The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) Bundle
You see The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) trading near its 52-week low, and you have to wonder who is still holding the bag-or, more accurately, who is adding to their position in this choppy market. Honestly, the institutional profile is defintely a mixed signal right now, with major players like BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. holding significant stakes, at 11.73% and 9.77% respectively, but the last quarter saw institutions sell 106.5 million shares while buying 75.7 million shares, showing a clear split on conviction. Are the buyers betting on the 'Goodyear Forward' plan, which targets a massive $1.3 billion in run-rate benefits and a 10% operating margin by the end of 2025? Or are the sellers running from the Q3 2025 net loss of $2.2 billion, driven by a huge non-cash deferred tax valuation allowance, and the persistent challenge of managing a net debt that climbed to $7.1 billion earlier this year? The core question for any investor is whether the shift to high-margin, premium tires and the cost cuts can outrun the macro headwinds like low-cost imports and soft consumer replacement volumes.
Who Invests in The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) and Why?
The investor base for The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) is overwhelmingly institutional, but the motivations for holding the stock are sharply divided between passive index tracking and aggressive value-and-turnaround plays.
As of late 2025, institutional investors-the mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers-control roughly 92.72% of the company's outstanding shares. Retail investors, the individual traders and long-term holders, account for a smaller but still significant 5.72% of the ownership structure. The remaining 1.56% is held by insiders, which is a low figure for a company undergoing a major restructuring. This high institutional concentration means big money moves the stock, so you need to watch their filings (13Fs) closely.
Key Investor Types and Their Holdings
The institutional landscape is dominated by two distinct groups: the passive behemoths and the active managers, including hedge funds. The passive investors are simply tracking major indices, while the active players are betting on a successful turnaround.
- Passive Index Funds: These are the largest holders, led by firms like BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc. BlackRock, Inc. holds the top spot with a 11.73% stake, representing 33,569,859 shares valued at approximately $263.859 million as of September 29, 2025. The Vanguard Group, Inc. is close behind with 9.77% ownership. Their investment strategy is not a vote of confidence in management; it's simply a mandate to own the entire market.
- Active Asset Managers: Firms like Wellington Management Group LLP and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP are making a conscious decision to hold GT, often as a deep value or small-cap play. They see the potential for a rebound that a passive fund can't actively chase.
- Hedge Funds/Event-Driven Investors: These funds are the most volatile and interesting. For example, Appaloosa LP significantly boosted its position in Q3 2025, acquiring an additional 4,278,218 shares to reach a total holding of 5,140,000 shares. This signals a strong belief in a near-term catalyst or a major corporate action. Conversely, Greenvale Capital LLP fully exited its position of over 10.3 million shares, worth an estimated $106.3 million, during the same period, showing a clear divergence in opinion on the company's restructuring progress.
Here's a quick look at the top institutional holders and their positions as of Q3 2025:
| Holder | % of Holding | Shares Held | Value (in $1,000s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 11.73% | 33,569,859 | $263,859 |
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 9.77% | 27,950,476 | $219,691 |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | 8.24% | 23,585,064 | $185,379 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 5.14% | 14,704,063 | $115,574 |
Investment Motivations: The Turnaround Story
The primary attraction for active investors is the deep value proposition coupled with the 'Goodyear Forward' turnaround plan. You are essentially buying a major brand at a discount, betting on management's ability to execute.
- Value Investing: The stock's low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 5.23 as of November 2025 is a classic value signal. Analysts have a consensus price target around $11.36 to $13.00, suggesting a substantial upside from the current share price near $7.43.
- Restructuring and Efficiency: Investors are focused on the cost-saving initiatives. The company's restructuring efforts are projected to improve the Americas segment operating income by approximately $15 million in 2025, with a run-rate of $65 million thereafter. Plus, the 'Goodyear Forward' plan already delivered $185 million in segment operating income benefits in Q3 2025.
- Premium Product Growth: The long-term growth narrative hinges on shifting the product mix toward higher-margin tires, particularly those for larger rim sizes and electric vehicles (EVs). This premium focus is designed to offset volume softness in core markets.
What this estimate hides is the near-term risk. The company reported a Q3 2025 net loss of US$2.20 billion, which included a major goodwill and intangible asset impairment of US$674 million. That's a massive loss, and it's why the stock trades where it does. You need conviction to ride out that volatility.
Investment Strategies: Betting on a Catalyst
The strategies employed by active investors are rooted in the belief that the company's structural changes will eventually close the gap between its current market capitalization of about $2.13 billion and its intrinsic value. This is a classic value-with-a-catalyst strategy.
- Long-Term Holding (Value): Many active managers are taking a multi-year view, holding through the current cycle of high raw material costs and soft commercial demand, anticipating a recovery in the replacement tire market. They believe the brand power and global scale will win out.
- Short-Term Trading (Event-Driven): The significant, rapid position changes by hedge funds like Appaloosa LP suggest an event-driven strategy. They are likely trading around the milestones of the 'Goodyear Forward' plan, such as the divestiture of the majority of the Goodyear Chemical business, which was completed in November 2025.
- Focus on Deleveraging: The company's completion of all planned divestitures is a clear signal to investors that deleveraging is a priority. Investors are watching for a reduction in the debt-to-equity ratio, which stood at 1.24 as of Q2 2025.
The investment thesis here is simple: The brand is strong, the assets are being streamlined, and the market is pricing in too much risk. You can read more about the company's goals and values here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT).
So, the next step is to monitor Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 results for concrete evidence that the $65 million run-rate operating income improvement is materializing, defintely.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT)
If you're looking at The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT), the first thing to understand is that institutional money overwhelmingly controls the stock. As of the most recent filings, institutional shareholders collectively own a massive chunk of the company, holding approximately 313.8 million shares. This means the big funds-pension plans, mutual funds, and endowments-are the primary drivers of trading volume and, frankly, the key audience for management's strategy.
The institutional ownership percentage sits around 84% to 93% of the outstanding shares, depending on how you count certain passive index funds (exchange-traded funds, or ETFs) versus active managers. That's a very high concentration, so what these few dozen major players do has a disproportionate effect on the stock price and the company's strategic direction. It's defintely not a retail-driven stock.
Here's a quick look at the top institutional investors in The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) as of the third quarter of 2025, which gives you a clear picture of who holds the most sway:
- BlackRock, Inc.: The largest holder, with 33,569,859 shares.
- The Vanguard Group, Inc.: A close second, holding 27,950,476 shares.
- Wellington Management Group LLP: A significant active manager, owning 26,381,396 shares.
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP: A major factor in the value space, with 14,704,063 shares.
Recent Shifts in Institutional Stakes: Q3 2025 Activity
The real story isn't just who owns the stock, but what they're doing with it. The third quarter of 2025 saw some sharp, divergent moves among the major institutional investors, reflecting deep disagreement on the company's turnaround prospects. This is where the rubber meets the road on the 'Goodyear Forward' plan. For a deeper dive into the company's background, you should check out The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
On the selling side, BlackRock, Inc. trimmed its position, decreasing its stake by over 941,000 shares during the quarter. More dramatically, the institutional investor Greenvale Capital fully exited its position in November 2025, selling over 10 million shares. This divestment came right after the company announced its Q3 2025 net loss of US$2,195 million, a result that clearly spooked some investors who were already wary of restructuring-related losses.
But it wasn't all selling. Other large funds saw an opportunity in the weakness, which is classic value investing. Here's the quick math on who was buying:
| Institutional Investor | Shares Held (Q3 2025) | Quarterly Change in Shares | Implied Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Management Group LLP | 26,381,396 | +2,796,332 | Increased conviction in turnaround. |
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 27,950,476 | +1,130,037 | Index-tracking or slight active increase. |
| Appaloosa LP | 5,140,000 | +4,278,218 | Significant new activist/deep value stake. |
Appaloosa LP's move to acquire over 4.2 million new shares is particularly noteworthy. This is a classic activist hedge fund move, signaling a belief that the stock is deeply undervalued and that the fund may push for more aggressive strategic changes to unlock that value. When a fund like Appaloosa takes a significant stake, they are often buying a seat at the table.
The Role of Large Investors in GT's Strategy
These large institutional investors aren't just passive shareholders; they are the ultimate arbiters of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company's (GT) strategy and stock valuation. Their collective action dictates the liquidity of the stock and sets the floor and ceiling for the share price. When you see a major fund like Greenvale Capital exit, it sends a clear signal that they've lost confidence in the near-term execution of the turnaround plan, especially when coupled with a massive quarterly net loss.
Conversely, the aggressive accumulation by a fund like Appaloosa LP suggests that the market's current price, which was around $7.83 per share as of November 2025, is seen as a compelling entry point. These large investors will now be applying pressure on management to accelerate the 'Goodyear Forward' plan, which is focused on simplifying the business and improving margin performance. They want to see tangible results from the divestiture of the majority of the Goodyear Chemical business, which was completed in November 2025. The core opportunity for them is a successful execution of the restructuring plan, which could yield a fair value estimate of around $9.58 per share, representing a significant upside from current levels.
Key Investors and Their Impact on The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT)
You're looking at The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) and trying to figure out who's really driving the bus, and honestly, it's the large institutional money and one very active hedge fund. The direct takeaway here is that while passive funds hold the largest stakes, the company's recent strategic direction is a direct result of activist pressure, leading to major asset sales and a cost-cutting push.
The institutional ownership in The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) is substantial, sitting at approximately 84.19% of the stock as of late 2025. This means a handful of massive firms essentially control the voting power, and their actions-even minor portfolio adjustments-can move the share price. This is a stock where you defintely need to track the 13F filings.
The top shareholders are dominated by the world's largest asset managers, often holding shares for passive index funds or broad mandates. These are not typically active players, but their sheer size gives them enormous influence.
- BlackRock, Inc.: The largest holder, with a stake of approximately 33,569,859 shares as of September 30, 2025.
- The Vanguard Group, Inc.: Holding roughly 27,950,476 shares, making them the second-largest investor.
- Wellington Management Group LLP: A major active manager, holding approximately 26,381,396 shares as of the Q3 2025 filing date.
Activist Influence and the Turnaround Mandate
The real catalyst for The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT)'s recent corporate action is the activist investor, Elliott Investment Management. They took a significant stake, at one point holding around 10% of the company, and immediately started pushing for a strategic review, arguing the company was underperforming rivals like Michelin and Bridgestone. Elliott's influence was so profound it led to the departure of the long-time CEO and the initiation of the 'Goodyear Forward' transformation plan.
This activist pressure has mapped out clear actions for the near-term. The plan aims to realize around $1 billion in cost savings by the end of 2025 and has already resulted in the divestiture of non-core assets, including the majority of the Goodyear Chemical business and the Dunlop brand. These divestitures are driving significant deleveraging, which is a key opportunity for the stock, but it also means the company is shrinking its revenue base to focus on the core tire business. You must weigh the balance sheet improvement against the reduced scale.
Recent Investor Moves and Financial Context
Looking at the most recent filings, we see a mixed but telling picture. The institutional crowd is split on the turnaround story, which is common in a restructuring scenario. For instance, in the second quarter of 2025, LSV Asset Management trimmed its position by 2.0%, selling 101,480 shares. ProShare Advisors LLC made an even more dramatic cut, reducing its stake by 55.1%.
But on the buy side, some large funds are betting on the activist-driven changes. Wellington Management Group LLP increased its stake by over 2.7 million shares in Q3 2025, and Appaloosa LP bought over 4.2 million shares in the same period, signaling a strong vote of confidence in the new strategy. The biggest recent move, however, was the complete exit by institutional investor Greenvale Capital, which sold over 10 million shares worth about $106 million, citing restructuring losses as a factor. This highlights the persistent cost challenges and the risk that the near-term catalysts might not be strong enough to overcome structural issues.
The financial backdrop for these moves is the company's Q3 2025 results, which showed net sales of $4.6 billion, but also a substantial net loss of $2.2 billion, heavily impacted by non-cash charges like a $1.4 billion deferred tax asset valuation allowance and a $674 million goodwill impairment charge. Here's the quick math: the net loss per share for Q3 was $7.62, which is a brutal number that reflects the necessary financial cleanup underway. This deep dive into the company's financial history and strategic shifts is crucial for any investor. You can find more context on the long-term view here: The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
| Notable Investor | Shares Held (Q3 2025) | Recent Activity (Q3 2025) | Investor Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 33,569,859 | Slight decrease (passive index adjustments) | Passive Institutional |
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 27,950,476 | Slight increase (passive index adjustments) | Passive Institutional |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | 26,381,396 | Significant increase (+2.7M shares) | Active Institutional |
| Elliott Investment Management | ~10% Stake (Activist) | Driving strategic review and asset sales | Activist Hedge Fund |
The key risk is execution: the 'Goodyear Forward' plan delivered $185 million in segment operating income benefits in Q3 2025, but that was partly offset by $137 million in inflation and other costs. This shows the margin improvement is a grind, not a quick win. If the cost savings don't outpace inflation and volume declines, the stock will struggle, no matter how much the balance sheet improves from asset sales.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
The investor sentiment toward The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) is defintely a study in cautious optimism, best described as a 'Wait and See' approach. While the stock was up a solid 28% in the first five months of 2025, buoyed by the restructuring plan, the current consensus rating from eleven analyst firms is a 'Hold.' This isn't a ringing endorsement, but it's not a panic button either. Six of those eleven firms rate it a Hold, with three assigning a Buy, one a Strong Buy, and one a Sell.
Institutional ownership is massive, accounting for approximately 84.19% of the company's stock, which tells you that the smart money is deeply involved. You see names like BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. at the top of the shareholder list. BlackRock, Inc., for instance, holds a significant position of 11.73% of the shares as of September 29, 2025, while Vanguard Group Inc. holds 9.77%. These aren't small, speculative bets; they are core positions in large, diversified portfolios. This high level of institutional backing suggests a belief in the long-term turnaround potential, even if the near-term volatility is high.
- BlackRock, Inc. holds 33,569,859 shares.
- Vanguard Group Inc. holds 27,950,476 shares.
- Institutional owners hold 313,798,019 shares in total.
Recent Market Reactions to Key Events
The market's reaction to The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) in 2025 has been sharp and immediate, especially around earnings. This shows that investors are highly sensitive to execution risk within the 'Goodyear Forward' transformation plan. For example, following the Q2 2025 results, the stock dropped a steep 16.86% in after-hours trading. Here's the quick math: the adjusted loss per share came in at $0.17, a significant miss against the expected profit of $0.02, even though revenue of $4.5 billion was in line with forecasts.
But still, positive news has a strong impact. Earlier in the year, in February 2025, when Argus upgraded the stock to a Buy, citing an inflection point after better-than-expected Q4 2024 earnings, shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading. The stock's journey in 2025 shows a clear pattern: it rallies hard on restructuring optimism, but it pulls back just as hard on any operational disappointment. You're seeing investors reward the promise of the plan, but punish the lack of delivery on a quarterly basis.
For a deeper dive into the company's financial stability, you should check out Breaking Down The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Analyst Perspectives and the 'Goodyear Forward' Thesis
The core of the analyst perspective on The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) centers on the 'Goodyear Forward' transformation plan, which is designed to optimize the portfolio and slash debt. Analysts are mostly confident in the plan's goals, but they are split on the timeline and execution risk. The average one-year price target is around $11.36, implying a substantial upside from the current trading price near $7.82.
The biggest driver of this optimism is the expected cost savings. The company is targeting annualized cost reductions of $1 billion from the 'Goodyear Forward' program by the end of 2025, which is a huge number. This is meant to double the operating margin from nearly 5% in 2023 to a target of 10% by the end of 2025. What this estimate hides, though, are the persistent industry challenges, like the surge of low-cost imports and a slow commercial truck market recovery, which is not expected until 2026.
Here's a snapshot of the 2025 financial picture that analysts are watching:
| Metric | Q3 2025 Actual | Q1-Q3 2025 Net Sales | Full-Year 2025 EPS Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | $4.6 billion | $13.4 billion | $0.69 (up 187.93% from prior forecast) |
| Net Loss (Reported) | $2.2 billion | N/A | N/A |
| Segment Operating Income | $287 million | $641 million | N/A |
The key takeaway is that the market is giving The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) credit for the plan, but they are demanding proof of execution, quarter by quarter. Finance: Monitor the Q4 2025 guidance on the $1 billion cost reduction target for a clear action signal.

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