Ternium S.A. (TX): Analyse du pilon [Jan-2025 MISE À JOUR]

Dans le monde dynamique de la fabrication mondiale de l'acier, Ternium S.A. (TX) est une puissance industrielle complexe naviguant dans un paysage complexe de défis et d'opportunités. Cette analyse complète du pilon dévoile les forces externes à multiples facettes qui façonnent la trajectoire stratégique de l'entreprise à travers l'Amérique latine, révélant comment les tensions politiques, les volatilités économiques, les attentes sociétales, les innovations technologiques, les cadres juridiques et les impératifs environnementaux influencent collectivement l'écosystème commercial de Ternium. Plongez dans cette exploration critique pour comprendre le réseau complexe de facteurs stimulant l'un des producteurs d'acier les plus importants de la région.

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs politiques

Politiques commerciales et impact sur les relations internationales

Ternium S.A. opère dans plusieurs pays d'Amérique latine, avec une exposition significative à la dynamique politique et commerciale. En 2024, l'entreprise fait face à des environnements politiques complexes dans:

Pays	Indice des risques politiques	Restrictions sur le commerce de l'acier
Mexique	5.2/10	Tarif d'exportation de 15%
Argentine	4.7/10	Tarif d'exportation à 12%
Brésil	5.5/10	Tarif d'exportation à 10%

Environnement réglementaire

Défis réglementaires clés inclure:

• Exigences de conformité environnementale de la fabrication d'acier
• Règlements sur le travail dans les juridictions latino-américaines
• Restrictions d'investissement étranger
• Mandats de production de contenu local

Investissements d'infrastructure gouvernementale

Projections d'investissement des infrastructures pour 2024-2026:

Pays	Budget d'infrastructure	Impact de la demande en acier
Mexique	24,3 milliards de dollars	Augmentation estimée à 8% de la demande en acier
Argentine	12,7 milliards de dollars	Augmentation estimée de la demande en acier de 5%
Brésil	37,5 milliards de dollars	Augmentation estimée à 11% de la demande en acier

Atténuation des risques politiques

Les stratégies de gestion des risques politiques de Ternium comprennent:

• Présence géographique diversifiée
• Développement de partenariat local
• Conformité aux accords commerciaux régionaux
• Gestion active des relations gouvernementales

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs économiques

Sensible aux tarifs mondiaux de l'acier et aux fluctuations du marché des matières premières

Au quatrième trimestre 2023, les prix mondiaux de l'acier ont montré une volatilité significative:

Produit en acier	Gamme de prix (USD / tonne)	Volatilité du marché
Bobine roulée chaude	$650 - $850	± 15,4% variation trimestrielle
Acier à froid	$750 - $950	± 12,7% variation trimestrielle

Exposition économique sur les marchés clés

Performance économique de Ternium sur les marchés primaires:

Pays	Croissance du PIB 2023	Impact de la production industrielle
Argentine	-2.5%	-4,3% du secteur manufacturier
Mexique	3.2%	+ 2,8% de croissance de la fabrication
Brésil	2.9%	+ 1,6% de production industrielle

Volatilité des taux de change

Les fluctuations des devises ont un impact sur les sources de revenus:

Paire de devises	Variation du taux de change	Impact sur les revenus
Peso USD / argentin	± 38,6% de variation annuelle	- Ajustement potentiel de 72 millions de dollars
USD / peso mexicain	± 12,3% Variation annuelle	- 45 millions de dollars ajustement des revenus potentiel

Performance du secteur industriel et de la construction

Indicateurs économiques du secteur:

Secteur	2023 Croissance	Consommation d'acier
Construction	+1.7%	3,2 millions de tonnes
Fabrication	+2.4%	4,5 millions de tonnes

Gestion des coûts sur le marché mondial de l'acier concurrentiel

Analyse de la structure des coûts:

Catégorie de coûts	2023 dépenses	Rapport d'efficacité
Matières premières	1,2 milliard de dollars	62% des coûts totaux
Énergie	380 M $	19% des coûts totaux
Travail	280 M $	14% des coûts totaux

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs sociaux

Demande croissante de production d'acier durable et respectueuse de l'environnement

Selon le rapport sur la durabilité de Ternium en 2022, la société a investi 45,3 millions de dollars dans les initiatives environnementales. Objectif de réduction des émissions de carbone: 20% d'ici 2030. Taux de recyclage de l'acier: 85% dans les opérations latino-américaines.

Métrique de la durabilité	Valeur 2022	Cible 2030
Réduction des émissions de carbone	5.6%	20%
Investissement environnemental	45,3 millions de dollars	65 millions de dollars
Taux de recyclage en acier	85%	90%

Défis de développement de la main-d'œuvre dans les régions de fabrication d'Amérique latine

Ternium a employé 22 450 travailleurs en 2022. Âge moyen de la main-d'œuvre: 38,5 ans. Investissement de formation: 12,7 millions de dollars par an. Écart de compétences dans les rôles techniques: 17%.

Métrique de la main-d'œuvre	2022 données
Total des employés	22,450
Âge des employés moyens	38,5 ans
Investissement en formation	12,7 millions de dollars
Écart de compétences techniques	17%

Accent croissant sur la sécurité au travail et le bien-être des employés

Taux d'accident de travail: 1,2 pour 1 000 employés en 2022. Heures de formation en matière de sécurité: 78 560 heures. Couverture d'assurance maladie: 100% pour les employés à temps plein. Investissement du programme de soutien à la santé mentale: 3,2 millions de dollars.

Métrique de sécurité	Valeur 2022
Taux d'accident de travail	1,2 pour 1 000 employés
Heures de formation à la sécurité	78 560 heures
Assurance maladie des employés	100%
Investissement de soutien à la santé mentale	3,2 millions de dollars

Attentes sociales pour la responsabilité sociale des entreprises dans les secteurs manufacturiers

Investissement communautaire: 18,5 millions de dollars en 2022. Programmes de bourses d'éducation: 340 étudiants soutenus. Engagement local des fournisseurs: 62% des achats auprès des entreprises régionales. Initiatives de soins de santé communautaires: 4,7 millions de dollars investis.

Métrique de la RSE	Valeur 2022
Investissement total de la communauté	18,5 millions de dollars
Bourses d'études	340
Actionnement local des fournisseurs	62%
Investissement de santé communautaire	4,7 millions de dollars

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs technologiques

Investissement continu dans les technologies de fabrication et de production avancées

Ternium a investi 285,3 millions de dollars dans les dépenses en capital en 2022, en se concentrant sur les mises à niveau technologiques et la modernisation des installations de production.

Année	Investissement technologique ($ m)	Pourcentage de revenus
2020	212.4	3.7%
2021	247.6	4.2%
2022	285.3	4.8%

Mise en œuvre de la transformation numérique dans la gestion de la production et de la chaîne d'approvisionnement

Ternium a déployé des technologies numériques avancées à travers ses opérations, mettant en œuvre SAP S / 4HANA pour la planification des ressources d'entreprise en temps réel et Oracle Cloud pour l'optimisation de la chaîne d'approvisionnement.

Technologie numérique	Année de mise en œuvre	Amélioration de l'efficacité
SAP S / 4HANA	2021	22% d'optimisation du processus
Oracle Cloud SCM	2022	18% d'efficacité de la chaîne d'approvisionnement

Améliorations d'automatisation et d'efficacité dans les processus de fabrication d'acier

Ternium a mis en œuvre l'automatisation des processus robotiques (RPA) dans 67% de ses lignes de fabrication, réduisant l'intervention manuelle de 42% et augmentant l'efficacité de la production.

• Systèmes de soudage robotique: 38 unités déployées
• Systèmes de contrôle de la qualité automatisé: 24 installations
• Technologies de maintenance prédictive: 15 systèmes intégrés

La recherche et le développement se concentrent sur les produits en acier haute performance

Ternium a alloué 76,5 millions de dollars à la recherche et au développement en 2022, se concentrant sur l'acier avancé à haute résistance (AHSS) et les notes spécialisées en acier automobile.

Zone de focus R&D	Investissement ($ m)	Développement de nouveaux produits
Acier avancé à haute résistance	42.3	7 nouvelles notes
Solutions en acier automobile	34.2	5 produits spécialisés

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs juridiques

Conformité aux réglementations du commerce international et aux normes environnementales

Ternium S.A. opère dans plusieurs cadres de conformité au commerce international à travers l'Amérique latine. En 2024, la société maintient des certifications dans:

Certification	Juridictions	Statut de conformité
ISO 14001: Gestion de l'environnement 2015	Argentine, Mexique, Brésil	Compliance complète
Atteindre la régulation chimique	Marchés de l'Union européenne	Conformité vérifiée
Normes commerciales de l'OMC	Marchés d'exportation mondiaux	Adhésion active

Navigation de lois du travail complexes dans plusieurs juridictions latino-américaines

Statistiques de conformité de la main-d'œuvre juridique pour Ternium S.A. en 2024:

Pays	Total des employés	Taux de conformité du droit du travail
Argentine	4,287	99.8%
Mexique	5,612	99.6%
Brésil	3,945	99.7%

Investigations antidumping potentielles et résolutions des litiges commerciaux

Surveillance des litiges commerciaux actifs:

• Surveillance continue de l'OMC sur les marchés d'exportation en acier
• Engagement en équipe juridique active dans 3 scénarios de litige potentiels
• Budget annuel de règlement des différends juridiques: 2,4 millions de dollars

Protection de la propriété intellectuelle pour les technologies et processus de fabrication

Catégorie IP	Nombre de brevets enregistrés	Juridictions de protection
Processus de fabrication	17	Argentine, Mexique, Brésil, États-Unis
Technologies de production d'acier	12	Couverture des brevets mondiaux
Innovations de fabrication numérique	8	Protection internationale de la propriété intellectuelle

Ternium S.A. (TX) - Analyse du pilon: facteurs environnementaux

Engagement à réduire les émissions de carbone dans la production d'acier

Ternium a signalé une réduction des émissions de CO2 de 1,29 million de tonnes en 2022, ce qui représente une diminution de 22% par rapport aux mesures de base. La société a fixé un objectif pour réduire les émissions spécifiques de CO2 de 30% d'ici 2030.

Mise en œuvre des pratiques de fabrication durables et des technologies vertes

Technologie verte	Investissement (USD)	Année de mise en œuvre
Technologie de la fournaise à arc électrique	185 millions de dollars	2022
Systèmes de récupération d'énergie	42,6 millions de dollars	2023

Initiatives de gestion des déchets et de recyclage dans la production d'acier

Taux de recyclage: 92% des déchets de production d'acier recyclés en 2022. Scrap en acier total recyclé: 1,47 million de tonnes métriques.

Aborder les réglementations environnementales dans plusieurs pays opérationnels

• Conformité à la norme de gestion de l'environnement ISO 14001 dans toutes les installations
• A investi 67,3 millions de dollars dans la conformité environnementale et l'adhésion au réglementation en 2022

Investir dans des processus de fabrication économes en énergie

Métrique de l'efficacité énergétique	2022 Performance	Cible 2023
Réduction de la consommation d'énergie	15.4%	18%
Consommation d'énergie renouvelable	22.6%	27%

Investissement environnemental total: 294,9 millions de dollars en technologies vertes et pratiques durables en 2022-2023.

Ternium S.A. (TX) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors

You're looking at Ternium S.A. (TX) through a social lens, and what you see is a steel producer navigating a critical shift: the push for sustainability and the need to manage complex labor and community relations in high-growth, yet volatile, Latin American markets. The takeaway is clear: the company is making significant capital investments to align with the 'green' demand signal, but near-term growth in construction steel is uneven, and managing local social license is a constant, non-negotiable cost of doing business.

Growing demand for sustainable, green steel from major industrial buyers.

The market for lower-carbon steel is no longer a niche; it's a core requirement for major industrial buyers, especially in the automotive and appliance sectors, who need to meet their own Scope 3 emissions targets (emissions from their supply chain). Ternium is responding with a massive capital expenditure program focused on decarbonization (reduction of carbon emissions) and advanced production technology.

Here's the quick math: Ternium has committed to a 15% reduction in CO₂ emission intensity by 2030, using a 2023 baseline, which now includes upstream Scope 3 emissions (Purchased Goods and Services, and Processing of Sold Products).

This commitment is backed by a new $460 million seven-year environmental investment plan, plus the $225 million investment in the Vientos de Olavarría Wind Farm in Argentina, which now replaces 90% of the purchased electricity for their Argentine operations. This isn't just PR; it's a structural change to future-proof their product portfolio.

• New Pesquería mill capacity: 2.6 million tons per year.
• Technology focus: Direct Reduced Iron - Electric Arc Furnace (DRI-EAF) for lower-carbon steelmaking.
• Annual CO₂ captured and reused: 280,000 tons.

Labor relations and union negotiations in Mexico and Brazil remain critical.

For a company with 18 production plants and two mining facilities across the Americas, labor stability is a significant operational risk. While specific, large-scale 2025 strikes haven't dominated headlines, the underlying risk remains high, especially in the context of recent financial and legal pressures.

In Brazil, for example, the company recorded a provision adjustment charge of $40 million in the second quarter of 2025 related to ongoing litigation concerning the 2012 acquisition of a participation in Usiminas. While this is a legal dispute, not a union negotiation, it highlights the financial impact of operating in complex legal and regulatory environments in the region, which often intersect with labor and social issues.

The core challenge is maintaining competitiveness against a backdrop of rising global imports, particularly from China, which currently accounts for 27% of Brazil's total steel imports and has increased its regional imports by 54% over the last three years. This trade pressure can quickly translate into local labor tension if production cuts or layoffs become necessary to defend margins.

Urbanization in Latin America fuels long-term demand for construction steel.

The long-term demographic trend of rapid urbanization across Latin America is a fundamental tailwind for Ternium's construction steel segment. The Latin America Construction Market is projected to be worth approximately $709.79 billion in 2025, with an expected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5% through 2030.

This growth is driven by a severe housing deficit; for example, Colombia faces a shortage of over 1.3 million homes. This creates a sustained, multi-year demand for rebar and structural steel. Still, the near-term picture is mixed, which is why you have to be a realist.

Apparent steel consumption in Mexico was down about 10% in 2025 due to trade uncertainty, but apparent steel demand in Brazil is expected to rise 5% in 2025. You're seeing two speeds in the market right now.

Latin America Construction Market (2025)	Value/Trend	Implication for Steel Demand
Market Size Estimate (2025)	~$709.79 billion	Massive underlying demand base.
Projected CAGR (2025-2030)	5%	Strong long-term growth trajectory.
Mexico Apparent Steel Consumption (2025)	Down 10%	Near-term headwind due to trade policy uncertainty.
Brazil Apparent Steel Demand (2025)	Up 5%	A key market showing immediate recovery/growth.

Focus on worker safety and community engagement affects reputation and licensing.

A strong social license to operate (SLO) is essential for a heavy industry player. Poor safety performance or community relations can trigger regulatory fines, operational shutdowns, and long-term reputational damage that impacts future expansion permits. Ternium is actively managing this risk through certifications and direct community investment.

On safety, the company's commitment is quantifiable: 93% of employees work in facilities certified to the ISO 45001 occupational health and safety standard (as of end of 2023). They are also leveraging new technologies like virtual reality for safety training to improve performance.

In terms of community engagement, their strategy is centered on education and local economic development. The new Roberto Rocca Technical School in Santa Cruz, Brazil, is scheduled to open in 2025, complementing existing schools in Mexico and Argentina. Additionally, their ProPymes program actively supports the steel value chain by helping approximately 1,800 SMEs (small and medium-sized enterprises), which strengthens local economies and builds goodwill. This is defintely a key differentiator in Latin America.

Next Step: Operations: Review Q4 2025 LTIFR and community investment figures immediately upon release to confirm safety and social performance alignment with capital-intensive expansion plans.

Ternium S.A. (TX) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors

Investment in electric arc furnaces (EAFs) reduces reliance on higher-emission blast furnaces

You can't talk about the steel industry's future without talking about Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs). Ternium S.A. is making a massive, concrete bet on this technology with its new Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) and EAF complex in Pesquería, Mexico. This isn't just a minor upgrade; it's a strategic pivot to lower-carbon steelmaking that will fundamentally change their emissions profile and operational footprint.

The core of this technological shift is the EAF, which uses scrap steel and Direct Reduced Iron instead of the traditional, high-emission blast furnace process. This new DRI-EAF process is projected to emit approximately 40% less CO₂ compared to a conventional blast furnace operation. The total capital expenditure (CapEx) for Ternium in 2024 and 2025 is expected to be between $4.0 billion and $4.1 billion, with a significant portion dedicated to this Pesquería project.

Here's the quick math on the new capacity and emissions impact:

• New EAF Steel Shop Capacity: 2.6 million tons of steel slabs annually.
• New DRI Module Capacity: 2.1 million tons annually.
• Emissions Target: 15% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030 (vs. 2023 baseline).

Automation and AI in mills improve efficiency and reduce conversion costs

The next frontier in steel isn't just the furnace; it's the data flowing around it. Ternium is actively pursuing an 'Industry 4.0' strategy, aiming to consolidate as a S.M.A.R.T. company-that's Social, Mobile, Analytics, Robotics, and the Internet of Things. This focus on automation and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a direct attack on conversion costs and product quality issues.

In the new Pesquería complex, for instance, they are building in 100% remote-operated safety systems from the start. That's a huge step for both safety and efficiency, honestly. Across their existing operations, the drive is to use AI to optimize processes like smelting and rolling, which is where you cut energy waste and ensure consistency. For example, the company has already streamlined its operational backbone in Mexico, moving from 28 separate legacy systems to a single common channel for everything from planning and quality control to billing. This level of integration is what translates into real-world cost savings and faster customer response.

Developing low-carbon steel production pathways (e.g., hydrogen-based) is a long-term necessity

Decarbonization isn't a one-year project; it's a multi-decade technological marathon. Ternium is setting itself up for the long haul by making its new DRI module 'hydrogen-ready.' This means the equipment is designed to transition from using natural gas as a reductant to using green hydrogen when the economics of hydrogen production make sense, likely post-2030.

They are not just waiting for the future, though. The company is actively investing in the R&D needed to bridge that gap and is collaborating with other Techint Group companies like Tenova on developing new carbon capture equipment and hydrogen-based burners. In 2023, Ternium invested $15 million in product research and development, with a clear focus on testing these decarbonization technologies at their Ternium Lab research center. This is defintely a necessary hedge against future carbon taxes and regulatory pressure.

The table below summarizes the key technological investments driving the low-carbon transition:

Technological Pathway	Project/Facility	Status (2025)	Key Metric/Capacity
Direct Reduced Iron (DRI)	Pesquería DRI Module	Under Construction	2.1 million tons annual capacity
Decarbonization Readiness	Pesquería DRI-EAF Complex	Under Construction	Designed to be Hydrogen-Ready
Emissions Reduction	Argentina Wind Farm	Operating (Commissioned 2024)	Replaces 90% of purchased electricity in Argentina
R&D Investment	Ternium Lab	Ongoing	$15 million invested in R&D (2023, focused on decarbonization)

Digital supply chain integration improves inventory management and logistics

A smart mill is only as good as its supply chain. Ternium is pushing for online-integration across its value chain to improve inventory management and cut down on logistics costs-the kind of efficiency gains that drop straight to the bottom line. This focus is all about real-time data and autonomous movement.

The company is rolling out advanced systems like an integrated Transport Managing System (TMS) and Warehouse Management Systems (WMS) to create a 'Logistics Central.' This is a single digital platform that unifies yard management and warehouse operations. The goal is simple: optimize load programming and equipment movement to reduce truck waiting and loading times. Plus, they're automating the physical movement of materials within the plants.

• Warehouse Automation: Implementing WMS in 100% of cranes for autonomous coil seeking and dispatching.
• Customer Interaction: 80% of Ternium customers already use their Webservice platform for more efficient digital interaction.

This level of digital integration is a clear action to support the nearshoring trend, ensuring they can manage the complexity of a faster, more localized supply chain for high-demand sectors like automotive.

Ternium S.A. (TX) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors

Enforcement of anti-dumping duties against foreign steel imports protects local markets.

The legal landscape for steel trade is fundamentally shaped by protectionist measures, and for Ternium S.A., this is a double-edged sword. On one hand, the enforcement of anti-dumping duties (AD) and countervailing duties (CVD) by its operating countries, like Mexico and Brazil, helps shield its domestic market share from unfairly priced imports, especially from China. For example, in June 2024, Brazil adopted a 25% tariff for key products like Hot-Rolled Coil (HRC) and Cold-Rolled Coil (CRC) for one year, which is a significant protective barrier in a major market.

But the real risk in 2025 comes from the United States, a crucial export market for Ternium's Mexican operations. In June 2025, the U.S. tariff hikes took effect, doubling Section 232 tariffs on Mexican steel exports to a punitive 50% duty unless the product meets stringent USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) rules of origin. This forces Ternium to rapidly ensure its supply chain is compliant, a complex legal and operational task. The company's new $3.2 billion Direct Reduction Iron-Electric Arc Furnace (DRI-EAF) plant in Pesquería is a direct strategic response to this, designed to meet the 'melted and poured' requirement and avoid the 50% tariff.

Here's a quick look at the 2025 tariff environment in key regions:

• US-Mexico Exports: 50% Section 232 tariff on non-USMCA compliant steel (effective June 2025).
• Mexico Domestic: Import tariffs increased to 25-35% indefinitely (effective April 2025).
• Brazil Domestic: 25% tariff quota system on HRC, CRC, etc. (effective June 2024, relevant for 2025).

Stricter national and international labor laws require constant compliance audits.

Operating across Latin America means dealing with a constantly evolving patchwork of labor regulations. You're not just managing payroll; you're navigating new social mandates that directly impact operating costs and efficiency. In 2025, the trend is toward reduced working hours and heightened employer obligations, particularly in Ternium's core markets.

For instance, in Colombia, the maximum working week is set to drop to 44 hours starting July 15, 2025, down from 46 hours. This requires careful workforce scheduling and could increase overtime costs. In Mexico, the government has proposed a new law to reduce the work week to 40 hours, which, if passed in 2025, would necessitate a major operational shift. Honestly, managing these changes without a hiccup is a huge undertaking.

The financial risk here is real, even for minor infractions. In Mexico, non-compliance with certain employer obligations under the Federal Labor Law can trigger fines ranging from 5,428.50 to 162,855 Mexican pesos (approximately $330 to $9,900 USD) per violation in 2024, a range that adjusts with inflation. Constant compliance audits are defintely mandatory to avoid compounding these penalties.

Changes to corporate tax codes in operating countries (e.g., Mexico, Brazil) affect net income.

Tax law shifts are not theoretical risks; they hit the bottom line immediately. Ternium S.A.'s 2025 fiscal year results clearly show the volatility introduced by these changes, particularly in Brazil. In its third quarter of 2025, Ternium reported a net loss of $270 million, which included a massive $405 million income tax charge related to a write-down of deferred tax assets at Usiminas, its Brazilian subsidiary. That's a huge, non-cash hit to net income, driven by a change in the expected future recoverability of tax assets.

Looking ahead, Brazil's comprehensive tax reform (Complementary Law No. 214/2025), approved in January 2025, will eventually simplify the system by introducing a dual Value-Added Tax (VAT) structure. But the transition is gradual, running from 2026 to 2032, meaning the company must concurrently manage the old, complex system and prepare for the new one. Also, a Provisional Measure in Brazil (No. 1,303/2025) increased the taxation of Interest on Net Equity (INE) payments from 15% to 20%, effective January 1, 2026, which will impact future corporate repatriation strategies.

Legal/Tax Event (2025)	Country	Direct Financial Impact (2025)	Strategic Implication
Deferred Tax Asset Write-Down	Brazil (Usiminas)	$405 million income tax charge (Q3 2025).	Significant non-cash reduction in Net Income; reflects tax uncertainty.
US Section 232 Tariff Hike	US (on Mexico exports)	Avoidance of 50% duty via USMCA compliance.	Accelerates $3.2B investment in USMCA-compliant DRI-EAF plant.
Ongoing Litigation Provision	Global/Usiminas	$32 million loss from quarterly provision update (Q3 2025).	Illustrates ongoing cost of legal complexity and M&A disputes.

Compliance with US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations is mandatory for NYSE listing.

As a foreign private issuer (FPI) with American Depositary Shares (ADSs) listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Ternium S.A. is subject to the stringent oversight of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This means mandatory compliance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, including filing annual reports on Form 20-F and current reports on Form 6-K.

The key is maintaining the highest standards in financial reporting (IFRS) and corporate governance, including compliance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act's internal control requirements. Any material non-compliance, even a delay in filing, can lead to a delisting threat, which would severely restrict access to U.S. capital markets. The company must also stay on top of evolving regulatory mandates, such as the SEC's shifting stance on climate-related disclosures, where the SEC withdrew its legal defense of the climate change rule in 2025. That's a subtle but important regulatory signal that affects disclosure strategy.

The SEC compliance framework is the necessary cost of doing business on the world's most liquid exchange. It's a non-negotiable legal anchor for the company's financial credibility.

Ternium S.A. (TX) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors

Carbon border adjustments (like the EU's CBAM) could impact export competitiveness.

You need to understand that while the European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) isn't hitting your bottom line with a tax yet, the clock is ticking. The transitional period, which requires only reporting, runs until December 31, 2025. This means that starting January 1, 2026, the financial obligation-the actual carbon cost-will begin for steel imports into the EU.

Ternium S.A. is a major player in the Americas, but global trade policies like this still matter because they set a new standard for carbon accountability. The risk here is two-fold: direct cost on any EU exports post-2025, and the broader competitive pressure as other markets start demanding lower-carbon steel. Your competitors are already reporting their embedded emissions data now, and you defintely need to be ready to pay the carbon price in 2026 if your production is carbon-intensive compared to the EU benchmark.

Increased regulatory pressure to reduce Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions.

The pressure to decarbonize is a core strategic challenge, and Ternium is responding with significant capital allocation. The company has set a firm, revised target to reduce its emissions intensity by 15% by 2030, using a 2023 baseline. This target is comprehensive, covering Scope 1 (direct), Scope 2 (purchased energy), and even critical Scope 3 emissions (Categories 1 and 10), which is a sign of serious commitment.

Here's the quick math on their key 2025-era actions:

• The new 99 MW wind farm in Argentina, fully operational in early 2025, is a game-changer for Scope 2, replacing 90% of the purchased electricity for Argentine operations.
• This single project is expected to prevent approximately 111,000 tons of CO₂ emissions annually.
• The new Direct Reduced Iron-Electric Arc Furnace (DRI-EAF) steelmaking project in Pesquería, Mexico, while starting in 2026, represents a massive forward investment in lower-carbon technology.

Ternium is investing heavily to move away from older, higher-emission methods. They invested $120 million in environmental projects in 2024 alone, and the ongoing construction of the new steel shop in Pesquería is a clear action to transition toward lower-carbon steelmaking.

Water usage restrictions in drought-prone areas affect steel production capacity.

Water scarcity is a near-term operational risk, especially in Mexico's northern states like Nuevo León, where the Pesquería industrial center is located. This region is classified as water-stressed, and industrial operations are facing restrictions as the government prioritizes human consumption.

To mitigate this production risk, Ternium's strategy focuses on water reuse and reducing reliance on local sources. For instance, the steel facilities in Mexico already use treated sewage water to significantly cut down on groundwater extraction.

The company is actively developing a comprehensive water plan for its Guerrero and Apodaca facilities to further reduce groundwater use and enhance discharge control. This is not just a compliance issue; it's about securing operational continuity in a resource-constrained environment.

Waste management and tailings dam safety require significant capital expenditure.

The safety of iron ore tailings dams and the management of industrial waste are non-negotiable, high-risk areas that demand substantial capital expenditure (CapEx). Following major incidents in the industry, regulatory scrutiny and public expectation have intensified across Latin America.

Ternium is tackling this through a multi-year environmental investment plan totaling $400 million between 2024 and 2030. This funding is specifically earmarked to enhance environmental performance, which includes improvements in waste management and the integral program for critical steel production processes and iron ore tailings dams.

This commitment is part of the larger 2025 capital expenditure guidance of US$2.5-2.6 billion, showing that environmental safety is a significant component of the overall investment strategy.

Environmental Investment Focus	Financial Commitment / Metric	Timeline / Baseline
Emissions Reduction Target (Scope 1, 2, 3)	15% reduction in intensity	By 2030 vs. 2023 baseline
Renewable Energy Investment (Argentina)	99 MW wind farm capacity	Fully operational by early 2025
Annual CO₂ Emissions Avoided (Argentina)	Approximately 111,000 tons	Annual impact from wind farm
Multi-Year Environmental CapEx Plan	$400 million	2024-2030 period
Water Strategy in Mexico	Use of treated sewage water	Ongoing, with new plan for Guerrero/Apodaca facilities