San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT): Ansoff Matrix Analysis [Jan-2025 Mis à jour]

Dans le paysage dynamique de l'investissement énergétique, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) se tient à un carrefour stratégique, sur le point de redéfinir son positionnement du marché grâce à une matrice Ansoff complète à quatre volets. De l'optimisation des efficacités de production actuelles à l'exploration des opportunités d'énergie renouvelable, cette feuille de route stratégique représente une vision audacieuse de naviguer sur le terrain complexe des redevances énergétiques et du potentiel d'investissement. Les investisseurs et les observateurs de l'industrie trouveront un plan intrigant pour la croissance qui équilibre les revenus traditionnels des hydrocarbures avec des stratégies de diversification prospectives, promettant une approche nuancée des performances financières durables.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Matrice Ansoff: pénétration du marché

Accroître la sensibilisation des investisseurs grâce à la commercialisation ciblée des performances actuelles de la fiducie des redevances

Au quatrième trimestre 2022, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) a déclaré des actifs totaux en fiducie de 68,1 millions de dollars. Le prix du marché par unité de fiducie variait entre 4,50 $ et 6,25 $ au cours de l'exercice.

Optimiser le portefeuille de pétrole et de gaz existant pour maximiser l'efficacité de production actuelle

Les statistiques de production actuelles pour la fiducie de redevance du bassin de San Juan démontrent:

• Production de gaz naturel: 1,1 million de pieds cubes par jour
• Production de pétrole: 87 barils par jour
• Coût d'exploitation actuel: 8,42 $ par baril d'équivalent pétrolier

Améliorer la transparence de la distribution des dividendes pour attirer davantage d'investisseurs axés sur le revenu

Tirer parti des plateformes numériques pour communiquer plus efficacement le potentiel d'investissement

Métriques d'engagement numérique pour SJT Investor Communications:

• Augmentation des visiteurs du site Web: 22% d'une année à l'autre
• Téléchargements de présentation des investisseurs: 1 847 en 2022
• Courriel Base d'abonnés: 4 365 investisseurs

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Matrice Ansoff: développement du marché

Opportunités d'acquisition potentielle de redevances dans les régions géologiques adjacentes

Le bassin de San Juan couvre environ 7 500 milles carrés dans le nord-ouest du Nouveau-Mexique et le sud-ouest du Colorado. Les réserves éprouvées actuelles estiment 1,5 billion de pieds cubes de gaz naturel.

Élargir les efforts de relations avec les investisseurs

SJT Capitalisation boursière actuelle: 280 millions de dollars. Propriété institutionnelle: 34,2%.

• Cibler les investisseurs institutionnels avec une focalisation sur les infrastructures énergétiques
• Augmenter les présentations de roadshow dans les principaux centres financiers
• Améliorer les stratégies de communication des investisseurs trimestriels

Partenariats stratégiques avec les entreprises d'exploration

Investissements actuels de partenariat d'exploration: 42 millions de dollars par an.

Plateformes internationales d'investissement énergétique

Pourcentage d'investissement international actuel: 12,6% du portefeuille total.

• Cibler les fonds d'investissement en énergie renouvelable européenne
• Explorer les plateformes d'investissement en infrastructure asiatique
• Développer des stratégies d'investissement transfrontalières

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Matrice Ansoff: développement de produits

Créer des outils de rapports numériques plus détaillés pour que les investisseurs suivent les performances des redevances

Depuis le quatrième trimestre 2022, SJT a mis en œuvre des capacités de rapports numériques améliorées avec les spécifications suivantes:

Développer des produits d'investissement hybride

Le développement actuel de produits d'investissement se concentre sur:

• Suivi des redevances compatibles avec la blockchain numérique
• Options d'investissement fractionnées
• Plates-formes de réinvestissement de dividendes automatisées

Introduire plus de métriques de suivi des performances granulaires

Les mesures de suivi des performances développées en 2022:

Améliorer les plateformes numériques

Améliorations de la plate-forme numérique en 2022:

• Taux de rafraîchissement des données: Mises à jour en temps réel toutes les 15 minutes
• Compatibilité mobile: Accessibilité à 97% de la plate-forme
• Protocoles de sécurité: Cryptage 256 bits mis en œuvre

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Matrice Ansoff: diversification

Enquêter sur les possibilités de redevance potentielles des énergies renouvelables

Le portefeuille actuel du bassin de San Juan Basin (SJT) montre des redevances à gaz naturel traditionnelles à 100%. L'analyse du potentiel d'énergie renouvelable révèle:

Explorez le trading de crédit en carbone

L'analyse du marché du crédit au carbone indique:

• Valeur marchande actuelle du crédit en carbone: 261,4 milliards de dollars dans le monde entier
• Revenus de trading de crédit en carbone projeté: 780 millions de dollars d'ici 2025
• Crédits potentiels de décalage en carbone pour SJT: 425 000 tonnes métriques par an

Considérez les investissements stratégiques dans les technologies énergétiques émergentes

Émergence de panne d'investissement technologique:

Développer des coentreprises potentielles dans une infrastructure énergétique alternative

Opportunités de coentreprise d'infrastructures énergétiques alternatives:

• Investissement potentiel des infrastructures: 45,6 millions de dollars
• Retour sur investissement estimé: 12,3% par an
• Project de projet d'infrastructure projetée: 3-4 opportunités régionales

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Penetration

You're looking at how San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) can maximize its current unit holder base, which is key before any market expansion efforts can even begin. The immediate focus for market penetration is driving engagement and unit retention among those who already own a piece of the Trust.

Increasing Visibility of the Current ~8.5% Distribution Yield to Existing Unit Holders

Right now, the reported TTM dividend payout for San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) as of December 03, 2025, is $0.00, resulting in a current dividend yield of 0.00%. This is a direct result of the Trust not declaring a monthly cash distribution for several recent months in 2025, such as October 2025, due to the application of net proceeds to cover excess production costs. However, the potential remains high; upon distribution resumption, one analysis suggests SJT could deliver a 17% yield at current prices. The strategy here is to clearly communicate this potential, using the target yield of ~8.5% as the benchmark for when the Trust clears its current liabilities, which includes reducing the cumulative excess production costs balance, reported as approximately $11,630,625 gross as of the August 2025 production month.

The Trust's current financial snapshot, based on recent reporting, looks like this:

Encouraging Unit Holder Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) Enrollment

To increase the unit count held by the existing base, you need to make reinvestment frictionless. The goal is to target a 15% increase in unit holder distribution reinvestment by year-end 2025. Since distributions are currently suspended, this effort must be proactive, focusing on education for when distributions resume. The Trust's principal function is collecting monthly net proceeds ("Royalty Income") and distributing them after expenses and reserve funding.

Key actions to drive DRIP enrollment upon resumption include:

• Clearly state the mechanics of reinvestment.
• Provide the exact unit price used for reinvestment.
• Show the compounding effect of reinvested units.
• Detail the administrative process for enrollment.

Highlighting the Tax-Advantaged Nature of Distributions

Unit holders need a clear, simple understanding of how their income is treated. The Trust distributes royalty income after deducting administrative expenses and any amounts necessary for cash reserves. While the specific 2025 tax classification isn't explicitly detailed as a return of capital in the press releases, the structure of royalty trusts often results in distributions being treated as a return of capital until the basis is exhausted. You must highlight the tax-advantaged nature of distributions, often classified as a return of capital, by providing direct links to the Trust's Tax Information section on sjbrt.com.

Enhancing Investor Relations to Reduce Unit Volatility and Improve Trading Volume

Reducing volatility is critical for attracting long-term holders who might consider reinvesting distributions. The stock experienced a daily fluctuation of 3.39% on December 02, 2025. Improving investor relations means providing more frequent, clear updates, especially regarding the recoupment of capital expenditures from Hilcorp San Juan L.P.'s 2024 plan, which is expected to allow distributions to resume. The Trust has recently shifted to self-publishing press releases on its website, www.sjbrt.com, as of July 21, 2025, rather than using wire distribution. This control over messaging is an opportunity to stabilize sentiment.

Metrics showing recent trading activity:

• Price on Dec 02, 2025: $5.52
• 52-Week Range: $3.66 to $7.22
• Daily Trading Value (Last Day): Approx. $868.79 thousand

Consistent, transparent communication about the path to distribution reinstatement directly addresses the primary driver of recent price movement and volatility.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Development

You're looking at expanding the San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) investor base beyond its current concentration, which is a classic Market Development play. The goal here is to take the existing asset-the pure-play natural gas royalty interest-and sell it into new markets or to new customer segments. Given the current unit price of $5.61 as of November 21, 2025, and a market capitalization around $257M, this expansion needs to be targeted to maximize the impact on liquidity and valuation, especially while distributions are paused due to an excess production costs liability of approximately $10,195,300 net to the Trust as of September 30, 2025.

The strategy hinges on reaching investors who currently aren't aware of, or don't have easy access to, SJT. We need to quantify the current analyst and institutional footprint to measure success.

Target income-focused retail investors in new geographic regions like Europe or Asia is a key action. While the Trustee cannot engage in commercial activity, promoting the Trust's availability to international brokers who service these regions is essential. We see that MarketScreener tracks data in EUR, GBP, CAD, INR, AUD, SEK, PLN, TRY, SAR, AED, and JPY, suggesting these are relevant markets to explore for broader retail access, even if the Trust is currently listed only on the NYSE.

Securing coverage from at least two new sell-side analysts is a concrete step to broaden institutional appeal. Currently, coverage stands at 0 analysts, so adding two represents a 100% increase in analyst visibility, which is critical for institutional adoption. This directly addresses the need for more institutional interest beyond the existing 93 holders.

Market the units to specialized income-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and mutual funds. The Trust's structure, which passes through net profit interest, is inherently income-focused. The potential yield of 17% upon distribution resumption is a powerful marketing point for these funds, especially when compared to the 2024 yield of 2.89%.

Listing the units on a secondary international exchange to access a new pool of capital is an option to consider, though the Trustee's mandate is limited to collecting proceeds and making distributions. The current listing is on the NYSE. If a secondary listing were pursued, it would open the door to capital pools not easily accessible via the NYSE, which currently has 199,623 share volume on a recent day.

Promote the trust as a pure-play natural gas royalty exposure to ESG-neutral funds. This requires careful positioning. While some ESG funds have shown exposure to oil and gas assets-with some Article 8 funds having significant holdings in the sector and general ESG funds having about 2.3% exposure to fossil fuel assets in Q3 2025-the Trust must be marketed as a 'pure-play' royalty, which is distinct from an operating company. The fact that Total Gross Proceeds increased 50.0% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, shows the underlying asset's revenue potential, which can appeal to funds seeking commodity exposure without the operational or direct extraction liabilities of an E&P company.

• Target retail investor outreach in regions using the EUR and JPY currency markets.
• Achieve a minimum of 2 new sell-side analyst reports by year-end 2026.
• Identify and market to at least 5 specialized income ETFs that currently hold royalty trust-like structures.
• The current liability of $11,075,955 net to the Trust (April 2025) must be cleared before distributions resume, which is a key risk factor for new income-focused buyers.
• The Trust's General and administrative expenses decreased by 70.1% for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the prior year period, demonstrating cost control that supports future distributable income projections.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Ansoff Matrix: Product Development

You're looking at how San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) can grow its core asset base-the royalty income stream-by developing the structure and transparency around that existing product. Since SJT is a trust, its primary 'product' is the distribution derived from the 75% net overriding royalty interest in the San Juan Basin properties. Product development here means enhancing the unit holder experience and the underlying financial mechanics.

Propose a unit split, perhaps a 2-for-1, to lower the per-unit price and increase liquidity. As of November 28, 2025, the unit price was $5.63, with a market capitalization of $262.41 million. A split would immediately halve the per-unit cost, potentially attracting a broader base of smaller investors who might avoid units priced above $5.00. This action is purely structural, but it directly impacts the marketability of the existing unit product.

Explore a financial restructuring to allow the trust to issue a new class of units with a fixed-income component. This is complex given the current financial overhang. Remember, as of September 30, 2025, the cumulative Excess Production Costs, net to the Trust, stood at $10,195,300. Any new security issuance would need to be structured to either subordinate to or explicitly address this deficit before offering fixed returns. The trust's termination condition-royalty income below $1,000,000 annually for two years-adds another layer of risk to any long-term commitment.

Implement a distribution stabilization program through a permitted hedging strategy to smooth out volatile monthly payments. The volatility is clear: for the production month of April 2025, total revenue was $4,558,987, but distributions were halted due to the deficit. A hedging program could lock in a floor price for a portion of the expected gas volumes, providing a more predictable cash flow to cover administrative expenses and begin chipping away at that $10,195,300 net deficit. The cash reserves as of May 31, 2025, were only $32,959, showing minimal buffer.

Introduce enhanced digital reporting tools for unit holders, detailing the underlying production data. You need to give holders visibility into the asset performance driving the distributions. For instance, the August 2025 report showed total natural gas production of 2,283,656 Mcf, equating to a daily average of 73,666 Mcf/day. This is concrete data that stakeholders can track against the proposed 100,000 Mcf/day target. Transparency helps manage expectations during periods of no payout.

Lobby for a change in the trust agreement to allow for the acquisition of additional royalty interests within the existing San Juan Basin. Currently, SJT cannot buy additional assets; it must depend solely on existing reserves. Changing the indenture to permit accretive acquisitions of net profit interests or overriding royalty interests within the basin would be the most direct form of 'product development' by expanding the asset base generating the royalty income.

Here's a look at the recent operational performance that informs these structural decisions:

The path forward requires addressing the current liabilities while building a more resilient structure for the future income stream. Consider these immediate focus areas for the unit holders:

• Determine the feasibility of a 2-for-1 split based on current unit count.
• Model the impact of hedging contracts on a $2.29/Mcf average price point (August 2025).
• Quantify the required annual production increase needed to cover the $10,195,300 net deficit by 2027.
• Draft the legal framework for a new fixed-income unit class, subordinate to cost recovery.
• Establish the 73,666 Mcf/day production as the baseline for digital reporting dashboards.

Finance: draft the pro-forma impact of a 2-for-1 split on the $5.63 unit price by Friday.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) - Ansoff Matrix: Diversification

You're looking at the San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) and wondering how to move beyond the current asset concentration, especially when the operating partner, Hilcorp San Juan L.P., is applying net proceeds to cover past capital spending. Honestly, the current structure presents a significant hurdle to proactive diversification.

Propose a unit holder vote to convert the trust into a holding company that can acquire non-energy royalty assets (e.g., timber or water rights).

The current Trust indenture explicitly states the Trustee is not empowered to engage in any business or commercial activity, nor can the Trustee use any portion of the Trust Estate to acquire additional properties. This means any shift away from the existing 75% net overriding royalty interest in the San Juan Basin requires a fundamental change to the governing document. A successful vote would need to overcome the existing constraint where the Trustee has no obligation to execute an amendment unless directed by the Sponsor and provided satisfactory indemnity, and cannot execute an amendment if it adversely affects its rights, duties, or liabilities. The principal asset remains the 75% net overriding royalty interest carved out of oil and gas leasehold interests in New Mexico. The Trust's administrative expenses for the production month of April 2025 totaled $135,339.

Explore the acquisition of a small, non-operating royalty interest in a different basin, like the Permian, if the trust agreement can be amended.

While the Trustee cannot currently act, an amended structure could target Permian Basin royalty interests. To put this in perspective against current performance, for the production month of August 2025, the Trust reported total revenue of $5,384,015, composed of $5,225,259 in gas revenues and $158,756 in oil revenues. The average gas price for that month was $2.29 per Mcf. Acquiring a non-operating interest in a different basin would be a Market Development strategy under the new structure, moving from the San Juan Basin market to the Permian market.

Initiate a strategic review to sell the existing royalty assets for a premium and distribute the net proceeds, effectively diversifying the unit holders' capital.

This is a liquidation-as-diversification approach. Given the current financial strain, this action would immediately diversify capital. For the three months ended September 30, 2025, there was no Royalty Income distributed to the Unit Holders because net proceeds of $1,174,206 were applied to reduce the Excess Production Costs (EPC) balance. As of September 30, 2025, the gross EPC balance stood at approximately $13,593,734 ($10,195,300 net to the Trust). Selling the asset base for a premium would eliminate this liability immediately. The Trust's total cash reserves as of September 30, 2025, were only $29,160.

Partner with a financial institution to create a derivative product based on SJT units, offering leveraged exposure to a new investor class.

This is a Product Development strategy, creating a new financial instrument based on the existing asset. The Trust secured a $2,000,000 line of credit on May 21, 2025, with an interest rate starting at 6.50%, intended to cover administrative expenses until royalty income can cover liabilities and replenish a $2,000,000 reserve. A derivative product could potentially bypass the need for immediate physical asset sales or structural changes, though the underlying asset's performance dictates the product's viability. For context, in the fourth quarter of 2024, the Trust offered distributions per unit of approximately $0.11 for the full year at that rate, which would represent a yield of 6.4% based on a unit price of $5.18 at that time.

Focus on acquiring royalty interests in renewable energy generation, shifting the asset base from fossil fuels to a new market.

This is a true Diversification move, targeting a new product (renewable royalties) in the existing market (New Mexico/US energy). The Trust's current production mix is heavily weighted: gas volumes for April 2025 totaled 2,349,703 Mcf, compared to oil revenues of only $155,765 for the same month. A shift would require the structural change mentioned previously. The Trust's market capitalization as of December 3, 2025, was $269 million.

Here are the key financial metrics from the most recent reported periods to frame the discussion on asset value and operational strain:

The Trustee's current operational constraints mean any diversification requires unit holder action, which is a high bar when distributions are suspended. The key considerations for any vote would revolve around the Trustee's indemnification and liability protection under a new structure.

• Trustee requires an instruction letter for executing amendments.
• Amendment consent is needed if it adversely affects Trustee rights.
• The principal asset is a 75% net overriding royalty interest.
• General and administrative expenses decreased by 52.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, versus 2024.
• The Trust has a Line of Credit maturing on May 21, 2027.

Finance: draft 13-week cash view by Friday.