clinical-stage entity with minimal, non-recurring revenue to a commercial-stage biotech, so the revenue profile is fundamentally changing.
Historically, ImmunityBio's revenue streams were dominated by non-product sources-primarily grants and collaboration agreements. This is typical for a biotech in the R&D phase. For instance, in the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the majority of their revenue, which was relatively small, came from these sources. Now, the landscape is completely different.
The game-changer is the April 2024 FDA approval of Anktiva (N-803) in combination with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) for the treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). 2025 represents the first full fiscal year of commercial sales for this key asset. This is where the real money starts to show up.
Here's the quick math on the shift: Analyst consensus projects ImmunityBio, Inc.'s total revenue for the 2025 fiscal year to land around $150 million. This massive jump is almost entirely driven by Anktiva's launch. That's a monumental year-over-year revenue growth rate, estimated to be well over 1,000% compared to the minimal revenue from 2024, which stemmed mostly from grants. It's a growth rate that reflects a new business model, not just organic expansion.
The contribution of different business segments to overall revenue is now heavily skewed toward product sales. This is the new normal for ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX):
- Product Sales (Anktiva): Expected to contribute approximately 90% of the total 2025 revenue.
- Collaboration and Grant Revenue: Likely to contribute the remaining 10%, a segment that is now secondary.
What this estimate hides is the initial complexity of a biotech launch-things like payer negotiations, inventory build-up, and physician adoption curves. Still, the trend is clear: Anktiva is the new primary revenue source, replacing the historical reliance on research funding.
The significant change in revenue streams is the shift from a grant-funded model to a product-sales model. This transition moves the company from being valued on its pipeline potential to being valued on its commercial execution and market penetration. You need to watch the quarterly Anktiva sales figures closely for signs of a successful ramp-up. For a deeper look at who is betting on this commercial transition, you should be Exploring ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
To be fair, the vast majority of the 2025 revenue is concentrated in a single product, Anktiva. This concentration is a key near-term risk, but it also represents a clear opportunity for rapid revenue scaling if the launch goes well. The table below breaks down the projected 2025 revenue structure, illustrating the new commercial focus.
| Revenue Stream | 2025 Projected Amount (USD) | Contribution to Total Revenue |
| Anktiva Product Sales | ~$135,000,000 | ~90% |
| Collaboration/Grant Revenue | ~$15,000,000 | ~10% |
| Total Projected Revenue | ~$150,000,000 | 100% |
Your action here is to track the quarterly Anktiva sales against these projections. If sales fall short of $30 million in any single 2025 quarter, it signals a potential problem with market uptake or reimbursement.
Profitability Metrics
The headline for ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) is a classic biotech paradox: near-perfect gross margin on a rapidly growing product, but massive bottom-line losses. You need to focus on two things here: the exceptional operational efficiency of their core product, ANKTIVA, and the persistent, heavy investment in Research & Development (R&D) and financing costs that drive the net loss.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) reported a Net Loss of -$348.62 million on total revenue of $82.6 million, resulting in a Net Profit Margin of -422.3%. That is a huge loss, but it's the cost of developing a pipeline.
Gross, Operating, and Net Profit Margins
When we break down the most recent quarter, Q3 2025, the picture shows where the company is excelling and where the financial burn is happening. The gross margin is defintely the standout figure, while the operating and net margins reflect the early-stage commercial profile of a company still focused on clinical trials and pipeline expansion.
Here's the quick math on the Q3 2025 figures:
| Profitability Metric | Q3 2025 Value (Millions USD) | Q3 2025 Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $32.06 | - |
| Gross Profit | ~$31.88 | 99.45% |
| Operating Loss | -$55.6 | -173.4% |
| Net Loss | -$67.25 | -209.8% |
The Gross Margin of nearly 99.5% is exceptional and is a direct result of the minimal cost of sales, which was only about $177,000 against $31.8 million in product revenue for Q3 2025. This means that nearly every dollar of product revenue from ANKTIVA flows straight to Gross Profit, giving the company maximum leverage to cover its massive fixed costs.
Comparing Profitability and Operational Efficiency
The high Gross Margin is a huge operational win, but the Operating and Net Margins tell the true story of a clinical-stage biotech that has just entered commercialization. The Operating Loss of $55.6 million in Q3 2025, though still substantial, actually contracted by 30% year-over-year. This narrowing loss is a key trend to watch, showing that revenue growth is finally starting to outpace the growth in operating expenses.
To be fair, the industry context matters a lot here. Comparing ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) to the broader Biotechnology sector average for November 2025 reveals a few things:
- The sector's Average Gross Profit Margin is 86.3%, making ImmunityBio's 99.45% margin significantly superior, highlighting its manufacturing and cost-of-goods advantage.
- The sector's Average Net Profit Margin is already deeply negative at -177.1%. ImmunityBio's TTM Net Profit Margin of -422.3% is worse, but this is typical for a company with a recently approved drug (ANKTIVA) that is simultaneously funding multiple late-stage clinical trials, like the Phase 3 ResQ201A in NSCLC.
The heavy R&D expenses, which totaled $147.1 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, are what push the operating and net margins so far into the red. These expenses are not a sign of poor cost management, but rather a necessary investment to expand the addressable market for ANKTIVA and advance the pipeline, which is the long-term value driver. You can read more about the full financial picture in Breaking Down ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The core action for investors is simple: track the rate of revenue growth against the Net Loss contraction. If ANKTIVA sales continue their strong sequential growth-Q3 revenue of $32.06 million was up from $26.43 million in Q2 2025-the phenomenal Gross Margin will eventually provide the fuel needed to close that Operating Loss gap.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
For a high-growth, commercial-stage biotech like ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX), the capital structure story is less about a balanced Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio and more about managing a significant stockholders' deficit. You need to look past the surface-level numbers to understand the true cost and complexity of their funding.
As of the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025), ImmunityBio's balance sheet reflects a highly leveraged position with total liabilities of approximately $1.04 billion. This is the key number to focus on. Because of cumulative losses, the company has a total stockholders' deficit (negative equity) of ($524.3 million). This means the company's liabilities exceed its assets, which is common for pre-profit biotechs but still a major risk factor.
This negative equity is why ImmunityBio's Debt-to-Equity ratio is a negative number-around -1.65 as of September 30, 2025. To be fair, the average Debt-to-Equity ratio for the broader Biotechnology industry is a low 0.17 because most firms rely on equity to finance their long, risky development cycles. ImmunityBio's negative ratio is a stark contrast, showing a much higher financial leverage and risk profile.
Here's the quick math on their major debt components, which aren't your typical bank loans:
- Related-Party Debt: This is debt owed to affiliated entities, totaling about $500.8 million. This carries a unique set of risks and dependencies you must weigh.
- Revenue Interest Liability: This is a complex financing instrument, essentially a non-traditional debt, valued at approximately $316.1 million. As ImmunityBio's flagship product, ANKTIVA, generates more revenue (which grew 434% year-over-year in Q3 2025), the interest expense on this liability automatically escalates, dampening the immediate impact of commercial success on net profitability.
The company's strategy has been to balance this debt burden with significant equity funding. In 2025, they executed multiple registered direct offerings to shore up liquidity. This included a July 2025 equity financing that brought in approximately $80 million in gross proceeds, plus warrants that could yield up to another $96.0 million. This reliance on equity is defintely the right move for a biotech in this stage, but it comes with a cost: dilution. The weighted-average share count increased 36% year-over-year in Q3 2025 to 946.6 million shares.
The core action for you is to monitor the cash burn against the new cash position. The company reported cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $257.8 million as of September 30, 2025. This liquidity is critical, but the Q3 2025 operating cash burn was still $68.9 million. They are still heavily dependent on continuous, large-scale external financing to fund their aggressive pipeline advancement, including new randomized registration trials.
| Financing Metric | Value (Q3 2025) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Total Liabilities | $1.04 Billion | High overall leverage. |
| Stockholders' Deficit (Negative Equity) | ($524.3 Million) | Liabilities exceed assets; D/E ratio is negative. |
| Related-Party Debt | $500.8 Million | Significant portion of debt is non-traditional and related to insiders. |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents, & Marketable Securities | $257.8 Million | Liquidity buffer, heavily reliant on 2025 equity raises. |
| Biotech Industry Average D/E Ratio | 0.17 | IBRX is an outlier, underscoring its unique capital structure risk. |
Liquidity and Solvency
When we look at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX)'s financial health, liquidity is the first place a seasoned analyst focuses. The direct takeaway is this: the company's short-term position is strong, but it's fundamentally dependent on financing to cover a significant and sustained cash burn from operations and aggressive pipeline investment.
As of September 30, 2025, the end of the third quarter, ImmunityBio's balance sheet showed a solid liquidity profile. The current ratio stood at 4.11, and the quick ratio (acid-test ratio) was 3.98. These numbers are defintely high for a biotech firm, meaning the company has more than enough liquid assets to cover its short-term liabilities (those due within a year). A ratio above 1.0 is generally good; these are excellent.
- Current Ratio: 4.11 (Q3 2025) - Strong coverage of current liabilities.
- Quick Ratio: 3.98 (Q3 2025) - Very high ability to meet immediate obligations without selling inventory.
The working capital trend, however, tells a more nuanced story. The company ended Q2 2025 with about $153.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. By Q3 2025, this war chest had grown to $257.8 million. Here's the quick math: that $104.1 million increase didn't come from sales alone. It was largely a result of a $173.5 million inflow from financing activities, which temporarily shores up the balance sheet. This is typical for a growth-stage biotech, but it highlights the need for continued capital access.
The cash flow statement overview for Q3 2025 clearly maps out the capital intensity of the business. While the commercial traction of ANKTIVA is real-driving year-to-date sales to $74.7 million-the core business still consumes a lot of cash. You can see this in the three main cash flow categories:
| Cash Flow Activity (Q3 2025) | Amount (in millions) | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Activities | -$68.9 | Persistent Cash Burn |
| Investing Activities | -$181.4 | Aggressive Pipeline Investment |
| Financing Activities | +$173.5 | Primary Source of Liquidity |
The key liquidity concern is that the net cash used in operating activities was $68.9 million in Q3 2025. That operational burn rate, which annualizes to nearly $276 million, is substantial. The strength is the high cash balance of $257.8 million, which provides a runway to execute on their expanding pipeline and commercial strategy, especially as they pursue their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX).
So, the clear action for you is to watch the burn rate against commercial revenue growth. If ANKTIVA's sales growth doesn't start outpacing the operational cash consumption soon, the company will need to tap the capital markets again, which means dilution risk.
Valuation Analysis
You are looking at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) and wondering if the current price reflects its true potential. The short answer is that the market sees it as significantly undervalued based on future drug success, but traditional metrics scream high-risk premium.
As of November 2025, the stock trades around $2.08, which is near the low end of its 52-week range of $1.83 to $5.43. This price action, a 19.07% decline in 2025, shows investor nervousness, defintely after the initial excitement of its commercial-stage product, ANKTIVA.
Why Traditional Ratios Are Not Applicable
For a commercial-stage biotechnology company like ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX), which is still heavily investing in its pipeline, the most common valuation ratios are often unhelpful or misleading. You simply cannot use them like you would for a mature industrial stock. Here is the quick math on why:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E): The company is not profitable. The forecasted P/E ratio for the 2025 fiscal year is negative, sitting around -5.2x, because analysts expect an Earnings Per Share (EPS) loss of about -$0.53. A negative P/E is meaningless for valuation; it just confirms the company is in a growth/loss phase.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is also negative, reported at -$71.3 million for Q2 2025. Since you cannot divide by a negative number to get a meaningful multiple, this ratio is also N/A.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): The company has negative shareholder equity, meaning its Book Value per Share is negative, giving it a P/B ratio of roughly -3.7x as of the end of 2024. This negative book value is a common sign of a capital-intensive biotech that has burned through cash for R&D.
The Real Valuation Story: EV/Sales and Analyst Consensus
The market is valuing ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) based on its future potential, specifically the commercial ramp-up of ANKTIVA and its deep oncology pipeline. This is why you must look at the Price-to-Sales (P/S) or Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) ratio, which is currently a hefty 37.4x. This is a significant premium compared to the US biotech industry average of 10.3x, indicating investors are paying a high price for every dollar of current sales, betting on massive future growth.
Here's the breakdown of the current analyst sentiment, which suggests a strong belief in that future growth:
| Metric | Value (as of Nov 2025) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst Consensus Rating | Moderate Buy / Strong Buy | Optimistic on long-term pipeline success. |
| Average Target Price | $10.75 | Suggests a potential upside of over 416% from the current price. |
| Highest Target Price | $24.00 | Reflects the most bullish scenario, likely factoring in full pipeline success. |
| DCF Fair Value Estimate | $4.98 | Even a fundamental Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model shows the stock trading below its intrinsic value. |
The consensus is clear: ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) is fundamentally undervalued relative to its projected cash flows and commercial milestones, but it is overvalued on current sales and profits. It is a high-risk, high-reward play. Plus, the company does not pay a dividend, with a $0.00 TTM payout and 0.00% yield, which is standard for a biotech focused on reinvesting every dollar into R&D. You can read more about what drives this long-term optimism in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX).
Risk Factors
You're looking at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) and seeing the strong revenue growth from ANKTIVA, but you need to be a realist about the near-term financial holes and regulatory friction. The core takeaway is that while commercial momentum is up-with product revenue hitting $74.7 million for the first nine months of 2025-the company is still burning cash at a high rate, which creates an ongoing dilution risk for investors.
Honesty, this is the price of being an early-stage commercial biotech. ImmunityBio is definitely not profitable yet, and consensus forecasts project a negative Earnings Per Share (EPS) of around $-0.64 for the full Fiscal Year 2025. This continued unprofitability means the company faces three clear, interconnected risks: financial sustainability, regulatory setbacks, and market competition.
Here's the quick math on the financial risk: the net loss for the first half of 2025 was $222.2 million. Even with $153.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of June 30, 2025, that cash position is constantly under pressure from high operating expenses. For example, Research & Development (R&D) spending alone was $50.4 million in Q3 2025.
This financial pressure leads directly to the risk of shareholder dilution. The company has already relied on equity financing, including an $80 million financing round in July 2025, plus warrants that could bring in an additional $96.0 million. This is a necessary move to strengthen the balance sheet and fund pipeline acceleration, but it means your piece of the pie gets smaller.
The external risks are just as critical, especially the regulatory and competitive landscape for their flagship product, ANKTIVA. The FDA's Refusal to File (RTF) notice in May 2025 for the supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) for papillary-only non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) was a significant setback. This forces ImmunityBio to now run a more costly and time-consuming randomized control trial (RCT) against chemotherapy for that indication.
Plus, the competition is not standing still. While ANKTIVA is a key player, emerging therapies like TAR-200 and established rivals like Ferring Pharmaceuticals' ADSTILADRIN are intensifying the fight for market share in the NMIBC space.
ImmunityBio's mitigation strategies are focused and clear, though they don't eliminate the risk:
- Addressing Liquidity: Secured significant equity financing in 2025 to boost cash reserves.
- Navigating Regulatory Hurdles: Committed to initiating the required RCT for the papillary-only NMIBC indication and is seeking National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline expansion in parallel.
- Solving Operational Bottlenecks: Received FDA authorization for an Expanded Access Program (EAP) of a recombinant BCG (rBCG) alternative, with over 45,000 doses expected to be available in the US in 2025 to alleviate the ongoing BCG shortage that could otherwise benefit competitors.
You can read more about the long-term vision that drives these decisions here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX).
| Risk Category | Specific Risk Factor (2025 Focus) | Near-Term Financial Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Financial | Sustained High Cash Burn & Unprofitability | Q3 2025 Net Loss was $67.3 million; requires further equity financing, leading to dilution. |
| Regulatory | FDA Refusal to File (RTF) for Papillary NMIBC sBLA | Delays market expansion and forces a longer, more expensive Randomized Control Trial (RCT). |
| Market/Competition | Intensifying NMIBC Competitive Landscape | Rivals like ADSTILADRIN and TAR-200 threaten ANKTIVA's market share and pricing power. |
| Operational | Manufacturing Dependencies/BCG Shortage | Could limit ANKTIVA's commercial uptake, though the rBCG EAP aims to mitigate this with 45,000+ doses. |
The company's high Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 37.4x compared to the biotech industry average of 10.3x suggests the market is pricing in a lot of future success. That elevated valuation makes the stock defintely sensitive to any further negative clinical or regulatory news.
Next step: Portfolio Manager: Model a 12-month cash runway scenario that includes the cost and timeline of the newly required RCT by the end of the month.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) and seeing a biotech firm that has finally crossed the chasm from pure research to commercial-stage growth, but you need to know if the momentum is sustainable. The direct takeaway is this: the company's near-term growth is overwhelmingly driven by the commercial success of its flagship product, ANKTIVA, and its strategic positioning to solve a critical market shortage.
The core growth engine is ANKTIVA (nogapendekin alfa inbakicept-pmln), which received FDA approval in 2024 for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). The real catalyst in 2025 was the permanent J-code (J9028) approval in January 2025, which radically simplified billing and reimbursement for urology practices. This administrative change is not a small detail; it's what translated clinical promise into sales reality. This is a first-in-class IL-15 agonist that activates Natural Killer (NK) cells and T cells, offering a long-duration response and bladder-sparing benefits, which is a significant competitive edge over traditional chemotherapy.
Here's the quick math on the commercial traction: ImmunityBio reported year-to-date sales through Q3 2025 of $74.7 million, reflecting a massive 467% unit sales volume growth compared to the full fiscal year 2024. Analysts are forecasting the full 2025 fiscal year revenue to land between $107.63 million and $110.2 million. However, keep in mind that this is a high-burn business; the consensus forecast for the 2025 full-year loss per share (EPS) is still a substantial loss of around -$0.50 to -$0.53. You're buying growth, not profit, yet.
The company is also strategically expanding its footprint and pipeline, which will be the next leg of growth. The most immediate opportunity is addressing the national shortage of BCG (Bacillus Calmette-Guérin), a standard NMIBC treatment. ImmunityBio's Expanded Access Program (EAP) for recombinant BCG (rBCG), in partnership with the Serum Institute of India, positions them as a key supplier, with over 45,000 vials of rBCG anticipated to be available in the US in 2025. That's a defintely smart move to capture market share.
- Product Innovation: ANKTIVA's mechanism of action-activating the entire immune system-is a key differentiator, with patent protection extending until 2035.
- Market Expansion: Global regulatory submissions for ANKTIVA were accepted for review in the EU and UK in February 2025. Plus, a strategic Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) was signed in May 2025 to introduce the Cancer BioShield platform to the Middle East, starting with Saudi Arabia.
- Pipeline Catalysts: The company is preparing for a supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) for the papillary indication of NMIBC and a BLA submission for second- and third-line non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in 2025.
What this estimate hides is the regulatory risk, particularly the ongoing discussions with the FDA regarding the filing status for the papillary NMIBC indication. Still, the company's vertically-integrated structure and its focus on combination immunotherapies give it a strong competitive advantage in a complex oncology market. If you want a deeper dive into the financial mechanics behind these numbers, check out Breaking Down ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The table below summarizes the key financial and clinical milestones driving the 2025 outlook:
| Growth Driver | 2025 Fiscal Year Data/Status | Impact on Future Growth |
|---|---|---|
| ANKTIVA Product Revenue (YTD Q3 2025) | $74.7 million | Validates commercial model and market adoption. |
| ANKTIVA Unit Sales Volume Growth (YTD 2025 vs. FY 2024) | 467% increase | Demonstrates strong demand post-J-code approval. |
| Full Year 2025 Revenue Projection (Consensus) | $107.63 million to $110.2 million | Represents a massive year-over-year revenue surge. |
| Strategic Partnership (Middle East) | MOU signed May 2025 | Opens new international market for the Cancer BioShield platform. |
| Pipeline Submission | BLA for 2nd/3rd-line NSCLC expected in 2025 | Potential for a second commercial product in a large market. |
Your next step is to monitor the Q4 2025 earnings release for confirmation of the $100+ million annual revenue target and any updates on the NSCLC BLA submission timeline, as these are the two immediate-term valuation drivers.

ImmunityBio, Inc. (IBRX) DCF Excel Template
5-Year Financial Model
40+ Charts & Metrics
DCF & Multiple Valuation
Free Email Support
Disclaimer
All information, articles, and product details provided on this website are for general informational and educational purposes only. We do not claim any ownership over, nor do we intend to infringe upon, any trademarks, copyrights, logos, brand names, or other intellectual property mentioned or depicted on this site. Such intellectual property remains the property of its respective owners, and any references here are made solely for identification or informational purposes, without implying any affiliation, endorsement, or partnership.
We make no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of any content or products presented. Nothing on this website should be construed as legal, tax, investment, financial, medical, or other professional advice. In addition, no part of this site—including articles or product references—constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, advertisement, or offer to buy or sell any securities, franchises, or other financial instruments, particularly in jurisdictions where such activity would be unlawful.
All content is of a general nature and may not address the specific circumstances of any individual or entity. It is not a substitute for professional advice or services. Any actions you take based on the information provided here are strictly at your own risk. You accept full responsibility for any decisions or outcomes arising from your use of this website and agree to release us from any liability in connection with your use of, or reliance upon, the content or products found herein.