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monday.com Ltd. (MNDY): PESTLE Analysis [Nov-2025 Updated] |
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You're looking for the unvarnished truth about monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) as we close out 2025, moving past the marketing fluff to the core risks and opportunities. The short answer is they're navigating a complex geopolitical and regulatory landscape while aggressively monetizing their AI lead. They are positioned well, but the regulatory compliance costs are defintely rising. The company is projecting full-year 2025 revenue up to $1,228 million with a non-GAAP operating income as high as $169 million, showing they can grow efficiently even as they face intense competition and new laws like the EU AI Act. Let's dig into the Political, Economic, Sociological, Technological, Legal, and Environmental factors that will shape their stock price and strategy next year.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Political factors
You're looking at monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) as a global growth story, but you can't ignore the political reality of its Israeli foundation. The political landscape, particularly in the Middle East, acts as a persistent, non-financial risk that requires careful consideration, even as the company delivers strong 2025 results.
The core takeaway is that while the company's diversified global operations and strong financial performance-like the projected full-year 2025 revenue of up to $1,229 million-have largely insulated it from immediate business disruption, the geopolitical environment creates tangible risks around talent and international contracts.
Geopolitical risk from being an Israeli-founded company.
The primary political risk for monday.com stems from its headquarters and significant R&D presence in Tel Aviv, Israel. The company explicitly lists 'risks related to the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas and escalations thereof' in its Q2 2025 financial filings, a necessary disclosure for investors.
This risk isn't just theoretical; it impacts business forecasting. For instance, management stated they factored in 'geopolitical tensions' when setting their 2025 revenue guidance. While the Israeli tech sector showed remarkable resilience in 2025, with exit values surpassing $70 billion, the political premium on the stock remains a factor. The Bank of Israel, in November 2025, noted a 'somewhat stabilizing geopolitical situation' but cautioned that instability persists, which keeps the country's risk premium elevated.
Talent retention challenges due to military reserve call-ups impacting the R&D workforce.
The Israeli military reserve system poses a direct, operational risk to the R&D (Research & Development) pipeline. A high percentage of the Israeli tech workforce, which is central to monday.com's product innovation, are reservists and subject to call-ups. While the company's global workforce was projected to reach nearly 3,000 employees in 2025, an earlier period of conflict saw approximately 7% of the global workforce, or about 100 employees, drafted.
Here's the quick math: if the company's Q2 2025 headcount of 2,900 employees were to see a similar 7% call-up rate, that's over 200 employees temporarily removed from their roles, many of whom are high-value R&D staff. This can slow development velocity, especially for key initiatives like their new AI-powered features, which are critical for future growth.
- Manage R&D velocity: Temporary loss of R&D staff due to reserve duty can delay new product launches, like the AI-powered products that are a core part of the 2025 strategy.
- Increased costs: Higher R&D spending was already a factor in the Q2 2025 GAAP operating loss of $11.6 million.
- Recruitment pressure: The company must aggressively hire to maintain its expansion plan, which projected a 30% workforce increase in 2025.
Increased need for government support to enhance Israel's global innovation image.
The Israeli government is actively working to mitigate the political risks and sustain the 'Startup Nation' image, which indirectly benefits monday.com's global standing. This support is coming in the form of significant financial and regulatory incentives.
The government is backing the tech sector with a $250 million national Artificial Intelligence (AI) program. Also, in November 2025, a new tax reform was introduced to simplify processes and provide regulatory certainty, specifically aiming to reverse any 'brain drain' and encourage both local and foreign fund investments. This is a defintely positive signal to international investors.
The Israel Innovation Authority offers substantial financial grants to encourage international collaboration, covering 20% to 50% of the approved R&D budget for up to 24 months.
| Government Support Mechanism (2025) | Targeted Area | Approximate Value/Benefit |
|---|---|---|
| National AI Program | AI R&D / Innovation | $250 million in government backing |
| Tax Reform for High-Tech | Talent Retention & Investment | Simplified tax processes and regulatory certainty |
| International R&D Collaboration Program | Global Market Access & Innovation | Financial grant of 20% to 50% of R&D budget |
| YOZMA Fund (Institutional Investment Catalyst) | Venture Capital Funding | Expected to inject approximately $1 billion into VC funds (2024-2026) |
Risk of international contract scrutiny or data sovereignty concerns in politically sensitive global markets.
For a global SaaS (Software as a Service) provider like monday.com, the political factor translates directly into data sovereignty (where data is stored and processed) and compliance risk, especially in Europe and other politically sensitive regions.
The company has proactively managed this by offering data localization options. Enterprise customers in the European Union (EU) Data Region can opt to have their customer data solely physically hosted within the EU in AWS data centers in Germany. This is a critical mitigation strategy against potential contract scrutiny or political pressure from EU customers concerned about data access under non-EU jurisdictions.
The company's global privacy program uses the EU's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) as its 'north star'. This commitment to a high standard of data protection helps to preempt political and regulatory friction in key markets, which is essential given that Israel accounts for only about 5% of its revenue.
The company must continue to invest heavily in compliance and data governance to ensure its Israeli origin does not become a political liability in securing large, government, or sensitive enterprise contracts worldwide.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic factors
Full-year 2025 revenue guidance is strong at $1,226 million to $1,228 million.
You need to see past the headlines and look at the core financial engine. monday.com's economic resilience is defintely clear in its updated full-year 2025 guidance. The company is projecting total revenue to land between $1,226 million and $1,228 million, representing a solid year-over-year growth of approximately 26%. This isn't just growth; it's a testament to the platform's stickiness and its success in expanding its footprint within existing accounts, even as the broader economic climate remains choppy.
Here's the quick math: a nearly 26% growth rate on a billion-dollar-plus revenue base shows they are successfully navigating the current environment. This robust top-line figure is the foundation for their continued investment in new products like monday sales CRM and monday dev, which are key to future revenue streams.
Non-GAAP operating income is projected to be $167 million to $169 million, reflecting efficient growth.
The real story of 2025 is the shift to efficient, profitable growth. Management is guiding for a Non-GAAP operating income of $167 million to $169 million for the full year, translating to an operating margin of roughly 14%. This is a significant step up in profitability and shows disciplined cost management alongside aggressive revenue expansion. They are scaling the business responsibly by balancing investment in innovation-like their AI-powered tools-with strong operational discipline.
The company also expects adjusted free cash flow to be between $330 million and $334 million, a margin of about 27%. That's a huge buffer. You want to see cash generation like that in an uncertain economic cycle; it means they can self-fund growth and weather any short-term macro headwinds without needing external capital.
| 2025 Full-Year Financial Guidance (as of Q3 2025) | Projected Value | Key Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1,226 million to $1,228 million | Strong top-line growth (approx. 26% Y/Y) |
| Non-GAAP Operating Income | $167 million to $169 million | Focus on profitable, efficient scaling (approx. 14% margin) |
| Adjusted Free Cash Flow | $330 million to $334 million | Significant cash generation (approx. 27% margin) |
Customer retention remains healthy with Net Dollar Retention (NDR) stable at 111%.
Net Dollar Retention (NDR) is the single most important metric for a subscription business in a tight economy, and monday.com's remains healthy at 111% overall. This figure is a trailing four-quarters weighted average and is expected to remain stable for the full fiscal year 2025.
What this tells you is that existing customers are spending more than the revenue lost from customers who churned or downgraded. The expansion in their larger customer cohorts is even more impressive:
- NDR for customers with more than 10 users: 115%.
- NDR for customers with more than $50,000 in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): 117%.
The larger customers are adopting multiple products and expanding seats, which mitigates the risk of slower new customer acquisition.
Macroeconomic caution is lengthening sales cycles, especially for large enterprise deals.
To be fair, the macro environment isn't without its risks. The persistent economic caution, driven by factors like elevated interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty, is definitely impacting the sales process. Specifically, the sales cycles-the time it takes to close a deal-are lengthening, particularly for large enterprise deals.
This is a natural consequence of the company's successful strategy to move upmarket, where deals are larger but involve more stakeholders and greater scrutiny on IT budgets. Management has acknowledged this, noting that the more measured near-term revenue guidance reflects these timing effects and a reallocation of investment toward upmarket channels that have longer cycles but yield a higher-quality pipeline. This means some revenue is simply being pushed out, not lost entirely. It's a timing risk, not a demand collapse.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors
You're looking at the social landscape for monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) in 2025, and the core takeaway is simple: the company's Work OS (Work Operating System) is perfectly positioned to solve the two biggest human capital problems right now-employee burnout and the fear of AI-driven change.
The global workforce is stressed, and the C-suite is still struggling to integrate new technology without adding more complexity. monday.com's platform, which is designed to reduce communication chaos and unify work, directly addresses these critical, near-term social risks and opportunities.
High demand for tools that address rising employee burnout and declining productivity in the modern workforce.
The burnout crisis is not just a human resources issue; it's a massive financial risk. In 2025, an alarming 82% of employees are at risk of burnout, a significant escalation from previous years. This chronic stress translates directly to the bottom line, costing businesses an estimated $322 billion annually in lost productivity. Honestly, that's a staggering number.
The platform's value proposition-streamlining workflows and centralizing communication-is a direct countermeasure to the chaos fueling this burnout. When work is clearer, stress drops. Plus, 83% of employees would consider leaving their current employer due to a lack of focus on wellbeing, which makes a tool that genuinely simplifies their day a powerful retention asset.
Here's the quick math on the problem monday.com is solving:
| Social Factor | 2025 Impact/Cost | MNDY Solution Alignment |
|---|---|---|
| Employees at Risk of Burnout | 82% of employees | Centralizes work to reduce digital fatigue and long hours. |
| Annual Lost Productivity Cost | $322 billion | Drives greater efficiency and process automation. |
| Employee Turnover Risk (Lack of Wellbeing Focus) | 83% would consider leaving | Provides transparency and structure to manage workloads better. |
Growing need for 'change readiness' programs to help employees adopt new AI tools and workflows.
The push for Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption is real-85% of executives plan to increase AI investments this year. But the race to adopt is outpacing companies' ability to absorb the change, especially at the human level. Only 42% of organizations feel very prepared to manage the disruption. What this estimate hides is that employees are often ready for the tech, but leaders are not steering fast enough, which stalls progress.
monday.com is capitalizing on the need for seamless, low-friction AI integration. They launched a Responsible AI Program in 2024 focused on transparency and user control. Critically, they integrate AI directly into existing workflows, which is key because 77% of survey respondents said that separate AI tools actually added to their workload. You don't want another app; you want a better workflow.
The platform capitalizes on the trend toward cross-functional work and reducing communication chaos.
The modern enterprise is fundamentally cross-functional, but most legacy software creates silos. monday.com's core product, the Work OS, is designed to be the unified digital ecosystem that companies in 2025 are desperately trying to build. Success with AI, for instance, requires a 'Cross-Functional AI Strategy' and alignment across all business units.
The platform's ability to adapt to diverse industries and use cases within a single environment allows its customer base of approximately 245,000 organizations to reimagine how work gets done. This unified approach is what cuts through the communication chaos that plagues productivity, giving teams a single source of truth instead of a dozen disparate tools. It's a simple fix for a complex problem.
Increasing focus on diversity and inclusion, with 61% of 2024 management promotions being women.
A strong commitment to Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) is a significant social factor that impacts talent acquisition and brand reputation. monday.com has made clear, measurable progress here, which is a major positive signal to investors and potential employees.
In 2024, the company's ESG Report highlighted that 61 percent of management promotions were women, nearly double the share from the previous year. That's a defintely strong move against the industry trend of the 'broken rung' at the first step up to manager. They also formalized a Global Inclusion Strategy in 2024, embedding inclusivity across the organization with expanded data collection and measurable goals.
The focus is on building an equitable and collaborative global workplace, which is a non-negotiable for attracting top talent in 2025.
- 61% of 2024 management promotions were women, nearly doubling the prior year's share.
- Formalized a Global Inclusion Strategy in 2024 with expanded data collection.
- Prioritized employee wellness, including both physical and mental health.
- Provided $119 million in product licenses to nearly 20,000 nonprofits.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors
The technological landscape for monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) in 2025 is defined by a high-stakes race to integrate Artificial Intelligence (AI) into the core workflow, a battle where the company's low-code/no-code foundation is both a massive strength and a potential vulnerability against tech giants. You need to understand that the speed of AI adoption is now the primary driver of platform stickiness and future revenue.
Aggressive AI productization with monday magic and Agent Factory for workflow automation
monday.com is aggressively pushing its AI-first vision, moving the platform from merely managing work to actually doing the work. This strategy centers on three pillars: AI Blocks, Product Power-ups, and the Digital Workforce, which includes the new Agent Factory. Agent Factory is a standalone, no-code builder that lets any user create personalized AI agents-digital workers-to automate complex, multi-step processes. It democratizes AI agent creation. Honestly, this is a smart move to bypass the need for expensive in-house development teams.
The utility is already showing up in hard numbers. For example, a sales team's custom AI agent recently handled 4,500 calls and made 450 appointments in a three-month period, generating 220 leads. That's a huge efficiency gain, plus potential customers saw a 90% reduction in response time.
The company's core AI features, branded as monday magic, monday vibe, and monday sidekick, are now fully available to customers, enabling things like instant summarization, content generation, and proactive support.
AI-driven actions on the platform saw a 233% quarter-over-quarter adoption surge in Q1 2025
The market is clearly embracing the AI features. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 (Q1 2025), customers performed over 10 million AI-driven actions across the platform. Here's the quick math: this represents a 233% surge in AI action adoption quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). This level of engagement is a critical leading indicator, showing that AI isn't just a marketing bullet point; it's driving real user behavior. The company is monetizing this via a flexible, consumption-based pricing model for AI Blocks, which includes 500 free AI Credits per month for every plan, scaling up to enterprise buckets of 250,000 credits for high-usage organizations.
Core strength remains the low-code/no-code Work OS, democratizing software creation for non-technical users
The fundamental strength remains the Work Operating System (Work OS). This low-code/no-code platform is designed for the non-technical majority, which is key since approximately 70% of monday.com's nearly 250,000 customers are non-tech companies. This ease-of-use principle is what makes AI adoption so fast. You don't need a developer to build a new workflow; you just use the visual building blocks and AI tools.
This approach creates a powerful flywheel: easy adoption leads to more users, which generates more data, which makes the AI smarter, and that, in turn, makes the platform even more valuable for the non-technical user. It's a simple, but defintely effective, market strategy.
Intense competition from Microsoft, Atlassian, and other large firms integrating AI into their core product suites
The biggest near-term risk is the immense competitive pressure from deeply entrenched incumbents. Microsoft and Atlassian are not standing still; they are embedding powerful AI into their massive user bases, creating a platform lock-in effect that monday.com must fight against.
Microsoft is leveraging its dominance with Microsoft Copilot for Microsoft 365, an AI layer embedded across Outlook, Word, Excel, and Teams. It is a powerful offering, used by 90% of the Fortune 500. The add-on is priced at $30 per user per month for enterprise plans, a direct, high-cost competitor to monday.com's AI monetization strategy.
Atlassian, with its $4.4 billion in annual revenue (4.4x monday.com's $1 billion ARR), is integrating Atlassian Intelligence (including Rovo) across Jira and Confluence. They are justifying price increases-up to 10% on Enterprise cloud plans effective October 15, 2025-by bundling in these new AI enhancements. This table illustrates the competitive AI positioning:
| Competitor | Core AI Product (2025) | Pricing/Monetization Model | Strategic Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| monday.com Ltd. | monday magic, Agent Factory | Consumption-based (AI Blocks/Credits) | Low-code/No-code Work OS; Democratizing AI Agent Creation |
| Microsoft | Microsoft Copilot for Microsoft 365 | Subscription Add-on: $30 per user per month | Deep integration into Office Suite; Enterprise-grade security and scale |
| Atlassian | Atlassian Intelligence (Rovo) | Bundled into Premium/Enterprise Cloud Plans (Price increase up to 10% in Oct 2025) | Developer/IT/Service Management workflows; Ecosystem lock-in |
The action for monday.com is clear: keep innovating on the Agent Factory to create a differentiated AI product that can perform end-to-end work, something the large incumbents are still catching up to.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors
Compliance Burden is Increasing with New US State Data Privacy Laws
You are navigating a fragmented and costly US data privacy landscape, and 2025 has defintely made it more complex. With no federal law, the compliance burden for a global platform like monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is escalating as states enact their own comprehensive privacy statutes. Eight new state laws took effect in 2025, adding layers of complexity to the existing baseline set by the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA).
The new laws in Delaware and New Jersey are prime examples of this compliance creep. These aren't minor tweaks; they impose new obligations on how you handle consumer data for your US customer base. For instance, the Delaware Personal Data Privacy Act (DPDPA), effective January 1, 2025, applies to any entity processing the personal data of at least 35,000 consumers in the state. The New Jersey Data Protection Act (NJDPA), effective January 15, 2025, is even more stringent for high-risk processing, requiring a Data Protection Assessment (DPA) before you start. This means you need to constantly map your data flows and update your privacy notices across all 50 states.
Here's the quick math on the new state-level thresholds that trigger compliance for a company like monday.com:
| State Law (Effective 2025) | Applicability Threshold (One of two must be met) | Cure Period (As of 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware Personal Data Privacy Act (DPDPA) | Process data of 35,000+ consumers OR 10,000+ consumers and derive >20% revenue from data sales. | 60 days (Expires Dec 31, 2025) |
| New Jersey Data Protection Act (NJDPA) | Process data of 100,000+ consumers OR 25,000+ consumers and derive any revenue from data sales. | 30 days (Expires July 15, 2026) |
The EU AI Act Mandates Transparency and Risk Assessment
The EU AI Act is a global game-changer, and its obligations for General-Purpose AI (GPAI) models kicked in on August 2, 2025. Since monday.com has heavily invested in its AI capabilities, with customers completing over 26 million AI-driven actions as of the end of Q1 2025, this is a critical regulatory milestone. The Act requires providers of GPAI models-defined as those trained with over $10^{23}$ FLOP and capable of generating language-to comply with new transparency and copyright rules.
Specifically, you must now:
- Create and maintain detailed technical documentation for the AI Office.
- Provide a summary of the data used for model training, especially for copyright compliance.
- For models presenting systemic risk (exceeding $10^{25}$ FLOP), you must notify the Commission and ensure robust safety and security.
This is a significant operational lift. You have to prove your AI is safe, transparent, and compliant with copyright, and you need to do it not just for the EU, but across your global product suite to maintain a consistent enterprise-grade offering.
Enterprise-Grade Privacy and Zero-Retention Standards for AI
The good news is that monday.com is already ahead of the curve by building its Responsible AI Program on a foundation of enterprise-grade privacy and security. This proactive approach mitigates a lot of the new AI Act and state law risk. The core of your defense is the commitment to Zero Data Retention for AI processing.
This means your AI model providers, which include managed APIs from Microsoft Azure and AWS Bedrock, do not store or use customer inputs or outputs for model training. Plus, all customer data is protected with enterprise-grade encryption, using TLS 1.3 for data in transit and AES-256 for data at rest. This zero-retention policy is the clearest way to demonstrate compliance with the spirit of data minimization required by global regulations.
Adherence to GDPR and CCPA as the Global Privacy Baseline
GDPR and CCPA remain the non-negotiable baseline for your global privacy program, and the financial stakes are higher than ever in 2025. Enforcement is not slowing down. The total amount of GDPR fines issued since 2018 has surpassed €4 billion as of 2025, with major penalties against tech giants like Meta and Amazon. The maximum fine is €20 million or 4% of annual global turnover-whichever is higher. In the US, the CCPA poses an aggregate risk, with fines up to $7,500 per intentional violation and statutory damages of $100 to $750 per consumer per incident, with no ceiling on the total fine. This makes non-compliance a catastrophic financial risk.
Your existing compliance framework, which includes mechanisms for data subject rights (access, deletion, portability) and cross-border data transfer safeguards like the EU-U.S. Data Privacy Framework, is what keeps you in the game. But still, the sheer volume of new state and international laws means your compliance team must constantly audit for nuanced differences like the specific consent requirements for minors in New Jersey or the expanded definition of sensitive data in Delaware.
Next Step: Legal and Product teams: Finalize the EU AI Act compliance documentation for all GPAI models and conduct a gap analysis against the Maryland Online Data Privacy Act (effective October 1, 2025) requirements by the end of Q4 2025.
monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors
You need to see the environmental risk and opportunity landscape for monday.com Ltd. as a Software as a Service (SaaS) provider through a realist's lens. The core takeaway is that while the company's operational footprint (Scope 1 and 2) is small, the pressure from investors and regulators is shifting to the supply chain (Scope 3), which is where the vast majority of their carbon impact lies. The good news is they are already making measurable progress on efficiency.
Commitment to sustainability shown by a decline in total carbon emissions per dollar of revenue in 2024.
The most important metric for a high-growth company is decoupling revenue growth from emissions growth. monday.com achieved this in fiscal year 2024. While the company's total Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across all scopes increased year-over-year, their efficiency improved significantly because revenue grew faster than emissions. This is defintely a strong signal of sustainable scaling.
Here's the quick math based on their 2024 ESG Report (published June 2025) and fiscal results:
| Metric | 2023 Data | 2024 Data | Change |
| Total GHG Emissions (tCO2e) | 51,251 | 59,947 | +16.97% |
| Fiscal Year Revenue | ~$730.8 million | $972.0 million | +33.00% |
| Emissions per $1M Revenue (tCO2e/$M) | ~70.13 | ~61.67 | -12.06% |
The total emissions per dollar of revenue declined by approximately 12.06% in 2024. This shows they are using their capital more efficiently from a carbon perspective. What this estimate hides, however, is the difficulty of continuing this trend as they move to tackle the much larger Scope 3 emissions.
SaaS model inherently has a lower carbon footprint than traditional on-premise software.
The Software as a Service (SaaS) business model is structurally advantageous from an environmental perspective compared to traditional on-premise software, which requires customers to run their own energy-intensive servers. For monday.com, the bulk of their environmental impact is not in their direct operations (Scope 1 and 2), but in their value chain (Scope 3), which includes purchased goods and services, and employee travel.
The 2024 data clearly illustrates this point:
- Scope 1 (Direct Emissions): Only 155 tCO2e
- Scope 2 (Purchased Energy): Only 1,227 tCO2e
- Scope 3 (Value Chain): The remaining 58,565 tCO2e, which is over 97.7% of their total footprint.
This means their biggest environmental risk isn't their own offices; it's the carbon intensity of their cloud providers (Amazon Web Services), their hardware, and business travel. That's a supply chain problem, not a lights-and-air-conditioning problem.
Global offices running on 100% renewable energy and overall renewable energy sourcing.
The company has made concrete, high-impact moves on the energy front for its physical offices. The global offices in Sydney, Warsaw, and London are already running on 100% renewable energy. This is a quick win that addresses a key part of their Scope 2 footprint.
More broadly, the company is increasing its overall renewable energy use. In 2024, the percentage of total energy sourced from renewables reached 13%, representing a 50% increase from the 2023 figure of 8.3%. This is a strong, tangible step, but still leaves a long way to go to decarbonize the entire operation.
Growing investor and customer pressure to report against the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) framework.
Investor and regulatory scrutiny on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance is not a future trend; it's a current expectation. monday.com is already responding by measuring its ESG performance against the industry-specific Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) framework.
Furthermore, they are working toward formal alignment with the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), with plans to formalize their SBTi-aligned reduction targets by the end of 2025. This commitment is crucial because it signals to the market that their carbon reduction goals are credible and aligned with the Paris Agreement's climate science. The market rewards this transparency and rigor.
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