Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) Bundle
You're looking at Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) because the stock is now in play, but the real story is who controls the float and what they're doing right before the big exit. The company just closed out a solid fiscal Q4 2025, reporting revenue of $1,049.5 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.13, showing underlying strength in women's health diagnostics. But let's be honest, the recent news is the October 2025 definitive agreement to be acquired by funds managed by Blackstone and TPG for up to $79 per share. So, who owns the stock that's about to be cashed out? A massive 94.73% of Hologic's shares are held by institutional money, including giants like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc., who hold 26.2 million and 19.4 million shares, respectively. That's a huge concentration of power. The interesting wrinkle is that even as the stock trades near the acquisition price, top institutional holders like BlackRock, Inc. were trimming their positions by over 527,000 shares in the last reported quarter. Are these smart money managers taking profits, or is there a deeper arbitrage play at work? We need to dig into the filings to see who is buying the dip and who is defintely selling into the spread.
Who Invests in Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) and Why?
You're looking at Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) and trying to figure out who's driving the stock price, and honestly, the answer is simple: it's the big money. Institutional investors-the mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers like BlackRock-own the vast majority of the company, and their motivations are rooted in Hologic's strong balance sheet and predictable cash flow, not just headline growth.
The investor profile for Hologic, Inc. is dominated by these professional, long-term holders. This high level of institutional ownership suggests the stock is viewed as a quality holding, closely monitored, and less prone to the wild swings you see in heavily retail-owned stocks. Here's a quick look at the breakdown:
- Institutional Investors: Approximately 65.94% of shares.
- Public/Individual Investors (Retail): Approximately 32.55% of shares.
- Insiders: A small, but important, 1.51%.
Key Investor Types: The Institutional Giants
The largest shareholders in Hologic, Inc. are the titans of the asset management world, primarily passive and index funds. This means a huge chunk of the stock is held simply because Hologic is a component of major indices like the S&P 500. The top holders, as of late 2025, include Vanguard Group, Inc. with a massive 12.04% stake (or 26,801,683 shares), and T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. with 10.98% (or 24,433,430 shares). BlackRock, Inc. is also a significant holder.
Passive investing is a powerful force here. When Vanguard or BlackRock Fund Advisors buys, it's often not a specific bet on the next product launch, but an allocation to match an index's weighting. Still, the sheer size of these holdings gives them influence and provides a strong, stable floor for the stock price. The top institutional holders are a who's who of asset management:
| Holder | % of Holding (Approx.) | Shares Held (Approx.) | Type of Investor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group, Inc. | 12.04% | 26,801,683 | Institutional/Index Fund |
| T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 10.98% | 24,433,430 | Institutional/Active Fund |
| BlackRock, Inc. | ~8.3% (Estimated) | ~20,000,000 (Estimated) | Institutional/Index Fund |
Hedge funds, on the other hand, are the active players. You see firms like Millennium Management making big moves, increasing their stake by a dramatic 268% in the quarter ending September 2025, while others like Citadel Advisors are reducing their position by about 16%. These are the investors making short-term, high-conviction bets on specific events or quarterly results.
Investment Motivations: Cash Flow and Capital Return
Investors are drawn to Hologic, Inc. for three core reasons, but the financial strength is defintely the most compelling. It's a classic 'quality growth' story in the medical technology sector.
- Growth Prospects in Women's Health: While full-year fiscal 2025 revenue growth is guided modestly at 1.3% to 1.5%, reaching $4,081 to $4,091 million, the underlying segment performance is what matters. The GYN Surgical and Skeletal Health divisions saw strong Q3 2025 growth of 6.3% and a massive 62.1%, respectively. The expectation is for a return to mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, driven by new products like the forthcoming Envision system in Breast Health.
- Financial Strength and Profitability: Hologic is a cash-generating machine. The company reported a strong non-GAAP operating margin of 30.1% in Q3 2025 and an industry-leading free cash flow conversion of 96%. The balance sheet is rock-solid, with net debt reduced to just $0.8 billion as of Q3 2025, representing a tiny 0.6x net leverage ratio. That kind of financial flexibility is a huge draw for any investor.
- Capital Return via Share Repurchases: Hologic does not pay a dividend, so its primary way of returning capital to shareholders is through aggressive share buybacks. Since fiscal 2020, the company has deployed $3.6 billion for share repurchases. This reduces the share count, which directly boosts earnings per share (EPS). For fiscal year 2025, the non-GAAP EPS is guided to be between $4.23 and $4.26, a 3.7% to 4.4% increase, partly fueled by these buybacks.
If you want to understand the foundation of this business, you should look at Hologic, Inc. (HOLX): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Investment Strategies: The Long and Short View
The dominant strategy among the large institutional holders is long-term holding, often through passive index funds. They are buying the market, and Hologic's consistent profitability and market position in women's health make it an ideal 'buy and hold' candidate. This is essentially a bet on the long-term, secular growth of the diagnostics and medical device markets.
For the active managers, the strategy is a mix of quality value and event-driven trading. The quality value investors are attracted to the high margins and the low debt-to-EBITDA ratio (adjusted net leverage ratio of 0.6x). They see a company that is cheap relative to its quality and cash flow generation. The event-driven traders, particularly the hedge funds, are focused on the near-term catalysts, such as the mixed segment performance in Q3 2025, where the Skeletal Health segment jumped 62.1% but Breast Health declined 5.8%. They are trading around these segment shifts and the guidance for the next fiscal year.
Actionable Insight: With institutional ownership so high, any major shift in positioning by the top three holders-Vanguard, T. Rowe Price, or BlackRock-could create a significant market event. You should monitor their 13F filings closely for any unexpected, large-scale selling.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Hologic, Inc. (HOLX)
The ownership structure of Hologic, Inc. is defintely dominated by institutional money, which is a critical factor in understanding its stock's stability and strategic direction. As of late 2025, institutional investors-like mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers-hold an overwhelming majority, accounting for roughly 94.73% to over 101% of the company's stock. That high percentage, exceeding 100%, points to significant short-selling activity, which is a bet the stock price will fall.
This level of concentration means the stock's price movements and corporate governance are heavily influenced by a relatively small number of massive players. For the fiscal year 2025, Hologic reported strong performance with total revenues hitting $4.10 billion and adjusted EPS at $4.26, setting the stage for the strategic decisions these large holders are now facing.
Top Institutional Investors and Their Stakes
The list of Hologic, Inc.'s largest shareholders reads like a who's who of global asset management, reflecting its status as a core holding in many index and large-cap funds. These firms are typically passive investors (Schedule 13G filers), meaning they hold the stock primarily to track an index, but their sheer size gives them immense power.
Here's the quick math on the top holders based on their Q3 2025 filings (September 30, 2025) and the stock price of $74.17 as of November 19, 2025:
| Institutional Investor | Shares Held (Q3 2025) | Approximate Value (Nov 2025) | Change in Shares (Q3 2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 26,213,728 | ~$1.94 billion | -587,955 |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | 21,549,648 | ~$1.60 billion | Decrease noted |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 19,413,701 | ~$1.44 billion | -527,670 |
| The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company | 10,450,448 | ~$775 million | -572,007 |
| State Street Corp | 9,976,767 | ~$740 million | -122,097 |
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. filed a 13G/A in November 2025 reporting a decrease of over 2.5 million shares from a prior filing.
Recent Shifts: Why the Big Funds Are Selling
You'll notice a clear trend in the Q3 2025 data: the largest, most passive institutional holders-Vanguard Group Inc., BlackRock, Inc., and State Street Corp-have all been net sellers, reducing their stakes by hundreds of thousands of shares each. This isn't a sign of fundamental distress, but rather a mechanical response to a major corporate event.
The key driver here is the announced acquisition of Hologic, Inc. by private equity firms Blackstone and TPG for up to $79 per share, announced in October 2025. When a company is in the process of being acquired (a merger arbitrage situation), passive funds often trim their positions. The stock is trading near the acquisition price, currently at $74.17 per share as of November 2025, so the upside is capped, and the money is better deployed elsewhere.
Still, not everyone is selling. Morgan Stanley, for example, bucked the trend and significantly increased its holding by over 1.5 million shares in the same quarter, likely positioning itself to capture the final spread (the difference between the current stock price and the acquisition price) or taking an active role in the deal's finalization.
The Impact of Institutional Investors on Strategy
The role of these investors in Hologic, Inc.'s stock and strategy is now defined by the pending privatization. Before the acquisition news, these large holders were the primary check on management, using their votes to influence board composition and capital allocation-like the company's focus on its core diagnostics business. Now, their influence is focused on the deal itself.
Their actions play a critical role in the stock price:
- Price Floor: Their presence creates a high demand base, setting a floor under the stock.
- Strategic Endorsement: The initial high institutional ownership signaled market confidence in Hologic's business model, which you can read more about here: Hologic, Inc. (HOLX): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
- Deal Certainty: The selling by passive funds confirms the market's belief that the Blackstone/TPG deal will close, as they exit for a small, guaranteed profit.
What this estimate hides is the potential for an activist investor to emerge and challenge the $79 per share offer, arguing for a higher price. But honestly, with the stock trading so close to the offer, it suggests most large holders are content with the return and the certainty of the cash exit.
Next Step: You need to monitor the regulatory approval process for the Blackstone/TPG acquisition, as that is the single largest factor affecting Hologic, Inc.'s stock price now. Finance: Track the deal's closing timeline and the final cash-out date.
Key Investors and Their Impact on Hologic, Inc. (HOLX)
The investor profile for Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) is dominated by large institutional money managers, but the biggest news is the recent, decisive move by private equity firms, which fundamentally changes the investment thesis for the stock.
You need to know that the traditional top holders-Vanguard Group Inc., BlackRock, Inc., and T. Rowe Price Investment Management-are now playing a secondary role to the proposed acquisition by Blackstone and TPG. This private equity takeover, valued at up to $18.3 billion, is the ultimate form of investor influence, signaling a near-term ceiling for the stock price at the offer of up to $79 per share.
The Institutional Giants: Who Holds the Bulk of HOLX
Hologic's shareholder base is overwhelmingly institutional. These aren't activist hedge funds pushing for change; they are primarily passive or quasi-passive asset managers holding the stock as part of broad index funds or large-cap growth portfolios. As of the end of the third fiscal quarter of 2025 (September 30, 2025), the top three holders alone controlled tens of millions of shares. Their sheer size means their buying and selling moves the stock, even if they aren't trying to be activist.
Here's a snapshot of the largest institutional positions and their recent activity:
- Vanguard Group Inc.: Held approximately 26.2 million shares. They are a foundational holder, but recently reduced their stake by over 587,000 shares.
- T. Rowe Price Investment Management: Held roughly 21.5 million shares. They are a major active manager, but also showed a significant decrease in their position's value by about 11% in the third quarter of 2025.
- BlackRock, Inc.: Held nearly 19.4 million shares. Like Vanguard, this is mostly index-driven, and they also pared back their holding by over 527,000 shares.
These firms are the bedrock of the stock, but their recent selling suggests a rotation out of the stock, possibly ahead of the acquisition news, or simply portfolio rebalancing. The total institutional ownership is very high, which means the stock is less prone to the volatility of retail traders, but more sensitive to large-scale fund flows.
The Game-Changing Recent Move: Private Equity's Hand
The most important investor action in late 2025 is not a quarterly filing, but the proposed sale of the entire company. On October 21, 2025, Hologic, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by private equity funds managed by Blackstone and TPG. This is the ultimate investor influence-a complete change of ownership, taking the company private.
The deal is valued at up to $18.3 billion, with an offer of up to $79 per share. This move immediately sets a new trading range for the stock, as the price is now tied to the probability of the deal closing, rather than Hologic's underlying fundamentals. For the fiscal year ending September 27, 2025, Hologic reported total annual revenue of $4.10 billion. The acquisition price represents a significant premium over the pre-announcement trading price, reflecting the private equity firms' belief in the long-term value of Hologic's core business segments, especially the Diagnostics and GYN Surgical segments, which saw growth in the fiscal year.
Activist Signals and Near-Term Opportunities
While the big three institutions are trimming, some hedge funds have made aggressive, short-term bets in the lead-up to the acquisition announcement. These are the investors who are defintely looking for a quick return.
For example, Millennium Management dramatically increased its stake by 268% to 3.7 million shares in the third quarter of 2025. Similarly, UBS Group boosted its position by 84% to 2.5 million shares. These are classic merger arbitrage plays-buying shares on the expectation that the deal will close and the stock will reach the full $79 per share offer price. They are betting on the successful execution of the deal, not on a long-term strategy for the company. That's a fundamentally different risk profile.
The acquisition by Blackstone and TPG is the single most important factor for investors right now. It means the stock's future is no longer about organic growth or a new product launch, but about the deal's mechanics. You should also check Hologic's core strategy, which is what the private equity firms are buying into: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Hologic, Inc. (HOLX).
Here's the quick math: the proposed sale price of up to $79 per share is the new ceiling. Any investor buying today is essentially locking in a return based on the difference between the current market price and that offer, assuming the deal closes. If the deal falls apart, the stock will drop back to a valuation based on its fundamentals, like the Q4 2025 Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.13.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
You're looking at Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) and trying to figure out if the big money is still buying, and honestly, the sentiment among the major players is a mixed bag-a cautious 'Hold' with a clear eye on a potential takeout. The institutional ownership is massive, sitting at nearly 95% of the stock, but a deeper look at the third-quarter 2025 filings shows a nuanced picture of buying and selling.
The largest shareholders-the passive index giants and active asset managers-are showing a slight pullback, which is a key signal. For instance, Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc., the first and third largest institutional holders, reduced their stakes in the September 2025 quarter. But, you have activist investor Carl C. Icahn holding the largest individual stake with over 28.15 million shares, valued at approximately $2.09 billion, which defintely puts a floor under the stock and signals a strong governance interest.
Here's the quick math on the top institutional positions as of the Q3 2025 reporting date:
- Vanguard Group Inc.: Held 26,213,728 shares, but reduced its position.
- T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.: Held 21,549,648 shares, also a reduction.
- BlackRock, Inc.: Held 19,413,701 shares, showing a slight trim.
Recent Market Reactions and the Takeout Premium
The stock has had a solid run over the past six months, climbing by about 31.3% and outperforming the S&P 500 by 20%, which is a healthy move for a healthcare device company. This run-up was partly fueled by strong quarterly results, where Hologic, Inc. reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.13, beating the consensus estimate of $1.10, on revenue of $1.05 billion.
But the biggest near-term driver-and the reason for the recent volatility-is the noise around a potential acquisition. There is a shareholder investigation related to a proposed sale to private equity funds managed by Blackstone and TPG. The proposed terms are a cash payment of $76.00 per share, plus a non-tradeable contingent value right (CVR) of up to $3.00 per share. This potential premium is what many investors are trading on right now. You can learn more about the company's background and structure at Hologic, Inc. (HOLX): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
What this estimate hides is the insider activity; CEO Stephen P. Macmillan sold 138,358 shares in September 2025 for about $9.27 million. That's a 10.08% reduction in his position, and while it's not a panic signal, it's a data point you can't ignore when evaluating management's confidence versus the proposed takeover value.
Analyst Perspectives on Key Investors' Impact
The overall analyst community has settled on a consensus rating of Hold, with an average 12-month target price hovering between $79.67 and $79.77. This consensus is a direct reflection of the mixed investor sentiment-the company's core business is sound, but growth concerns temper enthusiasm, which is why you see five Buy ratings versus fifteen Hold ratings.
The impact of a major investor like Carl C. Icahn is significant; his presence often signals a push for strategic change, which in this case seems to align with the proposed sale. The expectation is that an activist investor will ensure the best possible price for shareholders, especially with a potential deal on the table. This is why the stock trades close to the proposed takeout price.
The recent analyst moves show the tight range of valuation: BNP Paribas Exane downgraded Hologic, Inc. to 'Neutral' with a $79.00 price target in November 2025, while Royal Bank Of Canada had raised its target to $87.00 in August 2025. The market is essentially pricing in a high probability of the buyout at or near the $76.00-$79.00 range, which is why the stock is trading where it is.
| Analyst Firm (Recent Action) | Date (2025) | Rating Change | New Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Exane | November | Outperform to Neutral | $79.00 |
| Royal Bank Of Canada | August | Sector Perform to Outperform | $87.00 |
| Raymond James Financial | October | Moderate Buy to Hold | N/A |
Finance: Track the spread between the current stock price and the $76.00 cash component of the proposed deal daily to gauge market confidence in the acquisition closing.

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