Exploring Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Exploring Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

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You've been watching Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)-the powerhouse behind Burger King, Tim Hortons, and Popeyes-and you're defintely wondering who the smart money thinks is buying in, and why, especially after a strong year. The picture is clear: institutional conviction is high, with a staggering 82.29% of the stock held by major firms, signaling this isn't just a retail play. As of Q3 2025, giants like Capital World Investors and Royal Bank Of Canada hold tens of millions of shares, with Blackrock, Inc. alone holding over 7.29 million shares, validating the long-term thesis. This institutional appetite is fueled by real, tangible performance: the company is on track to deliver at least 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income growth for 2025, with full-year revenue forecasted around $9.37 billion after a Q3 revenue beat of $2.45 billion. Plus, the forward annual dividend of $2.48 per share, yielding about 3.68%, makes QSR a compelling blend of growth and income. Are these sophisticated buyers chasing the turnaround story in Burger King U.S., or is the 6.9% system-wide sales growth in Q3, driven by international momentum, the real anchor? Let's break down the investor profile and see if your portfolio should follow their lead.

Who Invests in Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) and Why?

You're looking at Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) and wondering who's driving the stock price and what their playbook is. Here's the quick math: this is an institutional favorite, with over 82% of the stock held by large funds and firms. They are buying for a clear, two-part strategy: stable dividend income and significant international growth, especially as the Burger King turnaround plan gains traction.

The Dominance of Institutional Capital

The investor profile for Restaurant Brands International Inc. is dominated by institutional players-think mutual funds, pension funds, and major asset managers. As of the most recent data, institutional ownership stands at a commanding 82.29%. This high percentage signals that the stock is viewed as a core, long-term holding by the world's largest pools of capital, providing a degree of stability and lower volatility (its beta is a low 0.63). Retail investors, while important, represent a smaller slice of the ownership pie.

Key institutional names you'll see on the shareholder list include Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co., Allianz Asset Management GmbH, and even firms like BlackRock, Inc. These are the giants who move markets, and their presence validates the company's defensive business model-people still buy coffee and burgers, even in a slowdown. To be fair, not all institutional action is buying; we also saw a strategic secondary offering of up to 17,626,570 common shares by HL1 17 LP, an affiliate of the private equity firm 3G Capital Partners Ltd., in November 2025, which represents a calculated exit or reduction by a founding-era investor. This is just smart portfolio management.

  • Institutional Ownership: 82.29% of shares.
  • Rolling One-Year Beta: 0.63, pointing to lower volatility.
  • Key Institutional Holders: Vanguard, BlackRock, Allianz Asset Management.

Motivations: Growth, Income, and Turnaround

Investors are attracted to Restaurant Brands International Inc. for a blend of reasons that map directly to its 2025 fiscal year performance. It's a classic mix of income and growth, but with a clear focus on international expansion as the primary engine.

The most compelling financial data point is the strong dividend. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.62 per share, targeting a total of $2.48 for the full 2025 fiscal year, which translates to a yield of around 3.5% to 3.6%. This makes it a top choice for income-focused investors. Plus, the growth story is real: Q3 2025 results showed consolidated system-wide sales growth of 6.9% year-over-year. The international segment is the star, delivering an impressive 12.1% system-wide sales growth, which is where the long-term value lies.

Here's the quick math: with Q3 2025 revenue at $2.45 billion and a forecasted full-year revenue of approximately $9.37 billion, the company is delivering on its promise of at least 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income growth for the year. This solid execution, plus the multi-year 'Reclaim the Flame' investment plan for Burger King U.S., gives growth investors a clear path to future earnings expansion.

2025 Performance Metric (Q3) Value/Percentage Investment Motivation
Quarterly Dividend Per Share $0.62 Stable Income/Dividend Focus
System-Wide Sales Growth (YOY) 6.9% Overall Growth
International System-Wide Sales Growth 12.1% International Expansion/Growth
Return on Equity (ROE) 32.43% Profitability/Efficiency

Investment Strategies: Long-Term Value and Income

The typical strategy for Restaurant Brands International Inc. investors leans toward a long-term holding, often a 'buy and hold' approach. The high institutional ownership and defensive nature of the quick-service restaurant (QSR) business make it a classic value investing (or dividend-growth) play, not a short-term trading vehicle. You're buying a global franchise platform with strong brands like Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs.

The consensus analyst recommendation is a 'Buy' as of November 2025, with an average price target of $74.12. This suggests that most professionals see a modest upside from the current price, but more importantly, they view the stock as a dependable way to compound returns through dividends and slow, steady growth. Short-term trading exists, of course, especially around earnings announcements-the stock can move 5-10% in a single day-but the core money is focused on the long-term defensive portfolio strategy. If you're building a portfolio for decades, not days, this is the kind of stock you look at for its reliable cash flow and global footprint. For a deeper dive into the company's long-term vision, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR).

Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)

You're looking at Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) and wondering who the big players are and what their conviction level is. This is the right question to ask. The short answer is that institutional money has a massive stake, owning roughly 90.64% of the company's stock, which is a clear sign of long-term stability and confidence in the franchise-heavy business model.

As of the 2025 fiscal year, the total value of these institutional holdings is substantial, sitting near $19,988 million, based on the total shares outstanding of approximately 328 million. This level of ownership means the stock's price movements and overall strategy are heavily influenced by the decisions of a few massive asset managers and pension funds. That's a lot of capital betting on Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs.

Top Institutional Investors and Their Conviction

When you look at the shareholder base, the list is a who's who of global asset management. These firms aren't day traders; they are long-term holders whose investment horizon spans years, not quarters. Their presence signals that QSR is viewed as a defensive, blue-chip stock with reliable cash flow, supported by a strong dividend yield of about 3.6%.

The largest institutional holders, who collectively command billions of dollars in QSR shares, include:

  • Capital World Investors: Holding a value of roughly $2.59 billion.
  • Royal Bank of Canada: With holdings valued at approximately $1.51 billion.
  • Vanguard Group Inc.: Holding around $1.00 billion.
  • EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.: With a stake near $955.86 million.

Here's a quick snapshot of the top-tier institutional holdings, which anchor the stock and provide a floor for its valuation:

Major Shareholder Approximate Holding Value (2025 FY) Role
Capital World Investors $2.59 Billion Long-term growth and value investor
Royal Bank of Canada $1.51 Billion Financial institution and asset manager
Vanguard Group Inc. $1.00 Billion Passive index and mutual fund provider
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. $955.86 Million Focused investment manager

Recent Ownership Shifts: The Smart Money's Moves

Institutional buying and selling (often tracked via 13F filings) gives us a clear signal on near-term sentiment. What we saw in the first half of 2025 was a mixed, but generally bullish, picture. Some smaller funds were initiating new positions or making aggressive increases, while others were trimming their exposure, which is typical for a large-cap stock.

To be fair, the overall trend suggests conviction in QSR's strategic turnaround, especially in its international segments. For example, Citigroup Inc. increased its holdings by over 50.8% as of November 2025 reporting, and Dana Investment Advisors Inc. boosted its position by 38.8%. On the flip side, some smaller managers like Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC reduced their stake by 38.0%, selling 7,538 shares. This tells me that while the consensus is a 'Hold' with an average analyst target of $74.76, the active managers are still finding compelling reasons to add shares.

The Impact of Institutional Backing on Strategy

The sheer size of institutional ownership means these firms are not just passive investors; they are strategic partners who influence corporate governance and capital allocation. When you see names like Vanguard and Capital World, it validates the company's focus on cash flow and shareholder returns.

Their investment is a direct endorsement of QSR's Q3 2025 results, which showed consolidated system-wide sales growth of 6.9% year-over-year. The real driver for them is the international segment, which saw a robust 12.1% boost in sales, proving the global expansion strategy is working. Management is on track for over 8% organic adjusted operating income (AOI) growth for the full 2025 fiscal year, and that is what matters to these big funds. They are buying into the operational efficiency and the growth runway provided by the global footprint. If you want to understand the long-term vision they are buying into, you should check out the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR).

Key Investors and Their Impact on Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)

If you're looking at Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), you need to know who's buying and why, because the big players aren't just passive shareholders-they drive strategy. Institutional investors own a massive chunk of the company, with total institutional ownership sitting at a high of 82.29% of the stock. This concentration means a few major funds have a real say in the direction of Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs.

As of November 2025, the total value of institutional holdings is approximately $19,988 million, reflecting a strong conviction in the company's long-term, franchise-based model. You're defintely seeing a flight to quality here, where investors favor businesses with stable, recurring royalty and fee revenue streams, especially in a volatile market.

The Activist Anchor: Bill Ackman's Pershing Square

The most influential individual investor you need to track is billionaire activist Bill Ackman, through his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management. He's not just a big holder; he's an activist investor, meaning he buys a stake to push for changes that he believes will unlock greater shareholder value.

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is a core position for Pershing Square, representing 10.6% of the fund's $15 billion stock portfolio. His thesis is simple: the company is a capital-light business (meaning it doesn't need to spend a lot on physical assets itself) with strong cash flow. Ackman's involvement provides a powerful backstop to management's strategic decisions, which is a major factor for other investors.

  • Ackman supports the Burger King U.S. 'Reclaim the Flame' plan.
  • The plan includes an investment of up to $700 million through 2028 for remodels, technology, and advertising.
  • He expects this investment to significantly boost Burger King U.S. sales and drive overall earnings.

Recent Institutional Moves and the 'Why'

Beyond the activist influence, a look at recent 13F filings (which disclose institutional holdings) shows a clear pattern of funds adding to their positions in 2025, signaling confidence in the company's execution. For example, the Teachers Retirement System of Kentucky recently added a new stake valued at approximately $5.78 million. This isn't just noise; it's a major public pension fund betting on predictable, long-term growth.

Plus, you have asset managers like GW&K Investment Management LLC, which lifted its stake by 14.3% in the first quarter of 2025. They now hold 610,713 shares worth about $40,698,000. This kind of consistent buying from established managers, including Blackrock, Inc. (listed as a major institution), suggests they see the stock as undervalued compared to its earnings potential.

Here's a quick snapshot of the recent institutional activity and the underlying performance driving it:

Investor Recent Move (2025) Value/Shares Signal
Pershing Square Capital Management Maintained Core Position (10.6% of portfolio) Not specified (Top 5 holding) Strong conviction in long-term strategy and activist support.
GW&K Investment Management LLC Increased stake by 14.3% (Q1 2025) 610,713 shares (~$40.7 million) Confidence in current valuation and growth trajectory.
Teachers Retirement System of Kentucky Added New Stake (Q2 2025) ~$5.78 million Betting on predictable, stable cash flows and dividends.
Vise Technologies Inc. Purchased New Stake (Q2 2025) 3,999 shares (~$265,000) New interest from smaller, potentially tech-focused funds.

Mapping Near-Term Opportunities to Financials

The investor consensus is grounded in the company's recent financial momentum. The third quarter of 2025 saw consolidated system-wide sales grow by a solid 6.9% year-over-year, reaching $12,282 million for the quarter. The company is on track to deliver at least 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) growth for the full year 2025, which is what the big investors care about most. That's a clear action signal: management is hitting its targets.

The dividend yield of 3.6% with a quarterly payout of $0.62 is also a major draw for long-term institutions like pension funds. It's a classic value proposition: a stable, growing business that returns capital to shareholders while executing a turnaround plan at its largest brand. For more context on how this model developed, you can check out Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money. The bottom line is that the current investor profile is a mix of activist pressure and institutional confidence, both pushing for disciplined, profitable growth.

Market Impact and Investor Sentiment

If you're looking at Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), the first thing you need to know is that institutional money is firmly behind it, but the overall sentiment is a cautious 'Hold' with a strong 'Buy' tilt. This isn't a screaming growth stock right now, but a defensive value play. Institutional investors-the big funds like Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co. and others-own a massive 86.19% of the common stock, representing a market value of roughly $19.56 billion as of the latest 2025 data.

That high institutional ownership tells you the smart money views Restaurant Brands International Inc. as a quality, long-term asset, even if it's not flashy. It's a stable dividend payer, offering a forward yield of about 3.6%, which makes it attractive in a volatile market. This is a low-beta stock, meaning it moves less dramatically than the overall market, and that's defintely what big funds look for when they want a defensive position.

Recent Major Investor Activity

We've seen a clear pattern of accumulation from smaller-to-mid-sized funds in the first half of the 2025 fiscal year, suggesting confidence in the management's turnaround plans, particularly at Burger King. For instance, Cerity Partners LLC increased its holdings by a substantial 72.5% in Q1 2025, adding over 10,500 shares. Also, the Teachers Retirement System of The State of Kentucky purchased a new stake valued at $5.778 million in Q1 2025. These aren't minor adjustments; they're conviction buys. Here's the quick math on a few notable Q1 2025 stake increases:

  • Cerity Partners LLC: Increased stake by 72.5%.
  • Larson Financial Group LLC: Grew stake by 438.6%.
  • GW&K Investment Management LLC: Lifted stake by 14.3%.

The 3G Capital Ownership Shift and Market Reaction

The most significant ownership event in late 2025 was the continued unwinding of a major historical position. 3G Capital Partners Ltd., a long-time anchor investor, announced on November 13, 2025, that its affiliate, HL1 17 LP, was commencing a secondary offering of up to 17,626,570 common shares. This is a technical move, converting Class B exchangeable limited partnership units into common shares for sale. It's a planned exit for a private equity firm, not a panic sale.

When a large block of shares hits the market, it can create near-term price pressure. However, the market's reaction to this type of planned offering is often muted or short-lived because it's a known quantity. The bigger market reactions in 2025 came from earnings reports. For example, the stock dropped nearly 6% in pre-market trading following the Q2 2025 earnings miss on adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) in August 2025, even though revenue beat expectations. But, on the flip side, the stock finished up around 2% on a turbulent day in mid-November 2025 following the strong Q3 2025 results, which showed consolidated system-wide sales growth of 6.9% year-over-year. The market is focused on performance, not just ownership mechanics.

Analyst Perspectives: Risks and Opportunities

Wall Street analysts generally hold a nuanced view, which is why the consensus is a split between 'Hold' and 'Buy.' Out of 23 analysts, the consensus is a 'Hold,' but nine analysts still rate it a 'Buy.' The average 12-month price target is approximately $74.76, suggesting an upside of around 10.25% from the stock's price in November 2025. The high-end target is a bullish $90.00.

Analysts are optimistic because the company is on track to deliver its target of at least 8% organic Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) growth for the full 2025 fiscal year. This growth is largely driven by the strong performance of the Tim Hortons brand and the International segment, which saw system-wide sales growth of 12% outside North America. You can read more about the foundation of this growth in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR).

Still, there are clear risks. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.2x is higher than the US Hospitality industry average of 21.1x, suggesting the stock is not cheap and leaves less margin for error if growth slows. Also, the net leverage ratio was reported at 4.4x as of Q3 2025, which is high, though management is prioritizing deleveraging. The key takeaway is that the opportunity lies in the international expansion and the stabilization of the Burger King brand, but you must be mindful of the valuation premium and the debt load.

Metric (2025 Fiscal Data) Value Analyst Consensus
Institutional Ownership 86.19% of shares outstanding High conviction for long-term hold.
Average 12-Month Price Target $74.76 (from 23 analysts) Implied upside of ~10.25%.
Organic AOI Growth Forecast (FY 2025) 8%+ Confidence in management's strategic plans.
Net Leverage Ratio (Q3 2025) 4.4x A key risk to monitor.

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