First Bancorp (FBNC) Bundle
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) and wondering if the regional bank story is still a buy, especially after a volatile 2025 for the sector. The short answer is yes, the smart money is still betting on this name, with institutional investors holding approximately 68.36% of the stock as of November 2025, a clear vote of confidence. Why are they piling in? The investment thesis hinges on the bank's operational resilience shown in the third quarter of 2025, where adjusted diluted earnings per share (D-EPS) hit $1.01, beating consensus estimates of $0.93. This wasn't a fluke; the bank is executing a clean strategy, driving its Net Interest Margin (NIM) up to 3.46% and achieving annualized loan growth over 9%. Plus, the loan book remains defintely conservative, with net loan charge-offs at a low 0.14% for the quarter, keeping credit quality tight. Are you missing the next leg up, particularly with analysts setting a consensus price target around $56.67? Let's break down the institutional flow and see what the top 12 shareholders, who collectively own 50% of the company, are really seeing in the numbers.
Who Invests in First Bancorp (FBNC) and Why?
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) and want to know who else is at the table and what their game plan is. The direct takeaway is that this is defintely an institutionally-driven stock, with a clear split between large asset managers seeking stable growth and retail investors drawn to the bank's consistent dividend policy and regional strength.
Institutional investors-the big players like mutual funds and pension funds-hold the majority stake, controlling about 70% of the shares as of mid-2025. That means their collective decisions have a massive impact on the stock price. The general public, mostly individual investors, holds the remaining 30%. It's a classic regional bank ownership structure: the pros own the lion's share, but retail still has real influence.
Key Investor Types: The Institutional Powerhouse
When you see that institutional ownership is so dominant, you know the focus is on stability and predictable returns. These aren't just anonymous funds; they are some of the largest asset managers in the world. For example, BlackRock, Inc. is a major shareholder, holding approximately 15% of the total shares outstanding. That's a significant position for any single entity.
Here's a quick breakdown of who's buying and holding:
- Asset Managers (e.g., BlackRock, Vanguard Group Inc.): They seek long-term, low-volatility exposure to the US regional banking sector.
- Other Financial Institutions (e.g., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Invesco Ltd.): They often hold positions for diversification or as part of specialized financial sector funds.
- Hedge Funds: They hold very few shares, which tells you this isn't a high-beta, short-term momentum trade.
The top 12 shareholders collectively own about 50% of the company, so you need to keep a close eye on their 13F filings (institutional holdings reports) to see if they are buying or selling. That's where the power lies.
The Core Motivations: Why Investors Buy First Bancorp (FBNC)
Investors are attracted to First Bancorp (FBNC) for three primary reasons: reliable income, strong regional market position, and solid financial performance in a tough environment. The bank's core business model-commercial and consumer banking in the Carolinas-is resilient.
The dividend is a major draw. First Bancorp (FBNC) has an annual dividend of $0.92 per share, translating to a yield of about 1.80% as of November 2025. Here's the quick math: the dividend payout ratio is a sustainable 37.7%, meaning earnings easily cover the payments. This stability is gold for income-focused portfolios.
Plus, the growth story is compelling. For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, the company reported net income of $95.3 million, a solid increase from $72.7 million in the same period a year prior. Loan growth is also strong, hitting a 9% annualized rate in the third quarter of 2025. This shows the bank is effectively deploying its capital and expanding its footprint.
You can see a deeper dive into the numbers here: Breaking Down First Bancorp (FBNC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors
Mapping the Strategy: Long-Term Income vs. Value Play
The investment strategies for First Bancorp (FBNC) typically fall into two buckets: the long-term income holder and the value investor looking for a repricing event.
The Long-Term Holding strategy is fueled by the stable dividend and the bank's expanding Net Interest Margin (NIM), which hit 3.46% in Q3 2025. You buy this stock to compound returns over time, counting on management's disciplined approach to capital deployment and regional expansion to keep the dividend growing.
The Value Investing strategy is more nuanced. Some analysts believe the stock is still trading at a discount, potentially undervalued by as much as 37% as of mid-2025, based on its strong balance sheet and total assets of $12.8 billion. However, to be fair, others point out that the Price-to-Earnings ratio remains high compared to peers, suggesting it's not a deep-value play. The risk/reward is all about whether the strong Net Interest Income growth-which reached $102.5 million in Q3 2025-can be sustained to justify the current valuation.
The consensus is that this is a quality regional bank. You buy it for the steady, long-term performance, not for a quick flip.
| Investor Type | Ownership (Mid-2025) | Primary Motivation | Typical Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Institutional Investors | ~70% | Stability, Sustainable Dividend, Regional Growth | Long-Term Holding, Core Portfolio Allocation |
| Retail/General Public | ~30% | Income Generation, Brand Loyalty | Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP), Buy-and-Hold |
| Largest Single Holder (BlackRock) | ~15% | Passive Indexing/Active Management | Strategic Long-Term Investment |
Finance: Monitor Q4 2025 EPS guidance for any changes to the 2026 dividend forecast by the end of the year.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of First Bancorp (FBNC)
If you're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC), the first thing to understand is that it's an institutionally-driven stock. This isn't a company where individual retail investors call the shots; the big money is firmly in control. As of November 2025, institutional investors-think mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers-own a substantial 68.36% of the company's stock. That means over two-thirds of the equity is held by professional money managers who are constantly evaluating the bank's performance and strategy.
The concentration of ownership is also notable. The top 14 institutional shareholders alone control a combined 51% of the company. This level of concentration means a handful of firms can defintely influence the stock's trajectory and the board's decisions. It's a clear signal: you need to track what these major players are doing.
The Largest Institutional Investors in First Bancorp
When we talk about who's buying, the list is a roster of the biggest names in asset management. These are the firms with trillions under management, and their positions in FBNC are significant, even if they represent a small fraction of their overall portfolios. The top three are a classic example of passive and active giants building core positions.
- BlackRock, Inc.: Holds the largest stake, with 5,819,238 shares as of June 30, 2025.
- Vanguard Group Inc.: A close second, reporting 2,837,986 shares as of September 30, 2025.
- Franklin Resources Inc.: Maintains a substantial position with 2,335,409 shares as of June 30, 2025.
These large index and fund managers provide a solid, long-term base for the stock, but they also mean the stock is heavily correlated to broader market movements. For a detailed look at the bank's operational compass, check out their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of First Bancorp (FBNC).
Here's a quick look at the major holders and their reported share counts from the 2025 fiscal year filings:
| Institutional Investor | Shares Held (2025) | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 5,819,238 | June 30, 2025 |
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 2,837,986 | September 30, 2025 |
| Franklin Resources Inc. | 2,335,409 | June 30, 2025 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp | 2,252,040 | June 30, 2025 |
| State Street Corp | 1,733,601 | June 30, 2025 |
Recent Shifts: Who's Buying and Who's Trimming
The near-term trend in institutional ownership shows a mixed, but generally stable picture, which is typical for a regional bank like First Bancorp. You're seeing some of the largest holders slightly trim their positions, while others are aggressively adding shares.
For example, in the second and third quarters of 2025, both BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. made small reductions. BlackRock trimmed its position by -2.852% as of June 30, 2025, and Vanguard made a fractional cut of -0.023% by September 30, 2025. This isn't a panic sale; it's more likely a minor rebalancing of their massive index funds.
On the flip side, several firms saw significant increases, indicating a strong conviction in the bank's outlook. Ameriprise Financial Inc. increased its stake by 13.0% in August 2025, and Sei Investments Co. boosted its holdings by 29.8% in the same period. Plus, you had new entrants like Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC and the Teacher Retirement System of Texas initiating positions in the first half of 2025. This influx of new money and aggressive buying by existing holders suggests a positive view on the bank's core business model and regional market strength.
The Impact of Institutional Clout on FBNC's Strategy
The sheer volume of institutional ownership means these investors have a profound impact on First Bancorp's stock price and corporate strategy. When institutions own 67% to 70% of the shares, the board and management are compelled to pay close attention to their preferences. This influence often translates into a focus on predictable earnings, capital return (dividends and buybacks), and conservative risk management-all hallmarks of a well-run regional bank.
Their collective action can create volatility, however. When the company's market capitalization fell by US$90 million recently, institutional investors absorbed the largest losses. But when the stock price gained 4.6% in a single week, they were the biggest beneficiaries. This dynamic illustrates the 'crowded trade' risk: when a stock is heavily owned, any bad news can trigger a rapid, synchronized sell-off as multiple large parties compete to exit. For you, this means watching for any major institutional selling, as it can accelerate downward pressure faster than in a stock with more dispersed ownership.
The core takeaway is that institutional support validates First Bancorp's credibility in the investment community. Their presence is a vote of confidence in the bank's ability to generate its projected $3.27 earnings per share for the current fiscal year. Your next step should be to monitor the next round of 13F filings (institutional holdings reports) to see if the net buying trend continues into the fourth quarter of 2025.
Key Investors and Their Impact on First Bancorp (FBNC)
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) and trying to figure out who is driving the bus-a smart move because the institutional money here dictates the stock's near-term volatility and long-term strategy. The quick takeaway is that institutional investors own the lion's share, giving them a powerful, collective voice. This is defintely not a retail-driven stock.
As of late 2025, institutional ownership sits around a commanding 68.36% of the outstanding shares. That kind of concentration means the company's board and management team have to pay close attention to the preferences of a small group of major funds. The top 14 shareholders alone control roughly 51% of the company, so their consensus is what truly moves the stock price, not the day-to-day news cycle.
The Heavy Hitters: Who Owns the Largest Stakes?
The investor profile for First Bancorp (FBNC) is dominated by some of the largest asset managers in the world, the kind of funds that buy for stability and index tracking. Their massive holdings mean they are long-term anchors, reducing the risk of a sudden, catastrophic sell-off based on a single piece of bad news.
The single largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc., which held a substantial 15% of the shares outstanding as of early 2025. This is a passive investment, primarily through index funds, but its sheer size gives BlackRock, Inc. significant voting power in proxy battles or major corporate actions. Other key institutional anchors include:
- Vanguard Group Inc., with a holding valued at approximately $150.10 million.
- Franklin Resources Inc., holding about $116.08 million.
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP, with a stake valued at $105.07 million.
This structure, where a few massive funds hold a majority, means management is usually focused on capital return and steady growth to keep these large, passive investors happy. You can dive deeper into the company's foundation and structure here: First Bancorp (FBNC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Recent Investor Moves and the Money Flow
When you look at the recent money flow, you see more conviction from the institutional side. Over the last 12 months, the total institutional inflows-money coming in-were approximately $199.05 million, against outflows of about $146.08 million. Here's the quick math: that's a net institutional buy signal, suggesting funds are adding to their positions or new funds are initiating stakes.
A few notable moves in 2025 stand out. Franklin Resources Inc. was a significant buyer, purchasing an additional $1.31 million worth of shares, which is a strong vote of confidence from a major asset manager. Conversely, you see smaller trimming, like Bank of New York Mellon Corp. lowering its position by a modest 1.2% in the second quarter, selling 4,255 shares. These moves show a healthy, but not aggressive, rebalancing among the big players.
| Investor/Group | 2025 Activity (Last 12 Months) | Amount/Value | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Institutional Investors (Total) | Net Inflow | $52.97 Million (Calculated: $199.05M In - $146.08M Out) | Net positive sentiment; funds are adding. |
| Franklin Resources Inc. | Significant Buying | Bought $1.31 Million in shares | Strong conviction from a top holder. |
| Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC | New Position Acquired (Q2 2025) | Approx. $393,000 | Indicates new institutional interest. |
| Insiders (Open Market) | Net Selling | Sold $517.4K more than bought (Calculated: $1.05M Sold - $532.6K Bought) | Neutral sentiment, but net selling suggests some executives are taking profits. |
Influence on Strategy and Stock Performance
The institutional backing directly influences the stock's stability. When First Bancorp (FBNC) reported its Q3 2025 adjusted diluted earnings per share (D-EPS) of $1.01-beating the consensus estimate of $0.93-the stock reacted positively because the major holders were reassured of the company's execution. This performance helped support the consensus full-year 2025 EPS forecast of $3.27 per share. The institutional presence acts as a floor for the stock price.
The fact that the company's net interest income grew to $102.5 million in Q3 2025 is exactly the kind of concrete, fundamental growth these large funds demand. They aren't looking for a quick flip; they want steady, predictable growth that justifies the current market capitalization of approximately $2.11 billion. This is a stable bank stock, not a high-growth tech play, so the influence is on capital management and conservative risk-taking.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
You're looking for a clear read on First Bancorp (FBNC), and the message from the major players is a qualified positive. The overall investor sentiment is currently a Moderate Buy, driven by strong Q3 2025 earnings and a belief in the bank's regional growth strategy.
Institutional investors own the majority of the company, holding between 67% and 68.36% of the stock, which gives them significant influence over the share price. The general public, mostly individual investors, holds a meaningful stake of about 30%. The largest institutional holder, BlackRock, Inc., holds a substantial position of 5,819,238 shares as of the Q2 2025 filing, or about 15% of shares outstanding. That's a huge vote of confidence from a firm that size.
The sentiment is positive, but it's not blind optimism. Concerns about credit costs and the stock's valuation-it trades at a P/E ratio of 20.68, which is slightly below the Finance sector average of 21.47 but still high for a regional bank-keep the overall rating from being a Strong Buy. Insider sentiment is defintely neutral, with more insider sales than high-impact purchases over the last year, suggesting key executives are taking some chips off the table.
Recent Market Reactions to Ownership Shifts
The market has responded quickly and decisively to both positive company news and broader sector fears. For example, in early November 2025, the stock jumped 2.9% on the news of an analyst upgrade following better-than-expected third-quarter results. That's a clear signal that the market values core earnings progression and positive analyst coverage.
Still, First Bancorp (FBNC) is not immune to sector-wide jitters. The stock dropped 5.4% in a single day recently after disclosures from other regional lenders raised concerns about deteriorating loan quality across the industry. This shows how quickly sentiment can turn in the regional banking space (or 'regional banks,' as we call them). The stock has still performed well overall in 2025, showing a year-to-date rise of 24.2%, which significantly outperforms the KRX index.
The institutional ownership structure, where the top 14 shareholders own a combined 51%, means any coordinated shift in their position could move the price significantly. You need to track the 13F filings of the top holders closely to map out any major selling pressure.
- BlackRock, Inc. is the largest holder with 5,819,238 shares.
- Vanguard Group Inc holds 2,837,986 shares as of Q3 2025.
- State Street Corp holds 1,733,601 shares.
Analyst Perspectives and Key Investor Impact
The consensus among the analysts covering First Bancorp (FBNC) is a 'Buy' rating, with an average price target of $56.67. This target implies a forecasted upside of about 12.17% from a recent closing price of $50.52. Here's the quick math: they see a clear path to the mid-$50s based on the bank's improved net interest margin (NIM) and solid loan growth. Piper Sandler, a key voice, recently lifted their price target to $58.00 from $51.00, signaling a belief that the bank's strong Q3 2025 results are sustainable.
What this estimate hides is the risk of a compressed net interest margin (NIM)-the difference between the interest income generated by banks and the amount of interest paid out to their lenders-which remains a primary sector-wide concern. The influence of major shareholders like BlackRock, Inc. is mostly passive (Schedule 13G filings), meaning they are generally long-term index or fund holders, not activists looking to force a management change. Their presence, though, provides a foundational stability that helps buffer the stock during market volatility. For a deeper dive into the company's fundamentals, you can look at First Bancorp (FBNC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Here is a snapshot of the current analyst consensus and key financial forecasts for the 2025 fiscal year:
| Metric | 2025 Consensus Value | Source/Context |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | Moderate Buy | Based on 6 Wall Street analysts |
| Average Price Target | $56.67 | Represents 12.17% to 16.81% upside |
| Forecasted EPS (This Year) | $3.91 | A significant increase from the prior year's $1.84 |
| Forecasted Revenue (This Year) | $467.77 Million | A 40.17% increase from the prior year's $333.72 Million |
Your next step should be to model a sensitivity analysis on the 2025 earnings per share (EPS) forecast, specifically stress-testing a 10% increase in credit costs to see the true downside risk. That's the real work.

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