Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Bundle
You're looking at Campbell Soup Company (CPB) and wondering if this consumer staple stock is a safe harbor for your capital or just a slow-moving value trap. Honestly, it's a little of both right now, and the fiscal year 2025 numbers tell a complex story you need to understand before making a move. The headline figures show Net Sales climbing 6% to a strong $10.3 billion, and the company generated a respectable $1.1 billion in operating cash flow, which looks great for dividend coverage, currently at $0.39 per share quarterly. But as a seasoned analyst, I defintely see the cracks: that top-line growth was heavily acquisition-driven, with core organic net sales actually decreasing by 1%, a clear signal of volume and mix pressures in the base business. This divergence is exactly why the analyst consensus is a cautious "Hold" right now, forcing us to look past the acquisition bump and see if the underlying business can stabilize its Snacks division and manage the expected tariff headwinds in fiscal 2026.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is actually making its money, because the headline growth number hides a critical split between organic performance and acquisition impact. For fiscal year 2025, Campbell Soup Company reported total net sales of approximately $10.3 billion. The reported year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth was a solid 6%, but the organic net sales-which strips out the effect of acquisitions like Sovos Brands-actually decreased by 1%. That difference is the key to understanding the company's near-term health.
Here's the quick math: the 6% reported growth was largely driven by the Sovos Brands acquisition, which contributed an estimated 2% to the full-year net sales. So, while the top line looks good, the core business (organic sales) faced volume/mix headwinds, meaning they sold fewer products or a less profitable mix of products. This tells me that the growth engine is currently M&A (mergers and acquisitions), not underlying market demand for the base portfolio.
The company operates through two main segments, and their performance divergence is stark. As of the third quarter of fiscal 2025 (3Q25), the Meals & Beverages segment was the primary revenue driver, contributing 59% of the total, with the Snacks segment accounting for the remaining 41%. This split shows a reliance on the traditional comfort food categories.
The segment dynamics are where the risk and opportunity map out:
- Meals & Beverages: This segment, which includes soups, sauces, broths, and beverages, surged by 15% year-over-year in 3Q25. This strength reflects a real-time consumer trend of cooking more at home to save money, a tailwind for brands like Rao's, which is approaching $1 billion in sales.
- Snacks: The Snacks segment, covering crackers and baked goods, deteriorated by 8% year-over-year in 3Q25, weathering category softness. This segment's underperformance is the main drag on organic sales.
Geographically, Campbell Soup Company's revenue is overwhelmingly concentrated in the US, which presents a limit on international diversification. Approximately 93.8% of the company's revenue comes from the United States, with only about 6.2% from non-US regions. That domestic concentration makes the company highly sensitive to US consumer sentiment and retail dynamics. The Sovos Brands acquisition, completed in March 2024, is the most significant change, adding brands like Rao's to the portfolio, which is the main reason the Meals & Beverages segment is outperforming.
Here is the breakdown of the major revenue components for your quick reference:
| Metric | Value (FY2025) | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Total Net Sales | $10.3 billion | Driven by acquisition, not organic volume. |
| Reported YoY Growth | 6% | Includes the boost from the Sovos Brands acquisition. |
| Organic YoY Growth | -1% | Core business volume/mix declined. |
| Meals & Beverages Contribution (3Q25) | 59% | Strongest segment, up 15% YoY in 3Q25. |
| Snacks Contribution (3Q25) | 41% | Weakest segment, down 8% YoY in 3Q25. |
What this estimate hides is the long-term integration risk of Sovos Brands; if they can't defintely maintain the momentum of Rao's, the organic growth problem re-emerges. For a deeper dive into the company's valuation, check out Breaking Down Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Profitability Metrics
You need a clear picture of Campbell Soup Company (CPB)'s profitability, not just the top-line revenue growth. The direct takeaway is that while the company's gross margin remains strong against the industry, operating and net margins are under significant pressure in fiscal year 2025, largely due to acquisition costs and persistent inflation.
For the twelve months ending July 31, 2025, Campbell Soup Company reported a gross profit of $3.119 billion, a 4.98% increase year-over-year. This is your first line of defense against cost inflation. The reported gross profit margin for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 stood at 30.4%. That's a powerful number, especially when you compare it to the broader food processing industry, which saw an average gross profit margin of just 21.59% in the first quarter of 2025. Honestly, that difference shows Campbell Soup Company's pricing power and brand strength, which is defintely a core asset.
The real story, though, is what happens further down the income statement. The trailing twelve months (TTM) operating margin as of November 2025 was only 7.85%. This margin, which is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) divided by sales, has been trending lower. The pressure is clear: cost inflation and elevated operating expenses are eating into that healthy gross profit. For example, in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, adjusted gross profit margin decreased by 110 basis points to 30.1%, even with supply chain productivity improvements.
The net profit margin-what's left after all expenses, interest, and taxes-reveals the most volatility and risk. In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, the net margin contracted substantially to a low of 2.67%. This sharp drop, a contraction of 294 basis points year-over-year, was largely due to higher operating expenses and restructuring charges. That's a critical number to watch, as it shows how non-core operating costs and financing decisions impact the bottom line. Here's a quick snapshot of the key margins:
| Metric (FY2025 Data) | Value (Approx./Q4/TTM) | Industry Comparison (Q1 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $3.119 billion | N/A |
| Gross Profit Margin (Q4) | 30.4% | 21.59% (Food Processing) |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 7.85% | Not Publicly Available |
| Net Profit Margin (Q3) | 2.67% | Not Publicly Available |
To be fair, management is fighting back on operational efficiency. They are executing a $250 million cost-cutting program through 2028, and by the third quarter of 2025, they had already realized $110 million in savings. Plus, they are investing $230 million through fiscal 2026 to modernize plants and improve supply chain competitiveness. These are clear actions to stabilize the margins. You can read more about the company's shareholder base in Exploring Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
- Monitor gross margin for sustained price-cost balance.
- Track the progress of the $250 million cost-cutting program.
- Watch net margin for stabilization post-acquisition charges.
The near-term risk remains that persistent cost inflation and integration costs from the Sovos Brands acquisition continue to weigh on the operating and net profit lines, despite the strong gross margin performance.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Campbell Soup Company (CPB) and wondering how they pay for those big acquisitions and keep the dividend coming. The direct takeaway is that Campbell Soup Company is currently operating with a significantly leveraged balance sheet, driven by its strategic M&A activity, with a Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.85 as of July 2025, which is more than double the industry average.
This level of financial leverage (the use of borrowed money to finance assets) is a conscious choice. For the quarter ending July 2025, Campbell Soup Company reported total debt of approximately $7.212 billion. This debt is heavily weighted toward long-term obligations, which is typical for a stable consumer staples business looking to lock in lower rates for long-duration assets.
- Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation: $6.354 billion
- Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation: $858 million
- Total Stockholders' Equity: $3.902 billion
Here's the quick math on the leverage: The Debt-to-Equity ratio, which compares total debt to total shareholders' equity, stands at 1.85 (or 185%) for the July 2025 quarter. To be fair, this is a high reading for the sector. The average D/E ratio for the Packaged Foods & Meats industry is closer to 0.71, meaning Campbell Soup Company is using substantially more debt relative to equity than its peers. This signals a higher risk profile, but also the potential for higher returns on equity if the debt-funded assets perform well.
The recent spike in leverage is directly tied to the acquisition of Sovos Brands, which closed in early 2024. To fund that deal, Campbell Soup Company was defintely active in the debt markets. In March 2024, the company executed a substantial $2.5 billion senior notes offering to repay initial borrowings, and followed up in October 2024 with another $1.15 billion in senior unsecured notes, with maturities stretching out to 2054. This is a classic move: use short-term financing for the deal, then issue long-term, fixed-rate notes to term out (or extend) the debt.
The company is balancing debt financing against equity funding through a clear strategy: use debt for growth but commit to deleveraging. The net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio rose to 3.7x following the Sovos deal, but management has publicly stated a commitment to reducing that figure back toward its target of 3.0x over the next three years. This means you should expect free cash flow to be prioritized for debt reduction over the near term, which is a critical action item for investors to monitor. They also anticipated refinancing their March 2025 bond maturities, which is standard practice to manage the debt wall.
For a deeper dive into the company's overall performance, check out the full post: Breaking Down Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Liquidity and Solvency
The short answer is that Campbell Soup Company (CPB) operates with tight liquidity, which is common in the consumer staples sector, but its strong operating cash flow provides a critical safety net. For the fiscal year ending July 2025, the company's liquidity ratios signal a reliance on inventory to cover short-term debts, a situation that demands close monitoring.
You need to look past the headline ratios and see how the cash engine is actually running. The Current Ratio (Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities) for Campbell Soup Company in FY 2025 was only 0.77. This means for every dollar of short-term debt, the company had only 77 cents in assets that should convert to cash within a year. The Quick Ratio (or Acid-Test Ratio), which strips out inventory-the least liquid current asset-was even lower at 0.28. That's a low number. It tells you that without selling a can of soup or a bag of Goldfish, they only have 28 cents in cash and receivables to cover a dollar of immediate obligations.
- Current Ratio: 0.77 (Below the 1.0 benchmark).
- Quick Ratio: 0.28 (Highlights reliance on inventory).
Working Capital Trends and the Cash Flow Engine
This low ratio environment translates directly into a negative working capital position. Working capital, the difference between current assets and current liabilities, was approximately $-680 million (Current Assets of $2.23 billion minus Current Liabilities of $2.91 billion) for FY 2025. Negative working capital isn't necessarily a death knell in a consumer packaged goods company like Campbell Soup Company; it often means they are highly efficient at collecting cash from sales (receivables) faster than they pay their suppliers (payables). This is a classic working capital management strategy, but it leaves little margin for error. The change in working capital on the cash flow statement was an outflow of $-235 million for the year, indicating a use of cash to fund operations or a change in the timing of payables/receivables.
The real strength, and the reason this tight liquidity isn't a red-alert crisis, is the cash flow statement. This is the ultimate proof of a company's ability to pay its bills. Here's the quick math on their cash generation and deployment for FY 2025:
| Cash Flow Activity (FY 2025) | Amount (USD Millions) | Trend/Action |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (CFO) | $1,131M | Strong core business cash generation. |
| Investing Cash Flow (CFI) | $-187M | Net cash used for capital expenditures and acquisitions. |
| Financing Cash Flow (CFF) | $-919M | Used for debt repayment and dividends. |
| Net Change in Cash | $24M | Small net increase in cash balance. |
The $1.13 billion in Cash Flow from Operating Activities (CFO) is the crucial number. This robust, positive cash flow shows the business generates more than enough cash from its core operations to cover its capital expenditures (CapEx) of $426 million and its dividend payments of $459 million. The Investing Cash Flow of $-187 million was a net use of cash, mostly for CapEx, and the Financing Cash Flow of $-919 million was primarily driven by debt repayment and those dividend payments.
Liquidity Strengths and Near-Term Actions
What this estimate hides is the company's access to capital. As a large, established entity in the consumer staples sector, Campbell Soup Company has excellent credit access. The strong CFO is its primary liquidity strength, allowing it to service its debt and continue paying a dividend that totaled $459 million in FY 2025. The short-term risk is not insolvency, but rather a lack of financial flexibility if a major, unforeseen capital need or a sudden disruption in the supply chain were to occur. The company's liquidity is defintely manageable, but it's not plush.
To learn more about the complete financial picture, including valuation, you should check out the full analysis: Breaking Down Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. For now, your next step is to track their inventory turnover: if that metric slows down, the low Quick Ratio becomes a much bigger problem.
Valuation Analysis
You're asking the core question: Is Campbell Soup Company (CPB) a bargain right now, or is the market pricing in more risk than opportunity? My take, based on the latest November 2025 data, is that the stock is currently trading at a compelling valuation for a defensive consumer staples company, leaning toward undervalued on a forward-looking basis, but with a clear reason for the discount.
The stock has had a rough 12 months. Campbell Soup Company (CPB) has been trading near its 52-week low of $29.39, a sharp drop from its 52-week high of $46.95. The current stock price, sitting around $31.03 as of mid-November 2025, reflects investor anxiety over the debt load from acquisitions like Sovos Brands and the subsequent pressure on net income, despite solid revenue growth.
Key Valuation Multiples (FY 2025)
When we look at the core valuation ratios, the picture is mixed but points to a relative discount, especially compared to the broader consumer staples sector. Here's the quick math:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The trailing P/E is about 15.58. However, the forward P/E, based on the Fiscal Year 2025 Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.97, drops to approximately 12.50. This forward multiple is defintely low for a stable brand portfolio like Campbell Soup Company (CPB), suggesting the market is underpricing the expected earnings recovery.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: At roughly 2.35, the P/B is reasonable for a company with significant intangible assets (brand value) but reflects the highly leveraged balance sheet.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): The TTM EV/EBITDA is around 8.59. This is a critical metric for a company with high debt, and an EV/EBITDA under 10.0x is generally considered attractive in the consumer packaged goods space, indicating the enterprise value (market cap plus net debt) is not excessively high relative to its core operating cash flow proxy.
The forward P/E of 12.50 is the strongest argument for undervaluation, assuming management can deliver on the projected $10.3 billion in net sales for FY 2025.
Dividend Safety and Analyst Sentiment
For income-focused investors, the dividend yield is a major draw. The current annual dividend is $1.56 per share, translating to a substantial dividend yield of approximately 5.07%. The payout ratio is manageable at 77.61% (TTM). What this estimate hides, however, is that a higher payout ratio in a low-growth environment means less capital for debt reduction or future acquisitions. Still, the dividend is well-covered by operating cash flow.
Wall Street analysts have a cautious, but not bearish, outlook. The consensus rating for Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is Hold or Neutral, with 13 out of 19 analysts recommending a Hold. The average 12-month price target is $34.37, which suggests an upside of over 10% from the current trading price. So, the professionals see modest appreciation, not a massive breakout, but also not a collapse.
If you want to dig deeper into who holds the stock and why, you can check out Exploring Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
| Metric | Value (Approx.) | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E Ratio | 15.58x | Slightly below long-term average. |
| Forward P/E Ratio (FY25 EPS) | 12.50x | Suggests undervaluation based on future earnings. |
| EV/EBITDA Ratio (TTM) | 8.59x | Attractive for a consumer staples company. |
| Dividend Yield | 5.07% | High yield for a defensive stock. |
| Analyst Consensus | Hold/Neutral | Average price target of $34.37. |
The key action item here is to monitor the company's deleveraging plan. If they can pay down the debt acquired during the Sovos Brands deal faster than expected while maintaining the $2.97 adjusted EPS, that forward P/E of 12.50 will look very cheap, and the stock price should start moving toward the analyst target.
Risk Factors
You need to know that while Campbell Soup Company (CPB) delivered a full-year 2025 net sales increase of 6%, driven largely by the Sovos Brands acquisition, the underlying business faces serious, near-term headwinds. The core risks center on cost inflation, a pressured Snacks division, and a leveraged balance sheet that limits financial flexibility.
Honesty, the biggest threat is external cost pressure, specifically tariffs and persistent input cost inflation. The company estimated that tariffs alone had an impact of approximately $0.02 per share on earnings in fiscal 2025, and they expect this headwind to be even more significant in fiscal 2026. This is a direct hit to the gross margin, which continued its declining trend, landing at 30.4% of sales in FY2025, down from 30.8% in the prior year. That's a tough environment to manage.
The company is also navigating a very price-sensitive consumer. People are seeking value, and that's hitting the discretionary side of the portfolio, particularly the Snacks division. The division's organic net sales decreased by 3% for the full year 2025, reflecting that softening demand. The Meals & Beverages segment is holding up better, but the Snacks turnaround is a critical execution risk.
Here's the quick math on the financial risks you should watch:
- Leverage: The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is high at 1.85, suggesting a significant reliance on debt financing.
- Liquidity: The Current Ratio sits at 0.77, which suggests potential near-term liquidity challenges in covering short-term obligations.
- Financial Stress: The Altman Z-Score is 1.83, which puts the company in the 'grey area' for financial distress.
The acquisition of Sovos Brands is a strategic opportunity, but it also increased the debt load, leading to a higher net interest expense-a jump from $48 million to $83 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 alone.
To be fair, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is not sitting still. They are actively mitigating these risks with clear, actionable plans. They have a major enterprise cost-savings program that delivered $145 million in savings in FY2025, and they've increased the total target to $375 million by the end of fiscal 2028. This is defintely a necessary buffer against the tariff and inflation pressures. Operationally, they are streamlining the supply chain by closing inefficient sites, like the Tualatin, Oregon plant, to shift production to more modern facilities, creating a more cost-effective network.
The strategic focus is on high-margin power brands and using cost discipline to offset the macro headwinds. You can read more about the company's performance in our full analysis: Breaking Down Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
| Risk Category | FY2025 Impact/Metric | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| External Cost Inflation (Tariffs) | Estimated $0.02 per share drag on FY2025 earnings. | Enterprise cost-savings program increased to $375 million target by FY2028. |
| Consumer Demand/Competition | Snacks organic net sales decreased 3% in FY2025. | Focus on high-margin power brands; divestiture of lower-margin businesses. |
| Financial Leverage | Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.85. | Focus on deleveraging post-acquisition; strong operating cash flow of $1.13 billion in FY2025. |
| Operational Efficiency | Gross Margin at 30.4% (continuing decline). | Supply chain optimization, including closing inefficient plants and shifting to co-manufacturers. |
My advice: monitor the execution of that $375 million cost-savings plan. If they miss those targets, the margin pressure from tariffs and inflation will hit the bottom line a lot harder.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at Campbell Soup Company (CPB) and asking the right question: can this legacy brand actually grow? The short answer is yes, but the growth engine has fundamentally changed. It's no longer about just soup; it's about premium, high-margin categories, driven by a major acquisition and a relentless focus on efficiency.
The biggest driver for future growth is the Sovos Brands acquisition, completed in March 2024. This move pivoted the portfolio toward high-growth, premium specialty foods, most notably the Rao's brand. For the full Fiscal Year 2025, the acquisition was the primary reason reported net sales increased by 6% to $10.3 billion. This is a classic portfolio transformation play: buy a fast-growing asset to offset slower growth in core segments.
Here's the quick math on the strategic shift:
- Acquisition Impact: Sovos Brands contributed significantly, helping the Meals & Beverages division see momentum.
- Organic Growth Challenge: Despite the reported sales jump, organic net sales-which strips out the acquisition impact-actually decreased by 1% in FY2025, due to unfavorable volume and mix. That's why the premium brands are so defintely important.
- Innovation Contribution: Product innovation, like the expansion of Milano White Chocolate and new health-forward broths, contributed approximately 3% to consolidated net sales in FY2025.
The company's competitive advantage lies in its sheer scale and distribution network, which it can now apply to a premium brand like Rao's, accelerating its market reach far beyond what Sovos could have done alone. This is how you turn a good acquisition into a great one.
Management is mapping out future performance with a clear set of strategic initiatives. The goal is to generate cash flow to pay down the debt taken on for the Sovos deal, which is critical. They are targeting a reduction in the leverage ratio to approximately 3x by March 2027. This deleveraging will improve financial flexibility and reduce interest expenses, which were a headwind in FY2025.
On the operational side, the company is aggressively pursuing cost savings through its PEAK program. Campbell Soup Company realized approximately $145 million in cost savings in FY2025, driven largely by integration synergies from Sovos and network optimization. They have raised the enterprise-wide cost savings target to $375 million by the end of fiscal 2028. This efficiency will fund marketing and innovation, which is expected to return to the targeted range of 9-10% of net sales.
While the Snacks division faced headwinds in FY2025, offsetting some of the Meals & Beverages gains, the overall financial picture shows a business in transition, focusing on higher-quality earnings. Full-year adjusted EBIT increased 2% to $1.5 billion in FY2025, which reflects the benefit of the acquisition and cost management. This is a story of strategic investment and disciplined execution. For a deeper dive into the balance sheet impact, you can read more in Breaking Down Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Here are the key financial outputs for the last fiscal year, showing the immediate impact of the strategy:
| Metric | Fiscal Year 2025 Value | Change vs. FY2024 | Primary Driver |
| Net Sales (Reported) | $10.3 billion | Up 6% | Sovos Brands Acquisition |
| Organic Net Sales | $9.3 billion | Down 1% | Lower Volume/Mix |
| Adjusted EBIT | $1.5 billion | Up 2% | Acquisition Contribution & Cost Savings |
| Adjusted EPS | $2.97 per share | Down 4% | Higher Interest Expense |

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