Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM): ANSOFF MATRIX [Dec-2025 Updated]

You're looking for clear, actionable growth paths for Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM), and honestly, just optimizing current mature fields isn't enough for the next five years. Having spent years analyzing energy balance sheets, I've mapped out exactly where EPM can deploy capital next: the Ansoff Matrix shows a clear progression from boosting production via Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) in existing assets to the more ambitious, yet logical, steps of acquiring acreage in new US basins or even leveraging their CO2 expertise to enter the Carbon Capture and Sequestration market. This isn't abstract theory; it's a direct roadmap showing you the near-term operational wins versus the long-term structural shifts you need to watch for below.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Penetration

You're looking at how Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) maximizes output and efficiency from the assets it already owns, which is the core of Market Penetration.

The focus here is extracting more value from current fields, like the CO2-EOR project in the Delhi Field. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, total production settled at essentially flat 7,198 net BOEPD, down from 7,209 net BOEPD in the year-ago period, with the change driven partly by downtime in the Delhi Field. The production mix for that quarter included approximately 2,319 barrels per day of crude oil, 3,747 BOEPD of natural gas, and 1,132 BOEPD of NGLs. By the first quarter of fiscal 2026, production recovered to 7,315 average barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Optimizing operating costs directly impacts the netback per barrel. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Lease Operating Costs (LOE) were $11.4 million, which translated to $17.35 per BOE, a slight improvement from $17.39 per BOE in the prior year period. The average realized commodity price, excluding derivatives, for that same quarter was $32.23 per BOE.

Accessing bypassed oil through infill drilling and workovers is key to boosting existing asset performance. The company noted contributions from recently turned-in-line Chaveroo wells offsetting declines in Q4 FY2025. Evolution Petroleum Corporation incurred $1.9 million in capital expenditures related to drilling and completion activities at SCOOP/STACK and the lift conversion program at Chaveroo in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.

Increasing working interest with existing partners is a direct play in this quadrant. Evolution Petroleum Corporation's interests in the Delhi Field, a CO2-EOR project, consist of approximately 24% average net working interest, with an associated 19% revenue interest, yielding a total average net revenue interest of approximately 26%. The Delhi Field encompasses approximately 14,000 gross unitized acres, or approximately 3,200 net acres.

Capital expenditure focus is directed toward high-return existing projects. The company maintained its quarterly cash dividend at $0.12 per common share for the fiscal 2026 first quarter, having returned $16.3 million to shareholders in fiscal 2025. The balance sheet was strengthened by amending the credit facility to establish an initial $65 million borrowing base under a $200 million revolver maturing June 30, 2028.

• Delhi Field Net Revenue Interest: Approximately 26%
• FY2025 Total Production Average: 7,074 BOEPD (up 4% from FY2024)
• Q4 FY2025 Oil Revenue Share: 61% of revenue
• Q4 FY2025 Natural Gas Revenue Share: 27% of revenue
• Q4 FY2025 NGL Revenue Share: 12% of revenue
• FY2025 Total Shareholder Returns (Dividends): $16.3 million

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) - Ansoff Matrix: Market Development

Target property acquisitions in new, proven US basins, like the Permian or Bakken.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) has demonstrated activity in proven US basins, evidenced by its acreage in the Williston Basin, totaling approximately 41,300 Net Acres as of January 2022, and its presence in the SCOOP/STACK area, where it acquired approximately 4,200 Net Acres in February 2024 and an additional 5,500 Net Royalty Acres in August 2025. The company's recent capital deployment for drilling and completion activities at SCOOP/STACK was $1.9 million during fiscal Q1 2026. The company's total revenues for fiscal Q1 2026 were $21.288 million, with Adjusted EBITDA at $7.301 million.

Expand the acquisition strategy to include mature fields in adjacent states with similar geology.

The acquisition of non-operated oil and natural gas assets in New Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana (TexMex) closed in April 2025 for a total purchase price of $9.0 million. These acquired assets added approximately 440 net BOEPD of stable, low-decline production. The valuation for this transaction was approximately 3.4x estimated next 12 months (NTM) Adjusted EBITDA. This acquisition is part of a proven strategy, marking the 7th such transaction in the last 6 years. The company aims to build and maintain a diversified portfolio of long-life assets through such acquisitions.

Evaluate international opportunities for EOR application in stable regulatory environments.

While Evolution Petroleum Corporation focuses on U.S. onshore properties, its business model emphasizes maximizing returns through accretive acquisitions and production enhancements. The company's fiscal Q1 2026 production included 7,315 average BOEPD. The company returned $4.2 million to shareholders in cash dividends during that quarter, indicating a focus on near-term shareholder returns from existing domestic assets while evaluating growth avenues. The company's non-operated business model allows for geographic diversification without requiring large field operations staff.

Form strategic joint ventures with larger operators to co-develop properties in new regions.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation utilizes a non-operated business model, meaning it partners with larger operators who conduct field work and development. This structure inherently involves co-development with operators concentrated in each asset area. The company's strategy includes participation in low-risk development drilling. The company's total liquidity on September 30, 2025, was $11.9 million, comprising cash and cash equivalents of $0.7 million and availability under its credit facility of $11.2 million, providing a base for opportunistic participation.

Acquire properties with a higher natural gas component to balance the current oil focus.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation is actively balancing its commodity mix. In fiscal Q1 2026, total production included approximately 2,250 BOPD of crude oil and 3,891 BOEPD of natural gas. Natural gas revenue increased by 38% to $5.9 million in fiscal Q1 2026 compared to the year-ago period. The TexMex acquisition added production consisting of 60 percent oil and 40 percent natural gas. This contrasts with the prior year-ago period when oil and natural gas liquids generated 80% of revenue, showing a shift as oil and NGLs generated only 72% of revenue in Q1 FY2026.

Here's a quick look at recent operational and financial metrics:

The company's strategy involves disciplined growth through acquisitions that are immediately accretive to cash flow per share. For instance, the SCOOP/STACK Minerals Acquisition provided ownership in over 650 future drilling locations requiring no additional capital expenditure from EPM.

You should review the latest dividend declaration, which was $0.12 per common share, payable on December 31, 2025. Finance: draft 13-week cash view by Friday.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) - Ansoff Matrix: Product Development

Pilot next-generation Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) technologies, such as microbial EOR or advanced polymer flooding.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation has an existing EOR project at the Delhi Field in northeast Louisiana, where CO2 injections resumed during fiscal Q2 2025. The Delhi field had an average gross daily oil production of 4,281 BOPD and 977 bbls NGLs per day (totaling 5,258 BOEPD) for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2021. Higher operating costs due to CO2 purchases at Delhi Field were noted in the fiscal third quarter of 2025, which ended March 31, 2025. The company incurred higher workover expenses at Hamilton Dome and Chaveroo, alongside plant maintenance costs at Delhi, in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025. The company is focused on production enhancements as part of its long-term goal.

Invest in proprietary data analytics to better model reservoir performance and recovery potential.

While specific investment amounts in proprietary data analytics are not detailed, the focus on production enhancement and development upside suggests an underlying reliance on improved modeling. The company's proved reserves as of June 30, 2025, were estimated at 27.1 MMBOE. The company uses PV-10 when assessing the potential return on investment related to oil and natural gas properties.

Develop a standardized, scalable process for converting marginal oil wells to water disposal wells.

Evolution Petroleum incurred $1.9 million in capital expenditures in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended September 30, 2025) related to drilling and completion activities and the previously mentioned lift conversion program at Chaveroo. This lift conversion program is a concrete action in developing processes for production optimization or asset conversion.

Introduce a focus on extracting higher-value natural gas liquids (NGLs) from current gas streams.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation has reported consistent NGL production and revenue contribution, indicating an existing focus that can be expanded. The company experienced downtime due to a turbine replacement at the Delhi NGL plant in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. The focus on NGLs is evident in the financial reporting structure.

Here's a quick look at the NGL contribution in recent periods:

Total oil and natural gas liquids production generated 73% of revenue in Q4 fiscal 2025, compared to 83% in the year-ago period, showing a relative shift in the revenue mix.

Transition from CO2 EOR to a more sustainable, lower-carbon recovery method over time.

The resumption of CO2 injections at Delhi Field in fiscal Q2 2025 represents the current operational method. The company's strategy involves opportunistic acquisition of cash-generating, low-decline assets, which may include assets with lower inherent carbon intensity or those requiring less intensive EOR methods over time. The company returned $16.3 million to shareholders in cash dividends for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, prioritizing shareholder returns alongside operational execution.

Finance: draft 13-week cash view by Friday.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) - Ansoff Matrix: Diversification

You're looking at how Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) might move beyond its core non-operated oil and gas holdings, which is the definition of diversification in the Ansoff Matrix. This means entering new markets or developing new products outside the current scope, which is a higher-risk, higher-reward path than simply selling more of what you already have.

The company already benefits from a diversified commodity exposure, which helped mitigate market volatility in fiscal Q3 2025. Natural gas revenue rose 33% year-over-year to $7.8 million in Q3 2025, and NGL revenue was up 14% to $3 million, partially offsetting a 19% decline in oil revenue for that quarter. For the full fiscal year 2025, total production averaged 7,074 BOEPD, a 4% increase from fiscal 2024, with natural gas revenue at $23.5 million (up 9%) and NGL revenue at $11.2 million (up 3%).

Here's a quick look at the financial context around the end of fiscal 2025:

Enter the Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) market, leveraging $\text{CO}_2$ expertise and infrastructure.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation already utilizes tertiary recovery, also known as enhanced oil recovery (EOR), by pumping $\text{CO}_2$ into the producing reservoir at its Delhi Field interests in Louisiana. This existing investment in $\text{CO}_2$ injection for EOR provides a foundation of subsurface knowledge and operational experience relevant to $\text{CO}_2$ sequestration. The $\text{CO}_2$ EOR industry has a proven track record of safely storing $\text{CO}_2$ permanently, assuming proper well plugging. The capital-intensive nature of $\text{CO}_2$ EOR projects involves installing $\text{CO}_2$ recycle plants and transportation pipelines, which could form the basic infrastructure for broader CCS projects in other fields or saline formations.

Acquire or develop small-scale renewable energy projects (e.g., solar) to power field operations.

While specific renewable energy investments weren't detailed, the company's production mix shows significant non-oil components. In Q3 2025, oil accounted for 52% of revenue, while natural gas was 35% and NGLs were 13%. Reducing reliance on fossil fuels for field power, such as through solar, could stabilize operating costs, which were $11.4 million in Q4 2025, or $17.35 per BOE.

Establish a midstream services division focused on transporting $\text{CO}_2$ for third-party EOR projects.

Leveraging the existing $\text{CO}_2$ transportation infrastructure developed for the Delhi Field EOR operations, EPM could offer third-party transport services. The cost of $\text{CO}_2$ purchase and injection is generally the single largest project cost in a $\text{CO}_2$ EOR project, making optimized transportation a key economic factor. This move transitions a necessary operational cost component into a potential revenue stream.

Acquire non-operated royalty interests in high-growth unconventional plays for passive income.

EPM has already executed this strategy in fiscal 2025. In August 2025, EPM closed its largest minerals-only acquisition to date in the SCOOP/STACK for approximately $17 million, effective May 1, 2025. This acquisition added approximately 5,500 net royalty acres and approximately 420 net BOE per day at the effective date. This is in addition to the $9.0 million TexMex acquisition of non-operated assets, which added about 440 net BOEPD. The company maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.12 per share throughout this period of acquisition activity.

The diversification into royalty interests provides passive income streams, which supported the $16.3 million returned to shareholders as dividends in fiscal 2025.

Invest in geothermal energy exploration, utilizing existing subsurface knowledge and drilling expertise.

EPM possesses experience across primary, secondary (waterflood), and tertiary ($\text{CO}_2$ flood) recovery methods, indicating deep subsurface knowledge. Geothermal exploration requires similar subsurface analysis and drilling expertise, offering a path to energy production with lower commodity price volatility compared to oil and gas. The company's current credit facility has a borrowing base of $65.0 million, with $27.5 million in availability as of June 30, 2025, providing a capital base for such exploration.

Key operational metrics that inform capital deployment:

• Fiscal 2025 Total Production: 7,074 BOEPD.
• Q3 2025 Production: 6,667 BOEPD.
• Q3 2025 Lease Operating Costs (LOE): $17.35 per BOE.
• Total Dividends Paid to Date: Approximately $130.7 million.

Finance: review capital allocation plan for Q1 2026 against the $\$27.5$ million credit availability by end of next week.