Vertex, Inc. (VERX) Bundle
You're looking at Vertex, Inc. (VERX) and wondering why the stock price has dropped to around $19.95 per share as of mid-November 2025-a brutal 59.60% decline over the last year-but institutional money is still holding strong. Honestly, the story here isn't about retail panic; it's about a tug-of-war between market sentiment and core business fundamentals, and the big players like Vanguard Group Inc and BlackRock, Inc. are not running for the exits. Institutional investors collectively own over 70% of the stock, holding a massive 114.48 million shares, which tells you they see a long-term play despite the near-term volatility. What are they betting on when the company's GAAP net income for Q3 2025 fell to $4.0 million from $7.2 million a year earlier? They're focused on the growth engine: Q3 2025 total revenue hit $192.1 million, cloud revenue jumped 29.6% to $92.0 million, and the full-year revenue guidance is still robust at $745.7 million to $749.7 million. Plus, the board just authorized a new $150 million share repurchase program, a clear signal of confidence in their value proposition (the belief that the stock is undervalued). So, are these sophisticated buyers seeing a deep-value opportunity in a high-growth, mission-critical tax software provider, or are they just slow to react to the price drop? Let's break down who exactly is buying, who's selling, and what their investment thesis (the core reason for buying) is for a company expected to deliver an Adjusted EBITDA between $159.1 million and $161.1 million for the full 2025 fiscal year.
Who Invests in Vertex, Inc. (VERX) and Why?
If you're looking at Vertex, Inc. (VERX), you're seeing a company whose ownership structure is typical for a maturing Software as a Service (SaaS) provider: it's dominated by big institutions, but with a significant presence from the original insiders and a growing retail base. The main takeaway is that the smart money-the institutions-holds the majority stake, but the stock's recent volatility has created a compelling entry point for both value and growth investors.
Institutional investors, like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc., own the lion's share, accounting for roughly 53.58% of the company's shares outstanding. This includes a massive 114,199,532 shares held long by institutions as of late 2025. Then you have the insiders, which includes the founding family and executives, holding about 18.94%. The remaining 27.47% is held by individual retail investors. That's a healthy mix, but the high institutional ownership means the stock price can move sharply when those big funds adjust their positions.
Here's the quick math on who controls the float:
| Investor Type | Ownership Percentage (Approx. 2025) | Key Examples |
|---|---|---|
| Institutional Investors | 53.58% | Vanguard Group Inc., BlackRock, Inc. |
| Retail Investors | 27.47% | Individual Traders, Smaller Accounts |
| Insiders/Strategic Holders | 18.94% | Jeffery Westphal, Executive Team |
Investment Motivations: Why the Big Money is Buying
The core attraction to Vertex, Inc. isn't a quick flip; it's a bet on the non-negotiable complexity of global tax law. The company is a leading provider of indirect tax solutions, and its business model is sticky because switching tax compliance software is a nightmare for large enterprises. That's a strong moat.
The primary motivations for investors holding Vertex, Inc. stock in 2025 boil down to a few concrete factors:
- Cloud Migration: Cloud revenue jumped 29.6% year-over-year in Q3 2025 to $92.0 million, showing their successful shift to a higher-margin, subscription-based model.
- Recurring Revenue Stability: Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) hit $648.2 million as of Q3 2025, growing 12.4% year-over-year. This predictable revenue stream is gold for long-term holders.
- Shareholder Return Focus: The board approved a $150 million Class A share repurchase program in November 2025, a clear signal of management's confidence and commitment to returning capital to shareholders, even without a dividend.
- Valuation Reversion: The stock's Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio is currently around 4.64, which is near its two-year low, suggesting a potential undervaluation for a company with full-year 2025 revenue guidance of approximately $747.7 million.
Honestly, the market is pricing in some near-term uncertainty-like customers delaying large Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) implementations-but the long-term secular trend toward tax automation is defintely intact. You can read more about the company's long-term vision here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Vertex, Inc. (VERX).
Strategies: Passive Holding Meets Value-Oriented Growth
The strategies employed by Vertex, Inc. investors fall into two main buckets, with a small but impactful third group. You see a clear split between passive, long-term index funds and more active, value-conscious managers.
The largest holders, like BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc., are mostly passive investors. They buy Vertex, Inc. because it's part of a major index, such as the Russell 2000, and they simply hold it for the long haul. Their strategy is pure exposure to the overall tax technology sector's growth.
On the active side, you have hedge funds and specialized growth funds. Their strategies are more nuanced:
- Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP): These investors are attracted by the strong cloud revenue growth (up 29.6%) combined with a depressed valuation (P/S of 4.64). They see a quality growth company trading cheaply.
- Long-Term Value Investing: Given the stock's significant drop in 2025, some are viewing it as a value play, betting that the company's sticky subscription revenue model and market dominance will eventually drive the stock back toward its historical highs.
- Short-Term Trading: While the majority of institutional owners are 'long-only,' there are a few 'short-only' institutional owners, indicating some funds are betting against the stock, likely due to the slower Net Revenue Retention (NRR) rate of 107% in Q3 2025 compared to previous quarters.
What this means for you is that the stock has a strong institutional floor, but its short-term price action will still be dictated by the flow of active money reacting to quarterly metrics like NRR and cloud growth. The recent $150 million buyback is a clear action to support the price and signal confidence to the value investors.
Next Step: Finance: Analyze the Q3 2025 Net Revenue Retention of 107% against the full-year cloud growth guidance to forecast the impact on 2026's ARR.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Vertex, Inc. (VERX)
You want to know who is really driving the action in Vertex, Inc. (VERX) stock, and the direct takeaway is this: large institutional money controls the narrative. With a significant portion of shares locked up by professional managers, their buying and selling decisions-based on metrics like the 29.6% cloud revenue growth in Q3 2025-are what move the stock price and shape corporate strategy. To be fair, this high ownership also provides a degree of stability.
Top Institutional Investors: Who Holds the Keys to VERX?
As of the most recent filings, institutional investors collectively own roughly 70.32% of Vertex, Inc.'s outstanding stock, representing a massive concentration of capital. This isn't just a handful of funds; there are over 539 institutional owners, but a few giants dominate the top tier. These are typically passive index funds and large active managers who hold the stock as a core part of their portfolio, often for the long haul.
Here's a snapshot of the largest institutional shareholders, based on their reported holdings in the 2025 fiscal year:
| Major Shareholder | Shares Held (Approx.) | Report Date (2025) | Ownership % |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 7,697,983 | June 29 | 4.83% |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 5,823,990 | June 29 | 3.65% |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | 3,643,850 | June 29 | 2.28% |
| Neuberger Berman Investment Advisers LLC | 3,166,478 | June 29 | 1.99% |
| Nationwide Fund Advisors | 2,929,672 | September 29 | 1.84% |
It's defintely worth noting that firms like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. often hold shares as part of their massive index funds, making them passive holders who rarely push for strategic changes but provide a foundational level of demand for the stock. If you want a deeper dive into the company's background, you can check out Vertex, Inc. (VERX): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Recent Shifts: Are Institutions Buying or Selling?
The institutional money flow has been net positive over the last 12 months, with total inflows of approximately $1.68 billion significantly outpacing outflows of $750.31 million. This tells you there are more funds initiating or adding to positions than those exiting, which is a bullish sign for long-term sentiment, still, the moves are mixed.
Here's the quick math on recent activity:
- Net Accumulation: There were 218 institutional buyers versus 119 sellers in the last year.
- Big Buyers: Geneva Capital Management LLC was a major accumulator, boosting its stake by 47.7% in Q2 2025, adding 974,530 shares. Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA also showed a massive increase of +231.0% in October 2025.
- Key Sellers: Conestoga Capital Advisors LLC, a growth-focused manager, sold 855,435 shares in Q3 2025. They cited the stock as a 'biggest detractor' in their portfolio, pointing to elongated enterprise sales cycles as the reason for the reduction.
This mixed picture is typical: some funds are taking profits or rotating out due to short-term performance issues, while others are seeing the dip as a buying opportunity, especially given the strong cloud growth metrics.
The Institutional Impact on Stock Price and Strategy
Institutional investors play a crucial role in Vertex, Inc.'s strategy and stock price, acting as both a stabilizing force and a catalyst for volatility. When a major fund like Conestoga Capital Advisors sells a block of shares worth an estimated $24.8 million in Q3 2025, it puts downward pressure on the stock price, resetting market expectations.
But their influence goes deeper than just trading volume. They are the primary audience for management's strategic focus, such as the reported 12.4% rise in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $648.2 million as of September 30, 2025. When management sees institutional sentiment turn sour, they act. A concrete example is the Board's authorization of a $150 million Class A share repurchase program on October 30, 2025. This move is a direct signal to institutional investors that management believes the stock is undervalued and is willing to use capital to support the share price and boost earnings per share (EPS).
This is how the game works: institutional investors demand growth and efficient capital use, and management responds with strategic actions like buybacks and a focus on high-growth areas like cloud revenue, which was up 29.6% year-over-year in Q3 2025.
Next Step: Finance should track the execution of the $150 million share repurchase program against the Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $40.0 million to $42.0 million to assess management's capital allocation efficiency.
Key Investors and Their Impact on Vertex, Inc. (VERX)
You need to know who is driving the bus at Vertex, Inc. (VERX), because institutional money-the big funds-holds the majority stake and their moves are the real market drivers. The direct takeaway is that passive giants like Vanguard Group Inc and BlackRock, Inc. are the foundational bedrock, but recent, active moves by other funds and the company's own buyback program are what signal near-term opportunities and risks.
Currently, institutional investors own over 70.32% of Vertex, Inc.'s stock, which translates to a total of 114,480,470 shares held by major firms. This high concentration means that the collective sentiment of these large asset managers and hedge funds dictates the stock's major movements, making their quarterly filings (13F reports) critical reading for individual investors.
The Institutional Heavyweights: Who's Buying and Selling
The top shareholders in Vertex, Inc. are exactly who you'd expect to see in a stable, enterprise-focused software company. These firms are primarily passive index and mutual fund managers, which means their holdings are strategic and long-term, not tactical bets. Still, their sheer size gives them enormous influence.
The most recent filings, reflecting positions as of September 30, 2025, show a clear picture of who is committed and who is trimming their position. Vanguard Group Inc is the largest holder with 8,387,126 shares, having added 689,143 shares in the last quarter. BlackRock, Inc., another titan, holds 5,316,515 shares, but interestingly, they reduced their stake by 507,475 shares during the same period. This isn't a panic sale, but it's a small signal of rebalancing.
Here's a quick look at the top institutional positions and recent activity:
| Investor Name | Shares Held (9/30/2025) | Change in Shares (Q3 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 8,387,126 | +689,143 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 5,316,515 | -507,475 |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | 3,804,409 | +160,559 |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co /ma/ | 3,567,902 | +2,490,097 |
| Brown Advisory Inc | 3,080,905 | +3,080,905 |
Investor Influence and Recent Corporate Actions
The influence of these investors isn't always loud activism; sometimes, it's quiet pressure that leads to major corporate decisions. For example, the board's approval of a $150 million Class A common stock repurchase program on November 3, 2025, is a direct nod to shareholder value. This move, which allows the company to buy back up to 4.1% of its stock, is a classic signal that the board believes the stock is undervalued and is a way to boost earnings per share (EPS) for existing holders.
Also, pay attention to the executive suite changes. The announcement of the CEO retirement and succession plan on October 21, 2025, is a huge event. Bringing in a new President and CEO, Christopher Young, who has deep experience from a mega-cap tech company like Microsoft, is a strategic move designed to reassure investors about future growth, particularly around cloud and Artificial Intelligence (AI) initiatives. This kind of leadership change is defintely a response to the need for continued high-growth execution that institutional investors demand.
On the flip side, insider selling is a near-term risk. In the six months leading up to July 2025, insiders were net sellers, with 19 sales against only 2 purchases. For instance, former CEO David DeStefano sold 472,531 shares for an estimated $17,677,609. While this is common during executive transitions, it's something you simply can't ignore when evaluating the stock's immediate future.
Mapping Opportunities: Why They are Still Invested
Despite the stock's volatility (share price declined 59.60% from November 2024 to November 2025), the big money is staying put or increasing its position because the underlying business fundamentals are strong. They are betting on the long-term cloud migration trend and global tax complexity, which is Vertex, Inc.'s core business. The company delivered Q3 2025 total revenues of $192.1 million, with cloud revenues jumping 29.6% year-over-year to $92.0 million. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is also robust at $648.2 million as of September 30, 2025.
New entrants like Artisan Partners Limited Partnership, which acquired a new position of 755,101 shares valued at approximately $26,681,000 in Q2 2025, are clearly buying into the cloud growth story. They see the value in a company with a high gross revenue retention (GRR) of 95%, which is a sign of sticky, mission-critical software. They are looking past the short-term macro headwinds that caused a dip in the Net Revenue Retention (NRR) to 107% in Q3 2025, down from 111% a year prior.
- Cloud revenue growth is the key metric.
- New CEO hire signals focus on future scaling.
- Stock buyback provides immediate price support.
To fully understand the long-term vision that keeps these funds invested, you should review the company's core strategy: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Vertex, Inc. (VERX).
Next Step: Portfolio Manager: Adjust your VERX position based on the new $150 million buyback's potential to stabilize the price, and factor in the new CEO's background as a positive long-term catalyst.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
You're looking at Vertex, Inc. (VERX) and seeing a disconnect: high institutional ownership but a stock price that recently hit a 52-week low. Honestly, the sentiment is a mix of long-term conviction from big money and near-term caution driven by market-wide growth fears.
The core of the investor base is defintely institutional, holding a commanding 70.32% of the stock. These aren't retail traders; they are firms like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. that hold a total of 114,480,470 shares. Over the last 12 months, the institutional money flow has been net positive, with total inflows of about $1.68 billion against outflows of $750.31 million. That's a significant vote of confidence in the tax technology story, especially the push toward cloud solutions and mandatory e-invoicing in Europe.
But still, the market has been skittish. The stock price fell to a new 52-week low of $18.54 in November 2025. This drop happened even as the company announced solid third-quarter 2025 results, with revenue of $192.11 million, slightly beating the consensus estimate of $191.62 million. The market is punishing the stock because of earlier lowered full-year revenue guidance, with management citing a more uncertain demand environment and customers delaying large-scale Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) implementations.
- Institutional Inflows: $1.68 billion (last 12 months).
- Institutional Ownership: 70.32% of shares.
- Q3 2025 Revenue Beat: $192.11 million.
Major Investor Moves and Management's Signal
When you look closer at the major holders, you see some strategic maneuvering. For example, Vanguard Group Inc. has been a notable buyer, increasing their position. Conversely, BlackRock, Inc. reduced its stake by 507,475 shares as of September 30, 2025. This kind of selling by a major passive manager like BlackRock, Inc. often reflects portfolio rebalancing or index tracking changes, not necessarily a negative view on the company's fundamentals, but it does add selling pressure.
The most important signal of management's own sentiment came in November 2025: the Board authorized a $150 million Class A share repurchase program. This buyback is a concrete action, not just talk, and it covers about 4.1% of the outstanding shares. A share repurchase program tells you the company's leadership believes the stock is undervalued at current prices, and they're willing to put their cash to work to prove it. This move also highlights a commitment to shareholder returns, which is a key part of the investment narrative, as detailed in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Vertex, Inc. (VERX).
Analyst Perspectives on Key Investors' Impact
Wall Street analysts are currently wrestling with the same mixed signals. The consensus rating across 18 analysts is a 'Moderate Buy,' but price targets have been falling. The average 12-month price target is approximately $32.60, suggesting a significant upside from the recent lows. Here's the quick math: if the stock is trading near $19.79, that average target implies a potential upside of over 64%.
The lowered price targets, like Citizens dropping its target from $50 to $37 in November 2025, are mainly tied to a reduced fiscal year 2025 outlook, not a loss of faith in the long-term tax automation trend. Analysts are modeling for full-year 2025 revenue guidance in the range of $745.7 million-$749.7 million, with non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) consensus at $0.38.
The impact of key institutional investors is that their sheer size stabilizes the stock and validates the business model. When Vanguard Group Inc. buys, it suggests they see the long-term value in Vertex, Inc.'s position as a global leader in indirect tax solutions, which is a sticky, mission-critical software business. The analysts' optimism is grounded in the company's strong cloud revenue growth, which was up 29.6% in Q3 2025.
Here is a snapshot of the forward-looking analyst consensus and recent performance metrics:
| Metric | Value (FY 2025 Data) | Source/Context |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Year Revenue Guidance | $745.7M-$749.7M | Q4 2025 Guidance Update |
| Consensus EPS (FY 2025) | $0.38 | Sell-side Analyst Consensus |
| Average Price Target | $32.60 | 18 Wall Street Analysts |
| Q3 2025 Cloud Revenue Growth | 29.6% | Year-over-Year |
What this estimate hides is the risk from prolonged enterprise sales cycles (the time it takes to close a deal), which is the main drag on the near-term outlook. So, the action for you is to monitor the Q4 2025 guidance for Cloud Subscription revenue, as that metric is the engine for the long-term growth story that big investors are betting on.

Vertex, Inc. (VERX) DCF Excel Template
5-Year Financial Model
40+ Charts & Metrics
DCF & Multiple Valuation
Free Email Support
Disclaimer
All information, articles, and product details provided on this website are for general informational and educational purposes only. We do not claim any ownership over, nor do we intend to infringe upon, any trademarks, copyrights, logos, brand names, or other intellectual property mentioned or depicted on this site. Such intellectual property remains the property of its respective owners, and any references here are made solely for identification or informational purposes, without implying any affiliation, endorsement, or partnership.
We make no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of any content or products presented. Nothing on this website should be construed as legal, tax, investment, financial, medical, or other professional advice. In addition, no part of this site—including articles or product references—constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, advertisement, or offer to buy or sell any securities, franchises, or other financial instruments, particularly in jurisdictions where such activity would be unlawful.
All content is of a general nature and may not address the specific circumstances of any individual or entity. It is not a substitute for professional advice or services. Any actions you take based on the information provided here are strictly at your own risk. You accept full responsibility for any decisions or outcomes arising from your use of this website and agree to release us from any liability in connection with your use of, or reliance upon, the content or products found herein.